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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2026 Aug 7.
Published in final edited form as: J Psychosom Res. 2025 Aug 7;197:112345. doi: 10.1016/j.jpsychores.2025.112345

Factors associated with new onset of depression and anxiety symptoms differ by sex in the COPDGene study

Kirsten Voorhies a, Jess G Fiedorowicz b, Abebaw M Yohannes c,d, Gregory L Kinney e, Dawn L DeMeo f,g, Elizabeth A Regan h, James D Crapo h, Edwin K Silverman f,g, Christoph Lange i, Karin F Hoth j,*, Sharon M Lutz a,i,*,**
PMCID: PMC12798645  NIHMSID: NIHMS2105986  PMID: 40840304

Abstract

Objective

Examine clinical and demographic variables associated with new onset depression and anxiety symptoms and assess moderation by sex in COPDGene, a cohort study of current and former smokers at risk for or with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

Methods

In the COPDGene study, 2,653 adults had the hospital anxiety (HADS-A) and depression (HADS-D) scales available at phase 2 and 3, as well as clinical and demographic variables available at 2 and non-elevated HADS at phase 2. We defined new onset depression symptoms as HADS-D elevated at phase 3 (HADS-D≥8) versus no new onset as HADS-D not elevated at either phase (HADS-D<8). New onset anxiety symptoms were defined identically using HADS-A. We used logistic regression models among all participants and stratified by sex and assessed sex interactions for variables associated with the outcome for only one sex.

Results

Among males, COPD Assessment test (CAT) score was positively associated with new onset depression (β=0.08, p=1.9×10−5) and anxiety (β=0.06, p=1.4×10−3) symptoms. Among females, the modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea was positively associated with new onset anxiety symptoms (β=0.33, p=1.4×10−3). We found sex by CAT score (β=−0.06, p=0.02) and sex by mMRC dyspnea (β=0.42, p=5.1×10−3) interactions on new onset anxiety symptoms, and sex by CAT score interaction (β=−0.05, p=0.04) on new onset depression symptoms.

Conclusions

These findings highlight the importance of understanding factors that increase risk for depression and anxiety among smokers at risk for or with COPD and are moderated by sex.

Keywords: depression, anxiety, hospital anxiety and depression scale (HADS), sex

Introduction

Depressive symptoms and anxiety symptoms are elevated in smokers and patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) [1,2] but often go unrecognized. [3–6] It is important to understand factors that increase risk for depression and anxiety among smokers and people at risk for or with COPD. For example, smokers who are at increased risk of COPD have been found to have higher rates of depression and anxiety. [7–13] Among subjects with COPD during the COVID-19 pandemic, a previous study found associations with new onset of depression and the following: loneliness, functional limitations, family conflict, limited access to healthcare resources, and higher income. [14] In the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) study, risk factors for new onset of depression over a 3 year follow-up period included: worse health status, fatigue, and moderate to severe dyspnea. [1] Among COPD patients entering a pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) program, anxiety was associated with younger age, impaired quality of life, and more prevalent in females. [15] Symptoms of anxiety and depression also differ by sex. [16] Among 202 COPD patients, dyspnea was more strongly correlated with depression in women than in men. [17] However, caution is required in interpreting this study findings had a limited sample size and did not account for potential confounders.

To address this gap in this literature, the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study provides an opportunity to examine clinical and demographic variables associated with the progression of anxiety and depressive symptoms among adults with 10 or more pack-years of smoking history and at risk for or expressing one of the stages of COPD (Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) grades 1–4). [18] While sex has been associated with anxiety and depression symptoms in the COPDGene study [19], potential sex differences for risk factors have not been tested using moderation analyses and the onset of anxiety and depressive symptoms has not been evaluated. Here, we examined clinical and demographic variables associated with new onset symptoms of depression and anxiety and sought to assess moderation by sex in COPDGene. Given the prevalence and impact of depression and anxiety on quality of life and daily functioning and emerging evidence that COPD may manifest differently among men and women, understanding which clinical factors may drive depression and anxiety between the sexes is important in order to personalize the focus of clinical intervention.

Methods

With written informed consent for the Institutional Review Board-approved protocols, participants were enrolled in COPDGene with baseline measurements between 2007–2012 and with comprehensive assessment occurring over three phases approximately five years apart. In addition to clinical variables for COPD, including COPD Assessment test (CAT) and modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea scale, the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scales for anxiety (HADS-A) and depression (HADS-D) were collected at phases 2 and 3 of the COPDGene study. [20] Table 1 lists clinical and demographic characteristics of the cohort. Note that the HADS-A and HADS-D were self-reported. We restricted the analyses to participants with available phenotypic information at both phases 2, without clinically elevated symptoms of depression (HADS-D<8) and anxiety (HADS-A<8) at phase 2, and excluding non-smoking controls due to limited sample size. We defined new onset depression symptoms as not having elevated HADS-D at phase 2 (HADS-D<8) but having elevated HADS-D approximately 5 years later at phase 3 (HADS-D≥8) versus no new onset as not having elevated HADS-D at phases 2 and 3 (HADS-D<8). New onset anxiety symptoms were defined identically using HADS-A. There were 2,653 participants without clinically elevated depression symptoms at phase 2, of which 194 (7.3%) had new onset depression symptoms at phase 3. There were 2,413 participants without clinically elevated anxiety symptoms at phase 2, of which, 188 (7.8%) had new onset anxiety symptoms at phase 3. To examine demographic and clinical variables associated with new onset depression and anxiety symptoms, we used logistic regression models among all participants and stratified by sex fitting the full model with all 20 variables, which were collected at phase 2, listed in Table 2 with a Bonferroni-corrected p-value threshold (0.05/20=2.5×10−3 for the overall analysis, 0.05/19=2.6×10−3 for the sex stratified analyses). Note that the Bonferroni correction is conservative, especially given the correlation between variables (i.e, CAT and mMRC). Crude/ unadjusted models are included in the supplement. In addition, for variables associated with the outcome for only one sex, we considered sex interactions adjusting for the same set of covariates as in the starfield models. In secondary analyses, all models were adjusted for medication use collected at phase 2 and whether the phase 3 HADS measurements were collected before or after the pandemic. Since very similar results were observed for these models as compared to Table 2, the results are presented in the supplement. All analyses were run in R (version 4.3.2).

Table 1.

Characteristics of COPDGene participants included in the study.

All Participants
(N = 2,653)
Male
(N=1,291)
Female
(N=1,362)
Gender: Female, N (%) 1,362 (51.3%) - -
New onset depression symptoms, N (%) 194 (7.3%) 90 (7.0%) 104 (7.6%)
New onset anxiety symptoms, N (%) (N total = 2,413) 188 (7.8%) 71 (5.8%) 117 (9.8%)
Age, Mean (SD) 64.7 (8.2) 64.8 (8.1) 64.5 (8.3)
BMI: Underweight / Normal, N (%) 687 (25.9%) 292 (22.6%) 395 (29.0%)
BMI: Overweight, N (%) 940 (35.4%) 509 (39.4%) 431 (31.6%)
BMI: Obese, N (%) 1,026 (38.7%) 490 (38.0%) 536 (39.4%)
Current smoker, N (%) 916 (34.5%) 432 (33.5%) 484 (35.5%)
GOLD Stage 0, N (%) 1,352 (51.0%) 620 (48.0%) 732 (53.7%)
GOLD Stages 1–2, N (%) 745 (28.1%) 400 (31.0%) 345 (25.3%)
GOLD Stages 3–4, N (%) 261 (9.8%) 139 (10.8%) 122 (9.0%)
PRISm, N (%) 295 (11.1%) 132 (10.2%) 163 (12.0%)
Comorbidity Count, Mean (SD) 2.6 (2.0) 2.6 (2.1) 2.7 (2.0)
Severe Exacerbations, N (%) 169 (6.4%) 66 (5.1%) 103 (7.6%)
Distance walked (ft), Mean (SD) 1,400.0 (393.5) 1,447.9 (385.2) 1,354.5 (395.9)
O2 Therapy, N (%) 184 (6.9%) 87 (6.7%) 97 (7.1%)
mMRC Dyspnea Score, Mean (SD) 0.9 (1.2) 0.8 (1.2) 1.0 (1.3)
CAT score, Mean (SD) 9.7 (7.3) 9.4 (7.0) 10.0 (7.6)
Chronic Bronchitis, N (%) 294 (11.1%) 158 (12.2%) 136 (10.0%)
Race: Black, N (%) 758 (28.6%) 361 (28.0%) 397 (29.1%)
Race: Non-Hispanic White (NHW), N (%) 1,895 (71.4%) 930 (72.0%) 964 (70.9%)
Income: Low Income, N (%) 574 (21.6%) 271 (21.0%) 303 (22.2%)
Insurance, N (%) 2,559 (96.5%) 1,231 (95.4%) 1,328 (97.5%)
Internet Access, N (%) 2,200 (82.9%) 1,063 (82.3%) 1,137 (83.5%)
Married or member of unmarried couple, N (%) 1,190 (44.9%) 664 (51.4%) 526 (38.6%)

Table 2. Logistic regression among all participants and stratified by sex:

To examine clinical and demographic variables associated with new onset clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms, we used logistic regressions among all participants and stratified by sex fitting the full model with all 20 variables listed in the table below with a Bonferroni-corrected p-value threshold (0.05/20 = 2.5×10−3). In addition, we considered sex interactions for variables associated with the outcome for only one sex. Cells highlighted in dark grey are significantly associated with at least one outcome (p<2.5×10−3) and cells highlighted in light grey are marginally associated with at least one outcome (2.5×10−3≤p<0.05). While the table below contains the β/SE/P, the odds ratios and confidence intervals are given in the supplement. Note that, we defined low income equal to 1 for a household income <$15,000 per year and 0 otherwise; race equal to 1 for Black participants and 0 for non-Hispanic White participants; and internet access equal to 1 if access to the internet was available and 0 otherwise

New onset depressive symptoms New onset anxiety symptoms
All
N=2653
Male
N=1291
Female
N=1362
Sex Interaction All
N=2413
Male
N=1218
Female
N=1195
Sex Interaction
β/SE/P β/ SE/ P β/ SE/ P β/ SE/ P β/ SE/ P β/ SE/ P β/ SE/ P β/ SE/ P
Sex: Female −0.13/ 0.16/ 0.41 - - - 0.56/ 0.17/ 8.4×10−4 - - -
Age −2.1×10−3/ 0.01/ 0.87 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.42 −0.02/ 0.02/ 0.33 - −0.03/ 0.01/ 0.02 −0.02/ 0.02/ 0.27 −0.03/ 0.02/ 0.10 -
BMI: Overweight −0.09/ 0.21/ 0.67 −0.06/ 0.30/ 0.84 −0.06/ 0.31/ 0.84 - 0.01/ 0.21/ 0.95 −0.04/ 0.33/ 0.90 0.12/ 0.28/ 0.67 -
BMI: Obese −0.07/ 0.21/ 0.75 −0.40/ 0.32/ 0.22 0.22/ 0.30/ 0.46 - −0.17/ 0.22/ 0.44 −0.28/ 0.36/ 0.44 −0.04/ 0.30/ 0.90 -
Current smoker 0.82/ 0.19/ 1.8×10−5 0.91/ 0.28/1.4×10−3 0.79/ 0.27/ 2.9×10−3 - 0.29/ 0.19/ 0.13 0.56/ 0.32/ 0.08 0.13 / 0.25 / 0.60 -
GOLD Stages 1–2 −0.17/ 0.20/ 0.39 −0.08/ 0.28/ 0.79 −0.30/ 0.28/ 0.29 - −0.33/ 0.21/ 0.12 −0.20/ 0.32/ 0.54 −0.50/ 0.29 / 0.09 -
GOLD Stages 3–4 −0.12/ 0.28/ 0.68 −0.08/ 0.40/ 0.84 −0.06/ 0.41/ 0.87 - −0.05/ 0.29/ 0.86 −0.29/ 0.49/ 0.55 0.16/ 0.38/ 0.68 -
GOLD PRISM −0.30/ 0.26/ 0.26 −0.49/ 0.45/ 0.27 −0.22/ 0.33/ 0.51 - −4.8×10−3/ 0.24/ 0.98 −0.36/ 0.45/ 0.43 0.20/ 0.30/ 0.50 -
Comorbidity Count 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.19 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.22 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.44 - 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.45 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.22 −2.4×10−3/ 0.06/ 0.97 -
Severe Exacerbations 0.24/ 0.26/ 0.37 0.41/ 0.40/ 0.31 0.21/ 0.35/ 0.55 - 0.58/ 0.26/ 0.02 0.84/ 0.45/ 0.06 0.57/ 0.32/ 0.08 -
Distance walked −0.14/ 0.09/ 0.10 −0.22/ 0.13/ 0.10 −0.08/ 0.12/ 0.50 - 0.09/ 0.09/ 0.32 0.08/ 0.15/ 0.58 0.11/ 0.12/ 0.36 -
O2 Therapy −0.17/ 0.32/ 0.61 −0.33/ 0.48/ 0.49 −0.12/ 0.45/ 0.79 - −0.14/ 0.33/ 0.67 −0.24/ 0.62/ 0.70 −0.27/ 0.42/ 0.52 -
mMRC Dyspnea Score 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.04 0.08/ 0.11/ 0.47 0.23/ 0.11/ 0.03 0.12/ 0.14/ 0.38 0.15/ 0.08/ 0.06 −0.08/ 0.13/ 0.52 0.33/ 0.10/ 1.4×10−3 0.42/ 0.15/ 5.1×10−3
CAT score 0.05/ 0.01/ 3.0×10−5 0.08/ 0.02/1.9×10−5 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.08 −0.05/ 0.02/ 0.04 0.04/ 0.01/ 4.9×10−3 0.06/ 0.02/1.4×10−3 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.43 −0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02
Chronic Bronchitis −0.38/ 0.24/ 0.11 −0.33/ 0.33/ 0.33 −0.51/ 0.36/ 0.15 - −0.16/ 0.25/ 0.52 −2.2×10−3/ 0.37/ 1.00 −0.17/ 0.34/ 0.61 -
Race: Black −0.35/ 0.20/ 0.08 −0.04/ 0.29/ 0.89 −0.69/ 0.28/ 0.01 −0.46/ 0.36/ 0.21 0.15/ 0.20/ 0.46 0.52/ 0.33/ 0.12 −0.07/ 0.27/ 0.80 -
Income: Low Income 0.54/ 0.20/ 5.5×10−3 0.26/ 0.29/ 0.38 0.71/ 0.27/ 8.2×10−3 0.59/ 0.36/ 0.10 0.54/ 0.20/ 8.0×10−3 0.20/ 0.33/ 0.55 0.70/ 0.26/ 7.2×10−3 0.18/ 0.35/ 0.61
Insurance 0.08/ 0.38/ 0.83 0.22/ 0.56/ 0.69 −0.16/ 0.54/ 0.77 0.04/ 0.38/ 0.91 0.65/ 0.63/ 0.30 −0.51/ 0.52/ 0.33 -
Internet Access −0.31/ 0.19/ 0.11 0.05/ 0.28/ 0.86 −0.66/ 0.27/ 0.01 −0.59/ 0.37/ 0.11 −0.52/ 0.20/ 9.3×10−3 −0.53/ 0.30/ 0.08 −0.51/ 0.27/ 0.06 -
Married or member of unmarried couple −0.51/ 0.19/ 6.5×10−3 −0.57/ 0.27/ 0.04 −0.62/ 0.27/ 0.02 - −0.09/ 0.18/ 0.64 −0.23/ 0.31/ 0.47 −0.02/ 0.24/ 0.92 -

Results

As seen in Table 2, increasing CAT score (β=0.05, p=3.0×10−5) and current smoking status (β=0.82, p=1.8×10−5) were significantly associated with new onset depression symptoms and the following variables were marginally associated (2.5×10−3≤p<0.05): increasing mMRC dyspnea score (β=0.15, p=0.04), low income (β=0.54, p=5.5×10−3), and being married or member of an unmarried couple was negatively associated with depression symptoms (β=−0.51, p=6.5×10−3). In the sex stratified analyses, CAT score (β=0.08, p=1.9×10−5) was significantly associated with new onset depression symptoms among males, but not females and the following variables were marginally associated among females, but not males: mMRC dyspnea score (β=0.23, p=0.03), race (β=−0.69, p=0.01), low income (β=0.71, p=8.2×10−3), and internet access (β=−0.66, p=0.01). When testing for a sex interaction on new onset depression symptoms with the 5 variables that were associated in the sex stratified analyses, there was a CAT score by sex interaction on new onset depression symptoms (β=−0.05, p=0.04).

Female sex (β=0.56, p=8.4×10−4) was significantly associated with new onset anxiety symptoms and the following variables were marginally associated (2.5×10−3≤p<0.05): younger age (β=−0.03, p=0.02), severe exacerbations (β=0.58, p=0.02), CAT score (β=0.04, p=4.9×10−3), low income (β=0.54, p=8.0×10−3), and internet access (β=−0.52, p=9.3×10−3). In the sex stratified analyses, new onset anxiety symptoms were significantly associated with mMRC among females (β=0.33, p=1.4×10−3), CAT score among males (β=0.06, p=1.4×10−3), and marginally associated with low income among females (β=0.70, p=7.2×10−3). When testing for a sex interaction on new onset anxiety symptoms with the 3 variables that were associated in the sex stratified analyses, there was a mMRC dyspnea score by sex (β=0.42, p=5.1×10−3) and CAT score by sex (β=−0.06, p=0.02) interaction on new onset anxiety symptoms.

Discussion

Sex differences in symptom reporting:

In this study, we examined whether the COPD-specific clinical and demographic factors associated with new onset depression and anxiety symptoms differed for males and females in the COPDGene cohort study. Among all participants (not stratified by sex) at the Bonferroni threshold of 2.5×10−3, current smoking status and CAT score were significantly associated with new onset depression symptoms and sex was significantly associated with new onset anxiety symptoms with higher risk in females. For males, we found CAT score was associated with new onset depression and anxiety symptoms. For females, mMRC dyspnea score was significantly associated with new onset anxiety symptoms. We also found marginally significant sex by CAT score and sex by mMRC dyspnea interactions on new onset anxiety symptoms, as well as a marginally significant sex by CAT score interaction on new onset depression symptoms.

Limitations:

While our study has several strengths including large sample size, detailed analyses, and characterization of the subjects with longitudinal follow-up, this study has potential limitations. A range of variables potentially associated with new onset clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms were examined including demographics, pulmonary function measures, respiratory symptoms, and psychosocial characteristics including relationship status and insurance/healthcare access. Nonetheless, there are other factors that may be relevant that were not available such as loneliness, psychiatric disorders (e.g. bipolar disorder and post-traumatic disorder), and other clinical or laboratory measures. Additionally, new onset depression and anxiety symptoms do not distinguish between mild, moderate, or severe symptoms, and it is possible the associations could differ depending on the severity of depression and anxiety. While we define “new onset” based on changes in HADS scores, this does not account for participants’ clinical history of depression or anxiety diagnoses prior to phase 2. This could lead to misclassification of cases with prior mental health conditions as “new onset.” Note that there was attrition in the cohort between phases 2 and 3: 5,833 participants had HADS data available at phase 2 (13% and 19% with elevated HADS-D and HADS-A, respectively) while 3,190 had HADS data available at phase 3 (13% and 17% with elevated HADS-D and HADS-A, respectively). 2,643 participants with HADS data available from phase 2 were not in phase 3; these participants either died or otherwise not available for the study. This could bias the main analyses of the study where the interaction with sex could be due to a higher death rate in males. This study focused on the increase in symptoms between phase 2 and 3 and as a result, excluded subjects with elevated symptoms at phase 2 which mal limit the generalizability of the study. In addition, the lack of association between CAT score and new onset anxiety symptoms among males could be due to lower statistical power.

Implications for care:

We found evidence of sex differences with interactions for two measures of disease burden. CAT score, which captures the impact of a broad array of symptoms on quality of life, was associated with new onset depression and anxiety symptoms in men. The severity of dyspnea measured by mMRC was associated with new onset depression symptoms in women. These results potentially suggest that men and women in the COPDGene study may place different emphasis or value on their symptom experiences. Similar trends have been observed in other studies. [21–22] For instance, one study found that men place more emphasis on athleticism and less emphasis on dyspnea as a major symptom. [23] A lack of sex invariance in CAT score, mMRC dyspnea score, or HADS scales be an alternative explanation for these results. The sex interactions could reflect potential differences in symptom perception, reporting behaviors, or underlying physiological mechanisms. While our findings highlight there are differences in the risk factors for a new onset of anxiety and depressive symptoms for both men and women at risk for or expressing COPD, the exact cause of these sex differences is unclear and requires further study.

Supplementary Material

1

Highlights.

  • Sex moderates psychological distress associations in smokers with/at risk for COPD.

  • CAT score associated with new onset depression and anxiety symptoms among males.

  • MMRC dyspnea associated with new onset anxiety symptoms among females.

Acknowledgements:

The authors thank the COPDGene investigators, the staff, and the participants of the COPDGene study for their valuable contributions. A full list of the COPDGene investigators can be found at http://www.copdgene.org.

Funding:

This research was funded by the National Institute of Mental Health R01MH129337 (SML, KV, CL, KFH). DLD is supported by K24HL171900. The COPDGene study (NCT00608764) is supported by grants from the NHLBI (U01HL089897 and U01HL089856), by NIH contract 75N92023D00011, and by the COPD Foundation through contributions made to an Industry Advisory Committee that has included AstraZeneca, Bayer Pharmaceuticals, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Genentech, GlaxoSmithKline, Novartis, Pfizer, and Sunovion.

Footnotes

Conflicts of Interest:

Regarding conflicts of interest, in the past three years, Edwin K. Silverman received grant support from Bayer and Northpond Laboratories and Dawn L. DeMeo received support from Bayer and the Alpha-1 Foundation. The funding sources played no role in the design of the study or the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. No other authors reported conflicts of interest.

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