Figure 3: Model-derived expected probability of naloxone use in the event of a witnessed opioid overdose and deaths averted for 0 to 1000 distributed naloxone two-dose kits (through community-based access points) per 100 000 total population per year for three modelled states within each of the four dominant opioid epidemic types.

Datapoints are observed volumes of distributions of naloxone kits in 2017, with lines showing estimated probabilities of naloxone use and deaths due to opioid overdose averted. Shaded areas show 95% credible intervals. State abbreviations are shown in place of full names.