Abstract
Purpose:
Stabilization of the transcription factor NRF2 through genomic alterations in KEAP1 and NFE2L2 occurs in a quarter of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and a third of lung squamous (LUSC) patients. In LUAD, KEAP1 loss often co-occurs with STK11 loss and KRAS activating alterations. Despite its prevalence, the impact of NRF activation on tumor progression and patient outcomes is not fully defined.
Experimental Design:
We model NRF2 activation, STK11 loss and KRAS activation in vivo using novel genetically engineered mouse models. Further, we derive a NRF2 activation signature from human non-small cell lung tumors that we use to dissect how these genomic events impact outcomes and immune contexture of participants in the OAK and IMpower131 immunotherapy trials.
Results:
Our in vivo data reveal roles for NRF2 activation in (i) promoting rapid-onset, multi-focal intra-bronchiolar carcinomas, leading to lethal pulmonary dysfunction, and (ii) decreasing elevated redox stress in KRAS-mutant, STK11-null tumors. In patients with non-squamous tumors, the NRF2 signature is negatively prognostic independently of STK11 loss. LUSC patients with low NRF2 signature survive longer when receiving anti-PD-L1 treatment.
Conclusions:
Our in vivo modeling establishes NRF2 activation as a critical oncogenic driver, cooperating with STK11 loss and KRAS activation to promote aggressive LUAD. In patients, oncogenic events alter the tumor immune contexture, possibly impacting treatment responses. Importantly, patients with NRF2 activated non-squamous or squamous tumors have poor prognosis and show limited response to anti-PD-L1 treatment.
Keywords: Non-small cell lung cancer, NRF2, immunotherapy, predictive biomarker, genetically engineered mouse model
Translational Relevance
Using a functional gene expression signature, we show that NRF2 activation impacts phenotype, prognosis and treatment responses of non-small lung cancer (NSCLC) of both non-squamous and squamous histology. These data suggest that NRF2 activation status should be considered as diagnostic tool to improve treatment efficacy across NSCLC.
Introduction
Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is a heterogeneous disease, comprised of distinct histologic and genomic subtypes, each exhibiting unique biology, immune profiles and clinical behavior (1). Genomic alterations in the KEAP1 and NFE2L2 (NRF2) loci are frequent events in NSCLC, and lead to the constitutive stabilization of the transcription factor NRF2, a master regulator of antioxidant defenses, whose protein levels are tightly controlled through proteasome-mediated degradation, mainly by the E3 ubiquitin ligase complex of KEAP1-CUL3-RBX1 (2–5). In lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), NRF2 activation is the third most frequent genomic event (25%), primarily occurring via KEAP1 loss-of-function mutations (3,4,6,7). Yet, NRF2 activated tumors occur across LUAD subsets traditionally defined by other oncogenic events such as KRAS alterations and STK11 loss (7,8), and LUAD clinical trial datasets analyzed thus far lack the sample size needed to dissect the impact of NRF2 activation on patient responses (9). We set out to shed more light on the contribution of KEAP1 loss and NRF2 activation to LUAD development, phenotype, immune contexture and clinical responses.
Genetically engineered mouse models (GEMMs) have so far corroborated a role for Keap1 loss and/or Nrf2 activity in promoting and accelerating KrasG12D driven lung tumorigenesis (10–12). Given that in human tumors KEAP1 loss often co-occurs with loss of the tumor suppressor STK11 in addition to mutational activation of KRAS, GEMMs modeling all three genetic events would be a valuable approach for modeling human disease in vivo and for dissecting the contribution of each event in LUAD initiation and phenotype. While a recent study attempted to address this need, the low number of animals used, combined with the challenge of combined targeting across multiple loci, precluded definitive conclusions (12). In the current study, we have taken a multi-pronged and rigorous approach using in vitro and in vivo preclinical models as well as two large phase III clinical trial cohorts to define the impact of NRF2 activation and its co-operativity with STK11 loss and KRAS activation on lung cancer development and response to chemotherapy and immunotherapy regimens. Our work establishes NRF2 activation as a critical oncogenic driver, cooperating with STK11 loss and KRAS activation to promote aggressive LUAD, with a transcriptional NRF2 activation signature being a potentially important diagnostic tool for evaluating prognostic and therapeutic patient outcomes in human lung cancer.
Materials and Methods
Kras LSL-G12D (strain number 01XJ6) (39) and Stk11fl/fl (strain number 01XN2) (40) were bred with Keap1fl/fl mice (41) to generate compound mutant mice in our facility. All experimental mice were maintained in mixed genetic background (Stk11- FVB;129S6, Kras - C57B6, Keap1- C57B6). Total glutathione levels, lipid peroxidation levels and 4-HNE were measured as described previously (42–44). Lung physiology metrics were measured as described in (45,46). The method for estimating lung tumor burden was adapted from Krupnick et al (47,48). ROS levels were measured as described previously (49). All experimental protocols conducted on the mice were performed in accordance with National Institutes of Health guidelines and were approved by the Johns Hopkins University Animal Care and Use Committee.
Gene expression profiling of cell line HCC515 and derivatives was performed using Human Genome U133 plus 2.0 arrays (Affymetrix), and of murine tumors using Mouse Gene 2.0 ST arrays (Affymetrix). TCGA RNA-sequencing, Affymetrix SNP6 copy number, and whole exome-sequencing data for 439 lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) (7) and 306 lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC) (24) tumors are from the National Cancer Institute Genomic Data Commons (https://gdc.cancer.gov). We focused on any alteration in KRAS, STK11, KEAP1 and NRF2 (NFE2L2) for LUAD, and TP53, KEAP1 and NRF2 for LUSC, and additionally incorporated amplification of NRF2. Alterations in KEAP1 and NRF2 were combined, referred to as KEAP1/NRF2. For participants of the OAK and IMpower131 trials, genomic alterations were assessed using the FoundationOne® panel, and whole transcriptome profiles were generated using TruSeq RNA Access technology (Illumina®). Details of the PD-L1 immunohistochemistry (IHC) assessment is described in (25). All patients included in this study provided signed informed consent, and clinical trials were conducted in full accordance with the guidelines for Good Clinical Practice and the Declaration of Helsinki. All raw in vitro and in vivo microarray data are available on the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) under accession numbers GSE133714 and GSE133715.
Voom+limma in R was used for differential gene expression analysis, followed by KEGG pathway enrichment analysis. Camera was used for GSEA of the murine lungs by genotype. The Cox proportional hazards model was used for survival analysis. Linear or nested models were fit to assess the relationship between signature/mutation status, PD-L1 protein expression, and/or response. To test (in)dependence of different model terms, likelihood ratio test p values were calculated using ANOVA on nested models. Differences between multiple groups or genotypes was assessed with ANOVA, followed by Dunnett’s multiple comparison test, Kruskall-Wallis followed by Dunn’s multiple comparison test, or Wilcoxon rank sum test followed by Bonferoni multiple testing correction as stated. Significance was assumed at p < 0.05. We refer to supplementary Materials & Methods for more details.
Results
Keap1 inactivation synergizes with Stk11 loss to promote early and diffuse tumor formation, impaired lung function and mortality in Kras-driven lung cancer mouse models in vivo
To characterize the impact of combined loss of Keap1 and Stk11 in the context of a KrasG12D activating mutation in vivo, we crossed Keap1fl/fl mice to KrasLSL-G12D mice and Stk11fl/fl mice followed by intra-tracheal administration of adenovirus encoding CMV-Cre-recombinase to delete exons 2–3 of Keap1 and exons 3–6 of Stk11 in the mouse lungs (13–16). The following genotypes were generated: (a) KrasLSL-G12D, (b) Keap1fl/flKrasLSL-G12D, (c) Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D, (d) Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D. Real-time PCR (Q-PCR) confirmed reduced expression of Keap1 and Stk11 in lungs with the respective genotypes (Fig. S1A). The four described genotypes of our novel GEMMs exhibited striking differences in overall survival (OS), most strikingly a reduced median OS to only 59 days in mice with combined loss of Keap1 and Stk11 that became progressively moribund with severe respiratory distress (Fig. 1A).
Figure 1. Keap1 inactivation synergizes with Stk11 loss to promote early tumor onset, reduced lung respiratory capacity and mortality in a Kras-driven lung cancer mouse model in vivo.

(A) Kaplan Meier Survival plots depicting survival of mice across the different genotypes. 6–8 weeks old animals across each genotype were infected with adenovirus expressing Cre recombinase. Survival curves were generated by pooling animal data from 3–4 experiments. Keapfl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D (n=30); Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D (n=36); Keapfl/flKrasLSL-G12D (n=15); KrasLSL-G12D (n=14). (B) Expression of 451 genes differentially expressed between Keap1-mutant and -wildtype samples, 19 genes differentially expressed between Stk11-mutant and -wildtype samples, and 228 genes differentially expressed between the triplet and non-triplet murine lung samples (microarray assessment). Significant differential expression is defined as >2-fold change and adjusted p-value < 0.05. High expression levels are shown in red; low levels in blue. The 16 murine lung samples are annotated by their Keap1 and Stk11 status on top of the heatmap. Differentially expressed genes are annotated by the specific comparison on the left of the heatmap. (C) CT images of lungs at 4 weeks and 6 weeks post-adenovirus-Cre infection. “H” represents the heart. (D) Quantification of lung density from the CT images to estimate lung tumor burden in mice at 6 weeks by ImageJ. CT images from control animals without tumor were used to obtain the baseline lung density values. Eight to ten sections from each mouse were quantified by ImageJ. Of note, several Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D animals had become sick by 6 weeks and could not be imaged (n=6–15). (E-F) Relative lung function measurements in mice across different genotypes: (E) Comparison of diffusion factor for carbon monoxide (DFCO), (F, left) functional residual capacity (FRC) and (F, right) respiratory system resistance (Rrs) in mice with different genotypes at 6–7 weeks post adeno-Cre infection (n=6). (G) Whole lung lobes from Keapfl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D and Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mice to highlight the differences in number and distribution of tumors across the two genotypes. Scale bar corresponds to 2mm. Statistical analysis represents One-way ANOVA : *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001, ****p<0.0001.
Transcriptional characterization of the murine lungs further confirmed robust induction of Nrf2 upon Keap1 deletion. While Stk11 loss impacted the expression of 19 genes consistently in the absence or presence of concurrent Keap1 loss, loss of Keap1 resulted in 304 up- and 147 down-regulated genes, irrespectively of Stk11 status (>2 fold expression change, adjusted p <0.05; Fig. 1B, Table S1). Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL lungs were uniquely characterized by 59 higher and 169 lower expressed genes compared to all other genotypes, implying synergistic transcriptional implications from co-occurring Stk11 and Keap1 loss. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) comparing Keap1 deficient (Keap1fl/fl) to wild-type (Keap1+/+) tumor bearing murine lung samples showed induction of glutathione, xenobiotics, pentose phosphate pathway and arachidonic acid metabolism genes in Keap1fl/fl-murine lung samples (Fig. S1B, Table S1).
To evaluate tumor burden and identify a cause for the animals’ morbidity and short lifespan, we evaluated lung density, function and histology. Direct measurement of tumor burden by micro-computed tomography (CT) was hindered by the diffuse and widely dispersed growth of neoplastic lesions in Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D animals; thus, we assessed lung density as a surrogate measurement of transformed lung tissue across genotypes. The Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D genotype displayed high lung density as early as 4 weeks post-viral infection (pvi) and maintained it at 6 and 8–9 weeks when they succumbed. By comparison, Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs showed a lower lung density at 4 weeks, progressively increasing at 6 and 8–9 weeks while Keap1fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs reached high density at 8–9 weeks. KrasLSL-G12D mice were analyzed only at 8–9 weeks pvi at which timepoint they displayed the lowest lung density across all genotypes, consistent with their more indolent disease course (Fig. 1C–D, Fig. S1C).
By 6–8 weeks pvi, Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mice were already demonstrating severe respiratory distress. Based on three key functional pulmonary readouts: (i) carbon monoxide diffusion (DFCO); (ii) functional residual capacity (FRC); and (iii) baseline respiratory resistance (Rrs), the Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mice exhibited maximal lung dysfunction compared to the other genotypes (Fig. 1E–F). These data, combined with the severe respiratory distress and labored breathing in the triple mutant mice, indicated that lung failure, associated with inspiratory muscle fatigue, contributed to the reduced survival of this group.
Histological evaluation of mouse lungs at 7 weeks pvi identified significant differences in both the number and distribution of tumor nodules in Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs with versus without Keap1 loss. In Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D animals, tumors affected all lung lobes and occurred throughout the lung parenchyma from the airways to the pleura (Fig. 1G, Fig. S1D). These lungs contained dozens of distinct foci ranging from atypical adenomatous hyperplasia (AAH) to poorly differentiated adenocarcinomas containing dysplastic cells with abnormal mitotic figures. In contrast, lobes of Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D animals contained large, but fewer tumors that appeared to be radiating from the airways into the adjacent parenchyma. Furthermore, such tumors were often surrounded by pools of mucin admixed with necrotic debris. Overall, these data point towards a tumor-promoting effect of Keap1 loss in the context of Stk11 loss and KrasG12D activation, facilitating earlier onset and multi-focal tumor initiation compared to Stk11 loss alone.
Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mice display tumor growth within airways, severe airway obstruction, and mucinous differentiation linked to Stk11 loss
To gain a better understanding of the impact of Keap1 and Stk11 loss on lung cancer histology, we performed a more detailed evaluation of lungs at 6–12 weeks pvi. At this early timepoint, one- to two-third of Stk11fl/flKrasLSL and Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mutant lungs bore adenomas and adenocarcinomas. Furthermore, for both genotypes lungs developed AAH and both mucinous as well as non-mucinous bronchiolar epithelial hyperplasia (BEH). KrasLSL-G12D and Keap1fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs developed carcinomas only at later timepoints, 12–24 weeks pvi (Fig. 2A, Fig. S1E, Table 1). Unique among triple mutant lungs was the presence of intra-bronchiolar papillary carcinomas, sometimes completely obstructing the airways (Fig. 2A, green crosses). The combination of these features, absent from the other three genotypes, likely explains the respiratory distress and early-onset mortality in triple mutant mice.
Figure 2. Keap1 loss leads to respiratory distress, associated with an aggressive tumor phenotype, severe airway obstruction, mucinous differentiation, as well as balances redox stress in a Kras-driven lung cancer mouse model with concurrent Stk11 loss.

(A) Representative high-magnification images of murine lungs at 7 weeks post adeno-Cre infection for each genotype. Blue Arrow: Atypical adenomatous hyperplasia; Blue Star: Solid adenoma; Red Arrow: Acinar carcinoma with mucous containing neoplastic cells; Yellow Star: Mucous present within gland lumen and airways; Green Cross: Papillary carcinoma. By 6–12 weeks, KrasLSL-G12D mice had only developed coalescing areas of AAH (blue arrow), while Keap1fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mice developed more extensive AAH, with a single Keap1fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mouse developing an adenoma (blue star) and 4/6 (66%) developing non-mucinous BEH. Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mice showed evidence of mucinous differentiation with large goblet cells (red arrow) and abundant wispy basophilic mucinous material in the alveolar spaces (yellow star). Unique among triple mutant lungs was the presence of intra-bronchiolar papillary carcinomas comprised of a fibrovascular core, long papillary fronds extending into the bronchiole lumen and loaded with abundant viscous mucus. (B) Representative images from 6–7-week old KrasLSL-G12 , Keapfl/flKrasLSL-G12D, Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D and Keapfl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs stained with Alcian Blue/PAS to assess mucin production. The KrasLSL-G12D and Keapfl/flKrasLSL-G12D images display non-mucinous atypical epithelial hyperplasia, the Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D image is of a carcinoma with mucinous differentiation and the Keapfl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D image displays marked bronchiolar epithelial hyperplasia with mucinous differentiation. (C) Expression of Nkx2–1 and mucinous markers in murine lungs. High expression levels are shown in red; low levels in blue. The 16 murine lung samples are annotated by their Keap1 and Stk11 status. (D) The average expression of mucinous genes MUC5AC, MUC5B and AGR2 (mucinous signature score) in function of genotype in TCGA LUAD tumors. Tumors are grouped by STK11 and/or KEAP1/NRF2 alteration, independent of KRAS status. According to a multivariate linear model of mucinous marker expression as a function of STK11, KEAP1/NRF2, and KRAS status, both KEAP1/NRF2 and KRAS alterations are significantly associated with mucinous marker expression (p = 0.033 and 0.014, respectively), but the effect of STK11 loss is dominant (p = 5e-5). (E) NKX2–1 expression in function of genotype in TCGA LUAD tumors. Tumors are grouped by STK11 and/or KEAP1/NRF2 alteration, independent of KRAS status. (F) Flow cytometry-based assessment of ROS levels in dissociated mouse lung epithelium tumor cells (CD45−EpCAM+) using carboxy-H2DCFDA dye, graphed as percent of CD45−EpCAM+ (n=5). (G) Determination of oxidative stress levels in lungs from different genotypes. The TBARS (Thiobarbituric Acid Reactive Substances) assay was used to measure malondialdehyde levels, a marker of lipid peroxidation and resultant oxidative stress (n=7–8). (H) 4-hydroxynonenal (4HNE), a common byproduct of lipid peroxidation during oxidative stress, was measured in lung tissue homogenates by ELISA (n=7–8). (I) Estimation of total GSH levels in lungs from mice with different genotypes (n=6–8). Statistical analyses represent One-way ANOVA: *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001, ****p<0.0001.
Table 1:
Summary of lung tumor histology assessment across mice with different genotypes, corresponding to Fig 2A. wks: weeks, AAH: atypical adenomatous hyperplasia, AdCA: adenocarcinoma, BEH: bronchiolar epithelial hyperplasia.
| Genotype | Age (wks) | AAH | Adenoma | AdCA | Squamous histology | Mucinous histology | Non-Mucinous BEH | Mucinous BEH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kras LSL | 6–12 | 4/7 | 2/7 | 0/7 | 0/7 | 0/7 | 0/7 | 0/7 |
| Keap1fl/fl KrasLSL | 6–12 | 6/6 | 1/6 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 4/6 | 0/6 |
| Stk11fl/fl KrasLSL | 6–12 | 13/13 | 8/13 | 4/13 | 0/13 | 12/13 | 11/13 | 13/13 |
| Keap1fl/fl Stk11fl/fl KrasLSL | 6–12 | 26/26 | 17/26 | 14/26 | 2/26 | 6/26 | 26/26 | 26/26 |
| Kras LSL | 12–19 | 3/3 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/3 | 0/3 | 2/3 | 0/3 |
| Keap1fl/fl KrasLSL | 12–19 | 6/6 | 5/6 | 2/6 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 5/6 | 1/6 |
| Stk11fl/fl KrasLSL | 12–19 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 |
| Kras LSL | 19–24 | 6/6 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 0/6 | 0/6 | 6/6 | 0/6 |
Interestingly, all adenomas and adenocarcinomas in Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mice showed evidence of mucinous differentiation; this phenomenon was only apparent in 43% of carcinomas in Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs (Fig. 2A, Fig. S1F, Table 1). Staining for mucins using Alcian Blue/PAS at 6–7 weeks pvi confirmed mucin production in Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D and Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs; in contrast, KrasLSL-G12D and Keap1fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs displayed only non-mucinous AAH (Fig. 2B). The association of a mucinous differentiation phenotype with Stk11 loss was further supported by a 6–10-fold increase in the mRNA expression of the canonical mucinous marker genes Muc5b and Agr2 in Stk11fl/fl versus Stk11 wild-type lungs (p = 0.0002 and 0.002, respectively; Fig. 2C, Table S1). Consistent with the mouse data, a significantly higher expression of the mucinous markers MUC5AC, MUC5B and AGR2 was present in STK11-mutant human tumors from TCGA LUAD (7), independent of KEAP1/NRF2 status (Fig. 2D). Mucinous differentiation is often associated with deleterious mutations and/or decreased expression of the NKX2 homeobox 1 (NKX2–1 or TTF1) protein, a lineage-specific transcription factor that negatively regulates mucinous marker expression (17). Yet, our mouse lung adenocarcinomas stained positive for TTF1/NKX2–1, including the areas of mucinous differentiation and independently of genotype (Fig. S1E–F). By contrast, there was a modest decrease in Nkx2–1 expression in Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs at the mRNA level (1.5-fold, p = 0.018), but we found no evidence of a downregulation in Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs (Fig. 2C, Table S1). Consistent with the mouse phenotypes, STK11 status had no impact on NKX2–1 levels in the human LUAD TCGA dataset, whereas NKX2–1 mRNA levels were ~2-fold lower among KEAP1/NRF2-mutant tumors (Fig. 2E). An additional characteristic of the Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D genotype was the presence of squamous carcinomas in 40% of lungs at 12–19 weeks psi, consistent with previous reports (18). Finally, quantification of Ki67-positive nuclei across tumor histotypes revealed an overall higher proliferation rate among Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D compared to Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D tumors of any histology (Fig. S1G). Differences by genotype per histology did not reach significance due to the small sample size.
In summary, our GEMMs and TCGA analyses provide additional insights into the impact of Keap1 versus Stk11 loss on LUAD differentiation and progression, revealing phenotypes specific to Stk11 loss (namely a high frequency of mucinous adenocarcinomas arising independently of changes in Nkx2–1 mRNA levels) and those exacerbated by combined Keap1 loss (early onset tumorigenesis, high proliferation rates, presence of intra-bronchiolar carcinomas and association with moderately lower Nkx2–1 mRNA expression). The cross-species concordance suggests that our mouse LUAD model faithfully recapitulates human LUAD phenotypes.
Keap1 loss counteracts the increase in redox stress induced upon Stk11 inactivation in a Kras-driven lung cancer mouse model in vivo
We have previously shown that STK11 loss limits the flexibility of tumor cells to overcome bioenergetic and redox stress, due to defective AMPK activation and decreased NADPH levels (19). Hence, we evaluated the impact of Keap1 loss on lung redox homeostasis in the context of combined Stk11 loss in vivo, making use of the described GEMMs. Using a flow cytometry-based measurement of intracellular ROS (CM-H2 DCFDA), we observed a doubling of epithelial cells high in ROS levels (defined as EpCAM+CM-H2 DCFDAhigh) in Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs, relatively to KrasLSL-G12D lungs, that was dramatically decreased upon concurrent Keap1 loss (Fig. 2F). Assessing lipid peroxidation, a process linked to free oxygen radicals modifying unsaturated fatty acids, revealed a similar pattern: two lipid peroxidation byproducts, thiobarbituric acid-reactive substances (TBARS) and 4-hydroxynonenal (4-HNE), displayed highest levels in Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D mouse lungs, whereas concurrent loss of Keap1 was able to completely reverse the Stk11-null phenotype (Fig. 2G–H). Keap1 loss also significantly increased glutathione (GSH) levels, irrespectively of Stk11 expression (Fig. 2I). Collectively, these data support the model that Keap1 loss with ensuing constitutive Nrf2 transcriptional activation - as evidenced through the upregulation of several Nrf2 target genes (Fig. 1B, Fig. S1B) - results in a robust ROS detoxification capacity, neutralizing the increased redox stress induced upon Stk11 loss in vivo.
We confirmed the cooperativity between NRF2 activation and STK11 loss in maintaining redox balance in human LUAD HCC515 isogenic cell lines with either inducible knockdown of KEAP1 and/or re-introduction of STK11 (Fig. S2A–D). Under suspension growth, STK11-null HCC515 cells showed decreased viability compared to STK11-reconstituted cells and this phenotype was rescued by KEAP1 knockdown. Accordingly, KEAP1 knockdown reversed the dramatic increase in ROS levels observed in STK11-null cells under suspension conditions (Fig. S2E–F). In the case of KEAP1 knockdown this phenotype was associated with increased total and de novo (M+5, shaded bar) synthesis of the anti-oxidant tripeptide GSH (Fig. S2G). These experiments support the model that KEAP1 loss, leading to NRF2 activation, can compensate for the loss of STK11 to maintain low ROS levels via increased total GSH synthesis and enable survival under redox stress conditions.
A transcriptional signature of NRF2 activation is prognostic in primary human lung adenocarcinoma and correlates with low STK11 mRNA expression
We set out to assess the prevalence of functional NRF2 activation, beyond merely genomic alteration, and its clinical impact across human NSCLC. We and others previously released KEAP1/NRF2 signatures (12,20–23). All but one of those signatures were curated from literature or originated from in vitro models, with signatures containing genes that associated with KEAP1 genomic alterations or correlated with known NRF2 targets. Only one KEAP1-mutant-specific signature was previously derived from TCGA lung adenocarcinoma tumors; yet, its whole-transcriptome nature limits clinical practicality (11). Herein, we employed a different approach aimed at identifying a core set of KEAP1/NRF2 associated genes from human tumors that are independent from histology, hence considering both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma (7,24), since NRF2 activation is also prevalent in LUSC (35%) (24); further we aimed at identifying genes that were independent from recurrent oncogenic events, namely alterations in KRAS and STK11 in LUAD and TP53 in LUSC (Fig. 3A, Fig. S3A). As described in Supplementary Materials & Methods, we devised a 96-gene signature of KEAP1/NRF2 pathway activation (Fig. 3B, Fig. S3B–D, Table S2). This signature captures metabolic processes such as glutathione, xenobiotics as well as arachidonic acid metabolism (Fig. 3C, Table S2). A subset of these 96 genes was consistently upregulated in both clinical and pre-clinical NRF2-active tumor samples (Fig. 3D–E, Table S3), and likely represents a set of universal NRF2 targets. Other signature genes were only upregulated in clinical samples, suggesting they may either represent context dependent NRF2 targets in primary human lung cancer and/or features of the tumor microenvironment associated with NRF2 activation, both important to capture in human tumor samples.
Figure 3. A novel gene expression signature of NRF2 activation is prognostic in primary human lung adenocarcinoma and correlates with low STK11 mRNA expression.

(A) Overlap of KRAS, STK11, and KEAP1/NRF2 alterations in 439 human lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) tumors from the TCGA dataset. (B) Expression of 96 genes consistently induced by KEAP1/NRF2 independently of histology, in 439 LUAD tumors. High expression levels are shown in red; low levels in blue. Tumors are annotated by KRAS, STK11, KEAP1/NRF2 genomic status, and NRF2 signature score, and ordered by increasing score. (C) KEGG pathways significantly enriched within the 96-gene signature, with adjusted p-value <0.05. The full list of KEGG pathways is available in Table S2. (D) Volcano plot of genes for the comparison of KEAP1-mutant vs. -wildtype HCC515 cells, independent of STK11 status and media condition. (E) Volcano plot of genes for the comparison of Keap1-altered vs. -wildtype murine lung samples (independent of Stk11). Highlighted in red are 77/96 signature genes with mouse orthologs. (F) Kaplan-Meier curve of overall survival (OS) in 428 LUAD patients. High signature is significantly associated with worse OS in a univariate model (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.25–2.56, p-value 0.0014), and in a multivariate model when accounting for KRAS and STK11 alteration status (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.27–2.60, p-value 0.0011). (G) STK11 expression by NRF2 signature-low/high in LUAD. STK11-mutant tumors are colored in green. Denoted p-value compares NRF2 signature-high vs. low LUAD tumors, using the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon test. The association of STK11 expression with the NRF2 signature is independent of STK11 mutation status: multivariate linear model predicting STK11 expression based on signature status and STK11 status; p-value signature = 6e-11, p-value STK11 0.8.
By calculating a signature score based on the 96 signature genes and defining histology-specific score thresholds above which a tumor is more likely to have aberrant KEAP1/NRF2 pathway activity, we found that the majority of patients with documented genomic KEAP1/NRF2 alterations [63% of LUAD and 89% of LUSC] possessed a high signature score (Fig. S3E–F). Reversely, 7% of wild-type LUAD and 24% of wild-type LUSC also had a high signature score (Fig. S3E–F), indicating that a transcriptional signature of NRF2 activation can capture patients displaying functional NRF2 pathway activation in the absence of a documented pathway mutation. Furthermore, our signature was associated more strongly with poor OS in LUAD (multivariate HR = 1.82, p = 0.0011; adjusting for KRAS and STK11 status) (Fig. 3F) than genomic KEAP1/NRF2 alterations (HR = 1.31, p = 0.14) and remained a poor prognostic factor, even when accounting for genomic KEAP1/NRF2 alteration status (HR = 2.07, p = 0.0035). While the signature added independent prognostic information beyond genomic KEAP1/NRF2 alterations (Likelihood Ratio (LR) test, p = 0.0043), the reverse was not true (LR test, p = 0.45). These characteristics were generally true for the various KEAP1/NRF2 signatures, as indicated by a comparative analysis in Fig. S3G–H, Table S4 and S9, and Supplementary Materials & Methods. Finally, in support of a synergistic relationship between concurrent KEAP1/STK11 loss, a high NRF2 activation signature was associated with low STK11 mRNA expression in primary human LUAD, even among tumors with no documented STK11 genomic alteration (multivariate model, signature p = 6e-11, STK11 mutation status p = 0.8, Fig. 3G). Overall, this analysis suggests that a transcriptional signature of NRF2 activation has the potential to be a superior clinical diagnostic tool to KEAP1/NRF2 mutation status in NSCLC.
NRF2 activation and STK11 mutations associate with shorter survival in docetaxel- and atezolizumab-treated advanced non-squamous lung cancer
To further dissect the impact of NRF2 activation on tumor immune contexture and clinical outcomes, we made use of a clinical lung cancer dataset of second-line (2L+) metastatic or locally advanced NSCLC patient participants in OAK (NCT02008227), a phase III trial comparing standard of care treatment (docetaxel) to the immune checkpoint inhibitor atezolizumab (anti-PD-L1) (25). We first confirmed (i) that the biomarker evaluable populations (BEP) were representative of the intent-to-treat populations (Table S5) and (ii) the robust performance of the NRF2 activation signature in 2L+ non-squamous tumors, including a strong enrichment among KEAP1/NRF2-mutant tumors (Fig. 4A, Fig. S4A–B) and a negative association with OS (HR = 1.79, p = 7e-5; Fig. S4C). Importantly, our NRF2 signature captured significant prognostic signal beyond mere genomic KEAP1/NRF2 alterations (LR test p = 7.8e-4), yet, the reverse was not true (LR test p = 0.77; Table S6). We also confirmed that STK11-null tumors were more likely to be NRF2 signature-high (41% of signature-high vs. 13% of signature-low; Fisher’s exact test p = 1.8e-7; Fig. 4A; Table S7).
Figure 4. NRF2 activation and STK11 mutations associate with shorter survival in both chemo- and immuno-therapy treated advanced non-squamous lung cancer.

(A) Visual representation of the relationships between KEAP1/NRF2 mutations (black), NRF2 activation signature status (purple/pink), KRAS (gold) and STK11 (green) alterations in non-squamous OAK. (B-C) Overall survival (OS) of KRAS-altered (B, n=131) or KRAS-wildtype patients (C, n=247), depending on NRF2 signature and STK11 mutation status. Patients lacking STK11 mutations or NRF2 activation (KRAS, n=87, or none, n=177; blue) have significantly longer survival than patients with either NRF2 activation (KEAP1 KRAS, n=5, or KEAP1, n=39; black), STK11 mutations (STK11 KRAS, n=20, or STK11, n=19; green) or both (KEAP1 STK11 KRAS, n=19, or KEAP1 STK11, n=12; red) (B: log rank P = 0.006, C: P = 0.0002). (D-F) Kaplan Meier curves for overall survival (OS) of 378 non-squamous patients with both transcriptional and mutational profiling, split either by NRF2 signature group (D), by STK11 mutation status (E) or KRAS status (F), showing atezolizumab and docetaxel arms separately. Median survival is significantly shorter in the signature score high group in both the atezolizumab (41 patients out of 188; median survival low = 16.8, high = 10.6 months; HR = 1.72; CI = 1.15, 2.58; Wald test p = 0.0078) and docetaxel (34 patients out of 190; median survival low = 13.5, high = 6.0 months; HR = 1.98; CI = 1.31, 3.00; Wald test p = 0.002) arms. Median survival of STK11-mutant patients is shorter in the atezolizumab (34 patients out of 188; median survival WT = 16.4, ALT = 9.5 months; HR = 1.54; CI = 0.998, 2.38; Wald test p = 0.051) and docetaxel (36 patients out of 190; median survival WT = 14.0, ALT = 6.4 months; HR = 2.28; CI = 1.52, 3.43; Wald test p = 7.3e-5) arms, although significantly so only in the latter. KRAS alterations do not significantly affect survival in either the atezolizumab (61 patients out of 188; median survival WT = 13.5, ALT = 16.8.5 months; HR = 0.75; CI = 0.51, 1.11; Wald test p = 0.15) or the docetaxel arm (70 patients out of 190; median survival WT = 12.6, ALT = 10.3 months; HR = 1.39; CI = 0.98, 1.95; Wald test p = 0.061). For a global survival analysis see Fig. S4C–E. (G) Forest plot showing the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for different patient subgroups, comparing OS of atezolizumab treated to docetaxel treated patients. (H-I) Bar graphs splitting patients by mutation status for KRAS and STK11 (ALT, i.e. altered, or WT, wildtype), showing the fraction of patients in the four categories for PD-L1 protein staining on tumor cells (TC, TC0 <<< TC3, H) and immune cells (IC, IC0 <<< IC3, I). KRAS alterations are associated with higher PD-L1 protein expression on TC (LR test p = 2.2e-6), while STK11 mutations are associated with lower PD-L1 protein expression on IC (LR test p = 3.8e-4) and, when co-occurring with KRAS alterations, on TC (Fisher’s exact test p = 7.5e-5). The number of samples per group is indicated above the graph.
Among patients with KRAS-altered tumors, we found that either STK11 loss and/or NRF2 activation significantly reduced overall survival (Fig. 4B), consistent with our in vivo mouse model (Fig. 1A). Yet, a similar negative impact of these two events on overall survival in KRAS-wildtype tumors indicated independence from KRAS status (Fig. 4C); hence, we further assessed the impact of STK11 loss and NRF2 activation in the combined sample set, i.e. both KRAS-altered and -wildtype tumors.
We found both the NRF2 activation signature and STK11 mutation status to be prognostic in 2L+ LUAD, irrespectively of treatment arm (NRF2 signature: atezolizumab HR = 1.72, Wald test p = 0.0078; docetaxel HR = 1.98, p = 0.002; STK11 mutations: atezolizumab HR = 1.54, p = 0.051; docetaxel HR = 2.28, p = 7.3e-5; Fig. 4D–E). In addition, the NRF2 signature and STK11 mutation status each contributed independently to poor prognosis, across both treatment arms (Fig. S4C–D, see Table S4 for statistics). In contrast, KRAS mutation status was not prognostic in either treatment arm (p = 0.76; Fig. 4F, Fig. S4E, Table S6). Instead, while the BEP as a whole trended towards longer survival on atezolizumab compared to docetaxel, KRAS-altered tumors were the ones for which this benefit reached statistical significance (HR = 0.53 [CI = 0.35; 0.81], Fig. 4F–G, Table S6). Similar associations with outcome were observed for alternative end points (progression free survival and overall response, Table S6, Fig. S4F–L). Further, observed associations with OS were independent from previously described molecular correlates of response to atezolizumab in NSCLC, PD-L1 protein expression on either immune cells (IC) or tumor cells (TC) as measured by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and tumor mutation burden (26–28) (Supplementary Materials & Methods).
In OAK, patients with high PD-L1 TC expression derived the greatest benefit from atezolizumab, although OS improvement versus docetaxel was noted for the complete range of positive PD-L1 expression (25). Hence, we evaluated PD-L1 protein expression in the context of alterations in KRAS, STK11 and the NRF2 activation signature (Fig. 4H–I). KRAS alterations were associated with increased PD-L1 TC staining (LR test p = 2.2e-6, Fig. 4H), which may partially explain the improved survival of patients with KRAS-altered tumors when treated with atezolizumab, relative to docetaxel (Fig. 4F–G). In contrast, STK11 mutations were negatively associated with PD-L1 TC expression, however only in the context of a co-existing KRAS alteration: while 3% of STK11-mutant compared to 51% of STK11-wildtype tumors stained positive for PD-L1 on TCs among KRAS-altered tumors (Fisher’s exact test p = 7.5e-5), there was no significant difference in TC PD-L1 expression by STK11 status among KRAS-wildtype tumors (16% vs. 27%, Fisher’s exact test p = 0.73; Fig. 4H). In the case of PD-L1 IC staining, thought to correlate with IFNγ–induced adaptive immune evasion, there was also a negative association with STK11 mutations and this was observed irrespectively of KRAS status (LR test p = 3.8e-4, Fig. 4I). The NRF2 activation signature was also negatively associated with PD-L1 TC staining, however this was likely driven by the enrichment for STK11-mutant tumors among NRF2 signature-high patients. Of note, despite their negative association with PD-L1 expression and negative prognostic outlook, both STK11-mutant and NRF2 signature-high tumors derived benefit from atezolizumab to a similar extent as the overall evaluable patient population, irrespectively of KRAS status (Fig. 4G).
OAK being an immunotherapy trial, we assessed whether NRF2 activation as well as KRAS and STK11 alterations impacted the tumors’ immune contexture. To do so, we calculated scores for established immune cell signatures (Table S8). Expression of a signature estimating infiltration by T effector cells trended towards statistical significance (F-test p = 0.05) for being lowest in the STK11-mutant /NRF2 signature-high subgroup (Fig. S4M). The NK cell gene signature, however, showed significantly higher expression among STK11-mutant/NRF2 signature-low tumors (Tukey’s HSD test p = 0.035) (Fig. S4N). Expression of a dendritic cell (DC) signature was significantly reduced in tumors with high NRF2 signature score, without (p = 0.030) and with concurrent STK11 mutations (p < 0.001) (Fig. S4O). On the other hand, a myeloid gene expression signature was more highly expressed in STK11-mutant only tumors (p = 0.003) (Fig. S4P). Consistent with our mouse models, we observed a positive association of the mucin gene expression signature with STK11 loss (p <<< 0.001) (Fig. S4Q), and a negative association of NKX2–1 expression with NRF2 activation in the absence of STK11 loss (p = 0.001) (Fig. S4R).
To summarize, in 2L+ LUAD, we find that high expression of the NRF2 activation signature and STK11 inactivation are two independent negative prognostic factors, associated with inferior outcomes to both chemotherapy and immunotherapy regimens. In contrast, KRAS alterations are associated with a better response to atezolizumab versus docetaxel treatment in this patient population. NRF2 signature score, STK11 inactivation and KRAS alterations have different effects on tumor phenotype and immune contexture, manifested through their distinct impact on PD-L1 immune checkpoint expression on tumor and immune cells, and their association with immune cell gene expression signatures.
Advanced squamous lung cancer patients without NRF2 activation experience longer overall survival when receiving atezolizumab
Finally, we expanded our analyses to OAK participants with squamous tumors (2L+ LUSC), testing the association of our NRF2 activation signature with overall survival, PD-L1 protein expression and impact on tumor immune contexture (Fig. S5A–E, G–I). Strikingly, the NRF2 signature was negatively associated with OS only for patients who received atezolizumab (HR = 1.768 [CI = 1.094; 2.856]), not for those on docetaxel (HR = 1.068 [CI = 0.696; 1.639], Fig. S5C–D). While these data suggest that a low NRF2 signature score may be predictive of benefit from atezolizumab therapy in squamous lung (Fig. S5E), a formal test for the interaction between the NRF2 signature and treatment arm in affecting survival did not reach significance (LR test p = 0.111).
Intrigued by this finding, we validated this association in another independent clinical data set, IMpower131 (NCT02367794) (Fig. 5A, Fig. S5F). IMpower131 is a phase III trial in first line (1L) stage IV squamous NSCLC, comparing the efficacy of a combination of atezolizumab plus chemotherapy (ACP or ACNP) versus chemotherapy alone (CNP; Carboplatin + Nab-Paclitaxel) (29). While 54% of 2L+ patients were NRF2 signature-high (OAK, Fig. S5A–B), only 32% of tumors exhibited NRF2 activation in 1L (IMpower131, Fig. 5A). We confirmed in this 1L LUSC population that NRF2 signature-low patients derived unique survival benefit only when treated with atezolizumab-containing treatment regimens (ACP vs. CNP: HR = 0.754 [CI = 0.595; 0.955]; ACNP vs. CNP: HR = 0.724 [CI = 0.574; 0.913]; Fig. 5B). Still, a formal test for interaction between the NRF2 signature and treatment arm in affecting survival did not reach significance (LR test p = 0.60, comparing CNP to ACNP), possibly due to the large percentage (>50%) of patients in the control arm who received immunotherapy follow-on therapies (29).
Figure 5. Lack of NRF2 activation associates with longer survival only in immunotherapy, but not chemotherapy treated advanced squamous lung cancer.

(A) Visual representation of the relationships between KEAP1/NRF2 mutations (black), NRF2 activation signature status (purple/pink) and TP53 mutations (gold) in IMpower131. (B) Kaplan Meier curves for OS of 832 participants of the IMpower131 trial with transcriptional profiling, split into NRF2 signature-low (top panel, n=568) and high (bottom panel, n=264), comparing the three different treatment arms [arm A: ACP – atezolizumab + carboplatin + paclitaxel (low n=186, high n=80), arm B: ACNP – atezolizumab + carboplatin + nab-paclitaxel (low n=195, high n=84), arm C: carboplatin + nab-paclitaxel (low n=187, high n=100)]. There is a significant difference in survival between arms in NRF2 signature-low (log rank p = 0.012), but not high (p = 0.408) patients. Median survival in months: low ACP = 13.1, ACNP = 17, CNP = 13.7; high ACP = 11.9, ACNP = 11.1, CNP = 11.6. (C) Association between T effector, natural killer cell (NK), dendritic cell (DC) and myeloid gene signature expression and NRF2 pathway activation in IMpower131. Gene signature scores are plotted, splitting tumors based on NRF2 activation signature expression (“low”, n=568; “high”, n=264). Significant differences between groups are observed for all immune signatures (adjusted Wilcoxon p for T effector: 9.80e-9, NK: 0.025, DC: 2.04e-7, myeloid: 5.64e-4). *p<0.05, ***p<0.001, ****p<0.0001. (D-E) Bar graphs splitting patients by mutation status for NRF2 activation gene signature status, showing the fraction of patients in the four categories for PD-L1 protein staining on tumor cells (TC, TC0 <<< TC3, D) and immune cells (IC, IC0 <<< IC3, E). NRF2 pathway activation is neither associated with PD-L1 staining on TC (Fisher’s exact test p = 0.38) nor on IC (p = 0.30). The number of samples per group is indicated above the graph.
All tested immune signatures were significantly more lowly expressed in NRF2 activated, 1L squamous tumors (Fig. 5C). The same associations were apparent in 2L+ LUSC, with the myeloid gene signature reaching significance (adjusted Wilcoxon test p = 0.011) (Fig. S5G). Interestingly, we did not observe an association of the NRF2 activation signature with PD-L1 TC or IC staining in LUSC in either the IMpower131 (Fig. 5D–E) or OAK (Fig. S5H–I) data sets.
We conclude that NRF2 activation impacts the tumor immune contexture in both 1L and 2L+ LUSC. Further, patients with low expression of our NRF2 activation signature show superior survival when treated with atezolizumab, while patients with a NRF2-activated tumor have poor prognosis and remain a high unmet clinical need population.
Discussion
Human lung cancer is a heterogeneous disease (1), hence understanding the impact of key oncogenic drivers on disease biology and clinical outcomes is key for the design of new therapies. Early preclinical studies using GEMMs demonstrated a critical role for NRF2 activation in KrasG12D-driven lung tumorigenesis (10), while more recently deletion of Keap1 either via CRISPR or Cre-loxP recombination technology was found to accelerate KrasG12D-induced in vivo lung tumorigenesis both alone and in the context of co-deletion with additional tumor suppressors such as p53 or PTEN (10–12,30,31). However, given that in human LUAD, KEAP1 loss and NRF2 activation often co-occur with the loss of STK11 in KRAS-altered patients, dedicated studies assessing the interplay between these three events are warranted to reveal their epistatic relationships. Prior studies of KrasG12DStk11−/− lung tumorigenesis found Stk11 loss to accelerate Kras-driven lung tumorigenesis, and described a high degree of tumor heterogeneity and plasticity, attributed to features such as tumor cell-of-origin and redox state (18,32–34). By comparison, targeting the Keap1 locus in a KrasG12DStk11fl/fl GEMM using Cre-loxP recombination technology has only recently been reported for a small cohort of mice (12). That study found survival of mice not to be statistically different between KrasG12DStk11fl/fl and KrasG12DStk11fl/flKeap1fl/fl mice, concluding that Keap1 loss did not cooperate with Stk11 loss in vivo (12). While these data appear to contrast with our findings, likely the number of mice evaluated post-intranasal virus delivery was too small and the survival data too variable to have sufficient statistical power to detect anything other than large survival differences (12,35). Overall, we believe that these differences in experimental design allow us to more accurately model the triple mutant phenotype in vivo and interrogate the interplay between Keap1 and Stk11 loss in KrasG12D-driven lung tumorigenesis.
We conclude that Keap1 loss synergizes with the loss of Stk11 and the activation of KrasG12D in promoting early-onset, multi-focal tumor initiation, with triple mutant tumors showing an aggressive phenotype of increased proliferation and intra-airway growth, not seen among Stk11-null tumors. We propose that these features lead to early lung dysfunction and lethality in Keap1fl/flStk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D animals within 6–8 weeks post-infection. Another key observation from our GEMMs is the high prevalence of mucinous hyperplasia and mucinous adenocarcinoma among Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs, arising as early as 6–12 weeks pvi and maintained upon concurrent deletion of Keap1. At first glance, this may appear to contrast with the high prevalence of adeno-squamous and squamous histologies previously reported among Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D tumors (18,32,33). However, our data suggest that there is a kinetic component driving the differentiation state of Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D tumors: while squamous carcinomas were rare upon Stk11 loss or combined Keap1/Stk11 loss at the early timepoints of 6–12 weeks, prevalence increased at later timepoints (12–19 weeks). Indeed, during the latter interval, Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D lungs displayed a high fraction of squamous carcinomas (40%) often co-occurring with regions of adenocarcinoma and mucinous differentiation, consistent with the histological heterogeneity and prevalence previously reported for Stk11fl/flKrasLSL-G12D tumors (18). Interestingly, we confirmed a significant, positive association between STK11 loss and a high mucinous gene expression signature in primary and advanced human LUAD, suggesting that the mouse histology captures characteristics of human tumors. This association occurred irrespectively of NRF2 activation in both human LUAD and our GEMMs, consistent with STK11 loss being a dominant driver of this differentiation phenotype. The apparent discrepancy in association of mucinous differentiation with STK11 loss reported herein, versus with low NKX2–1 expression and CDKN2A/B loss reported in (8), is caused by differences in genomic-based versus transcriptome-based classification of tumors and the fact that genomic alterations reflect merely an enrichment in, rather than exclusivity to, transcriptional-based subgroups of tumors.
In addition to mouse modeling, we analyzed human clinical datasets to dissect the individual contributions of NRF2 activation, STK11 loss and KRAS alterations to clinical outcomes and phenotypic characteristics of primary and advanced human lung cancer. For this purpose, we utilized clinical and gene expression data from two large cohorts of first-line and second-line NSCLC patients treated with anti-PD-L1 (atezolizumab) and/or chemotherapy (25,29), in addition to the TCGA dataset. We derived a 96-gene NRF2 activation signature valid independently of tumor histology and frequently co-occurring oncogenic alterations. The fact that this and other NRF2 activation signatures (12,20,21) have a higher prognostic power compared to genomic KEAP1/NRF2 alterations alone (Table S9) suggests that transcriptional profiling captures functional NRF2 activation more broadly and thus has the potential, pending prospective validation, to serve as an improved diagnostic for functional NRF2 pathway deregulation across NSCLC; such a functional signature is hence particularly suited for future therapeutic approaches blocking the NRF2 pathway, contrary to mutant-specific inhibitors. It is intriguing that not all patients harboring genomic alterations in KEAP/NRF2 exhibit NRF2 pathway activation, as determined by our signature, stressing the necessity, albeit out of scope for this study, of a detailed analysis of the functional consequences of individual mutations. Of note, we did not find an association between NRF2 activation and BACH1, previously shown to be activated under conditions of reduced oxidative stress and to stimulate glycolysis-dependent lung adenocarcinoma metastasis (36,37). Expression of BACH1 and BACH1-dependent genes such as HO-1 as well as redox stress were not associated with KEAP1/NRF2 alterations, in neither the in vivo models and human tumors.
Our NRF2 signature is associated with negative prognosis in both primary (TCGA) and advanced LUAD (OAK). While a previous KEAP1/NRF2 signature has also been associated with worse outcomes in primary LUAD (TCGA) (11), to the best of our knowledge no prior study directly compared the individual impact of NRF2 activation on treatment response to the two standard-of-care regimens (chemotherapy and immunotherapy) in an advanced lung cancer patient cohort (such as the OAK dataset). A prior report presenting data from three patient cohorts without control arms (i.e. single-arm studies) as well as a phase III trial with limited numbers of KRAS-mutant, STK11-null tumors (n = 6 for anti-PD-1 and n = 3 for docetaxel arms) proposed STK11 loss to be a genomic driver of resistance to PD-1 checkpoint inhibitors in KRAS-mutant lung adenocarcinoma, suggesting it to be predictive rather than prognostic (9). Our 2L+ LUAD dataset has sufficient patient numbers to establish STK11 loss, like NRF2 activation, as associated with poor overall survival not only in the context of anti-PD-L1 treatment, but also docetaxel treatment. We also took advantage of biomarker IHC data in our 2L+ LUAD cohort to identify a novel, positive association between PD-L1 protein expression on tumor cells and the presence of KRAS alterations, consistent with an improved survival of patients with KRAS-altered tumors when treated with PD-L1 blockade compared to docetaxel treatment. Conversely, STK11 mutations were associated with reduced PD-L1 protein expression on immune cells and – only in the context of concurrent KRAS alterations – on tumor cells; this finding expands on previous reports that associated STK11 loss with a lack of PD-L1 expression on tumor cells, irrespective of KRAS status (8,9). The requirement for combined STK11 loss and KRAS activation may reflect a distinct epigenetic state of the PD-L1 promoter in those tumors, given that PD-L1 TC expression has been proposed to be regulated via hypermethylation of the PD-L1 promoter (38). Tumor PD-L1 expression may also be linked to tumor differentiation state: for example, mucinous adenocarcinomas have previously been reported to express low PD-L1 levels (17). Unlike TC expression, the association between STK11 mutations and low PD-L1 IC expression is valid independently of KRAS status, likely reflecting an “immune cold” tumor microenvironment (38).
Analysis of two LUSC datasets revealed that our NRF2 signature is not prognostic among both 1L (IMpower131) and 2L+ (OAK) LUSC patients. Instead, we report that LUSC patients with a low NRF2 signature show superior survival when treated with an atezolizumab-containing regimen and not with chemotherapy alone. While these observations are consistent with the lack of association between survival and NRF2 signature expression in LUSC TCGA and hence with an immunotherapy-specific survival benefit, the evolving treatment landscape for NSCLC towards immunotherapy-centric will make a definite assessment of predictive versus prognostic effect of our NRF2 signature challenging – and arguably obsolete. Yet, our findings point towards a potential role for NRF2 in promoting immune evasion in LUSC, especially considering the negative association between the NRF2 signature and all tested immune signatures; these data suggest that NRF2-high tumors are less immune infiltrated and consistent with lack of benefit from immunotherapy for NRF2-high tumors. The fact that these tumors are generally refractory to current treatment options might explain the relative enrichment of NRF2-activated tumors in 2L+ patients (54% vs. 32% in 1L) and further emphasizes the need to develop better therapeutic options for affected patients. Of note in LUSC, NRF2 signature status had no impact on PD-L1 expression on either immune or tumor cells. Overall, our data supports the model that a tumor’s genetic make-up directly or indirectly impacts its immune contexture and indicates that better knowledge of this association may help design better future therapies to improve treatment efficacy across NSCLC.
Although current standard of care including chemotherapy and immunotherapy will remain in effect until alternative treatment options have been established, it will be important to either prospectively and/or retrospectively evaluate the status of each oncogenic driver relative to patient outcomes, given that NRF2 status, STK11 loss or KRAS activation can confer unique tumor response profiles and vulnerabilities. As a diagnostic tool, our or other NRF2 activation signatures have the potential to more accurately identify patients with functional pathway activation beyond KEAP1 and NFE2L2 mutational status and help guide future clinical decision-making. Our data also provide further rationale for therapeutic targeting of NRF2 in pathway-activated tumors, an area of high unmet medical need, given their worse outcomes and poor responses to currently available treatments. Our mouse model, showing rapid disease initiation and progression in the context of Stk11 loss, may be a useful tool for evaluating future NRF2-targeting agents in an in vivo setting.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank Melissa R. Junttila for critical comments on the manuscript and Scott Foster for helpful discussions.
Financial support: Part of this work was supported by grants from the National R&D Program for Cancer Control, Ministry of Health & Welfare, Republic of Korea (1420320, HA17C0033) and the Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Science, ICT & Future Planning (NRF-2017R1C1B2003162) to S.-M. Jeon. AS was supported by Flight Attendant Medical Research Institute and Maryland Cigarette Restitution Fund. SB is supported with NIH R01CA206155.
Footnotes
Conflict of interest: Authors with a Genentech affiliation may hold company shares. S.B and A.S hold patent number 8216777 titled “Compositions and methods for the treatment or prevention of chemoresistant neoplasia” dated July 10, 2012.
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