Abstract
Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) encompass two main entities including ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease. Although having a common global pathophysiological mechanism, IBD patients are characterized by a significant interindividual heterogeneity and may differ by their disease type, disease locations, disease behaviours, disease manifestations, disease course as well as treatment needs. Indeed, although the therapeutic armamentarium for these diseases has expanded rapidly in recent years, a proportion of patients remains with a suboptimal response to medical treatment due to primary non-response, secondary loss of response or intolerance to currently available drugs. Identifying, prior to treatment initiation, which patients are likely to respond to a specific drug would improve the disease management, avoid unnecessary side effects and reduce the healthcare expenses. Precision medicine classifies individuals into subpopulations according to clinical and molecular characteristics with the objective to tailor preventative and therapeutic interventions to the characteristics of each patient. Interventions would thus be performed only on those who will benefit, sparing side effects and expense for those who will not. This review aims to summarize clinical factors, biomarkers (genetic, transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolic, radiomic or from the microbiota) and tools that could predict disease progression to guide towards a step-up or top-down strategy. Predictive factors of response or non-response to treatment will then be reviewed, followed by a discussion about the optimal dose of drug required for patients. The time at which these treatments should be administered (or rather can be stopped in case of a deep remission or in the aftermath of a surgery) will also be addressed. IBD remain biologically complex, with multifactorial etiopathology, clinical heterogeneity as well as temporal and therapeutic variabilities, which makes precision medicine especially challenging in this area. Although applied for many years in oncology, it remains an unmet medical need in IBD.
Keywords: drug optimization, inflammatory bowel disease, precision medicine
Introduction
Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) are chronic and recurrent inflammatory disorders of the gastrointestinal tract, which encompass two main entities including ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn’s disease (CD). 1 The pathogenesis of IBD is not fully understood but the most commonly accepted hypothesis is an inappropriate gut mucosal immune response towards the constituents of the gut microbiota which cross an impaired epithelial barrier, in genetically predisposed individuals and under the influence of environmental factors.2–4 Although having a common global pathophysiological mechanism, patients are characterized by a significant interindividual heterogeneity. 1 IBD patients may differ by their IBD type, disease locations, disease behaviours (inflammatory, structuring, penetrating), disease manifestations [including the presence or absence of extraintestinal manifestations (EIMs)], disease course and evolution as well as treatment needs.5–9
These patients require a continuous monitoring and treatment to manage the disease. Unfortunately, despite currently available options, a proportion of patients experience a suboptimal response to these costly therapies [due to primary non-response (PNR), secondary loss of response (SLR) or intolerance], justifying multiple sequences of these or a recourse to surgery.10–13 As a consequence, IBD, whose prevalence continues to increase worldwide, 14 have a significant economic impact on healthcare systems and create a considerable financial burden.15,16 There is a need to change our disease management and shift our ‘reactive’ approach, where cares are driven by complications, for a ‘proactive’ approach, more accurate, aiming to prevent disease consequences. 17 Directly administering the most effective treatment, with a limited risk of side effects, to each patient, would improve the quality of life of these patients (by reducing the number of flares-up, the development of complications, as well as the emotional impact related to treatment failure 17 ) and reduce costs for healthcare systems.16,18
Precision medicine is based on the classification of individuals into subpopulations according to their clinical and molecular characteristics (using biomarkers), to tailor preventative and therapeutic interventions to the characteristics of each patient (Figure 1).5,18,19 Interventions would thus be performed only on those who will benefit, sparing side effects and expense for those who will not.5,19 Although often confused, precision medicine is slightly different from personalized medicine, which refers to treatments tailored towards single individuals (rather than subgroups based on risk/characteristics stratification).5,19 While the concept of precision medicine has been applied for longer in oncology [e.g. the benefit from a monoclonal antibody targeting human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) (trastuzumab) for patients with HER2+ breast cancer 20 ], it remains an unmet medical need in IBD. 21 IBD are biologically complex diseases, with a multifactorial etiopathology, characterized by patients and clinical heterogeneity as well as temporal and therapeutic variability, which make precision medicine especially challenging in this area. 5
Figure 1.
Concept of precision medicine.
Currently, our treatment approach is more the one shown in the left of the figure, where the same treatments are given to all patients. But with this ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach, some patients will show a clinical response, some will not and some may develop side effects. Using clinical factors and biomarkers (genetic, transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolomic, radiomic and microbiota) as well as predictive tools, precision medicine towards which there is a desire to evolve (on the right-hand side of the figure), could allow stratification of patients into high-risk patients, who would require a topdown strategy, and low-risk patients, for whom a step-up strategy would be more appropriate. It would also predict the response to treatment, allowing the administration of a certain type of drug only on those who will benefit, sparing side effects and expense for those who will not.
5-ASA, 5-aminosalicylic acid; JAK, Janus kinase; TNF-α, tumour-necrosis factor α; UST, ustekinumab; VDZ, vedolizumab.
This review aims to summarize clinical factors, biomarkers (genetic, transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolic, radiomic or from the microbiota) and tools identified as predictors of (1) disease progression (and severity), (2) treatment response and (3) optimal dose of drug for a particular patient. The time at which these treatments should be administered (or rather can be stopped in case of a deep remission or in the aftermath of a surgery) will also be addressed. These data should help the clinician to choose the right strategy, the right treatment and the right dose at the right time for the right patient.17,22
Stratifying IBD patients at diagnosis: Predictors of disease course
A first important point in the management of patients is the identification of their risk of disease progression or severity. 23 If gastroenterologists historically used clinical predictors to help tailor the strategy, we have progressively moved to the use of biomarkers. 17 Whether in UC or CD, genome-wide association studies (GWASs) were used to identify genetic variations associated with the risk of colectomy for medically refractory UC or those that could influence prognosis in CD.24–26 Haritunians et al. 25 showed that a risk score based on the combination of 46 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) should provide a useful adjunct to clinical parameters to predict the natural UC history. They also reported that the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) and TNFSF15 (TL1A) could contribute to severe UC. 25 The HLA-DRB1 polymorphism seems also to be associated with a more complicated disease in UC (including pancolic disease and increased risk of colectomy).5,27 In CD, Lee et al. identified four SNPs associated with poor prognosis using GWAS, including rs5929166, rs9279411, rs147856773, rs75764599 corresponding to the XACT, MHC, FOXO3 and IGFBP1–IGFBP3 candidate genes, respectively. NOD2 polymorphism appears to also be associated with more complicated disease course28,29, ATG16L1 (risk allele rs2241880) seems to be associated with perianal involvement.5,30 Regarding transcriptomics, on a cohort of newly diagnosed paediatric CD patients, Kugathasan et al. demonstrated that the upregulation of ileal genes controlling extracellular matrix production at diagnosis was associated with the occurrence of stricturing disease in a risk model including age, race, disease location and antimicrobial serologies (RISK study). 31 The implementation of this gene signature improved the specificity of this promising prediction model, which should be tested and validated on adult cohorts.24,31
Metabolomics can also be used to predict disease outcome. Analysing the total plasma N-glycomes of 2635 IBD patients by mass spectrometry, it has been shown that in addition to being able to discern UC and CD patients, some glycosylation patterns, such as the decrease in IgG-related galactosylation, were associated with disease progression, the need for a more potent medication and surgery. 32 Recently, Shubhakar et al. 33 investigated the composite serum N-glycomic biomarker to predict future disease course in a cohort of 244 newly diagnosed IBD patients. Assessing also these biomarkers on an independent replication cohort, they demonstrated that serum N-glycan biomarkers had the ability to predict the risk of treatment escalation from a first-line treatment to biologics or surgery. 33 Low plasma histidine level has also been suggested to be associated with poorer disease course.34–36
Finally, the radiomics, or biomarkers based on imaging, can also help to assess the disease prognosis. 24 An initial scan can show underlying bowel damage resulting from long-term inflammation. 24 This CD-related bowel damage can be assessed by the Lémann index which uses clinical, endoscopic and magnetic resonance enterography (MRE) data.24,37–39 Liu et al. showed that Lémann index at diagnosis could predict the risk of surgery in the first year after CD diagnosis.24,37–39 In another prospective study, Fiorino et al. 40 evaluated the ability of the Lémann index and the Magnetic Resonance Index of Activity (MaRIA) score to predict disease progression in CD. They reported that Lémann index was independent risk factor for intestinal surgery and CD-related hospitalization during patient follow-up, while the MaRIA score was not associated with a worse outcome. 40 Again, using the MRE, it has recently been demonstrated that the risk of progressing to surgery within 5 years was more common in patients with restricted diffusion, a greater degree of upstream dilation from stricture, the presence of complex fistula, a perienteric oedema and a fibrofatty proliferation. 41 Longer bowel involvement and an increased bowel wall thickness are other factors associated with the risk of surgery.24,41,42 Finally, the METRIC-EF study (a multicentre, non-randomized, single-arm, prospective study) which is currently underway aims to identify MRE features, present at diagnosis, in a cohort of newly diagnosed adult CD patients, and which could improve the prediction of disabling CD within 5 years of follow-up. 43 Ultrasound (US) could be used to predict disease course as well. On a cohort of 225 ileal and/or colonic CD patients, Allocca et al. set up a non-invasive quantitative US-based score (bowel US score). Bowel US score greater than 3.52 (considering bowel wall thickness and vascularization changes) and the presence of at least one disease complication (stricture, fistula, abscess) at baseline bowel US (as well as faecal calprotectin value of 250 μg/g or greater at baseline and male sex) were independent predictors of a worse outcome (including the need for treatment change or steroids, hospitalization or surgery) throughout the 12-month period. 44 The sonographic lesion index for CD (SLIC), based on the use of the small intestine contrast ultrasonography, allowed us to classify patients and identify those most at risk of having surgery within 1 year. 45 This index includes the following parameters: bowel wall thickness, lumen diameter, lesion length, number of lesion sites, presence of fistula, mesenteric adipose tissue alteration, abscess and lymph nodes. 45 More specifically, patients with a bowel wall thickness >7 mm at US had a higher risk of surgery over a short period. 46
Factors present at diagnosis and shown to be associated with a poor disease outcome in CD patients or with the risk of colectomy in UC patients are listed in Table 1. However, these factors were identified retrospectively and have been found to be associated with disease outcome but are not necessarily predictive of it and lack of validation to truly predict the disease progression risk and correctly guide treatment decisions to date.5,21,47,48 While there are no sufficiently reliable markers to dictate disease management, several scores, incorporating a combination of factors, have been developed to predict the specific outcome of the patient’s disease.49–51 One of the best validated clinical-biological tools to date is PROSPECT or Personalised Risk and Outcome Prediction Tool, a web-based tool developed by Siegel et al. 51 which allows us to display individualized risks for developing CD complications, based on disease location (small bowel, left colonic disease, perianal disease), serologic markers [anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibody (ASCA), anti-flagellin (CBir1), perinuclear anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (pANCA)], the NOD2 frameshift mutation, and an interaction term between perianal disease and ASCA. More recently, a team has demonstrated that a transcriptional signature in CD8 T cells can predict disease course both in UC and CD.52,53 As the need for cell separation and microarray-based gene expression analysis made it difficult to translate to clinical practice, they developed, optimized and independently validated a whole 17-gene quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR)-based classifier that is able to reliably predict prognosis in CD and UC patients from diagnosis without the need for cell separation. 54 This first validated prognostic biomarker is currently being assessed in the ‘Predicting outcomes for Crohn’s disease using a molecular biomarker’ (PROFILE) trial. 55 If its clinical utility is demonstrated, this would represent a major step towards precision medicine in IBD. 55 Another purely blood-based predictive tool may also emerge from the Nordic IBD treatment strategy trial (NORDTREAT), which investigates prognostic serum protein profile (derived from the IBD character and Swedish Inception Cohort). 56
Table 1.
Parameters associated with unfavourable disease course at diagnosis including stricturing and penetrating disease in CD and colectomy in UC (except for acute severe UC).
| Prognostic factors | Factors associated with complicated disease in CD (penetrating, fistulizing disease, need for surgery) | Factors associated with the risk of colectomy in UC (except for severe acute UC) |
|---|---|---|
| Environmental | Smoking57–60 | |
| Clinical | - Male gender
61
- Age of diagnosis <40 years62,63 - Nausea and vomiting or abdominal pain on presentation 60 - Ileocolonic and small bowel disease location57,60,62 - Upper gastrointestinal involvement 62 - Perianal disease at diagnosis57,62,63 - Stricturing or penetrating behaviour at diagnosis 64 - Need for steroid at initial presentation57,62,63 - Early use of azathioprine or anti-TNF 57 |
- Male gender65,66 - Younger age at diagnosis48,50,66 - Baseline stool frequency 67 - Progression from proctitis/left-sided to extensive colitis, extent of disease50,66,68–70 - Need for systemic steroids50,66 or ever use of corticosteroid 69 - Need for cyclosporine 66 - Family history of UC 25 - Arthritis 67 - Pyoderma gangrenosum 67 - Primary sclerosing cholangitis 71 - Treating ‘high-risk’ patients with medications other than anti-TNF therapy during the first 6 months after diagnosis 67 |
| Biological/serological | - Low haemoglobin and haematocrit levels
72
- Neutrophils count 60 - Circulating antibodies against bacterial antigens (including anti-I2, anti-ompC, anti-Saccaromyces cerevisiae IgG antibody, perinuclear antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies, anti-CBir1 flagellin, anti-mannobioside carbohydrate IgG antibody, anti-chitobioside carbohydrate IgA antibody, anti-laminarin IgA)73–78 - Extracellular matrix molecules (fibronectin, collagen propeptides, laminin) 79 - Growth factors (YKL-40, bFGF)80,81 - Faecal calprotectin 82 |
- High baseline C-reactive protein50,66,83 - High erythrocyte sedimentation rate50,66 - Anaemia65,67 - Low serum albumin level (proposed cut-off : 2.45 g/dL) 84 - High anti-αvβ6 measured in serum samples 85 |
| Endoscopic | - Severe endoscopic appearances with deep mucosal ulceration48,86 | |
| Histological | - Presence of histological inflammation in the endoscopically uninflamed mucosa 87 | |
| Genetic | - NOD2/CARD15
88
(SNP: rs2066847)89–91 - IRGM polymoprhism 92 - MHC (SNP: rs77005575) 93 - FOXO3 (SNP: rs147856773) 26 - XACT (SNP: rs5929166) 26 - IGFBP1 (SNP: rs75764599) 26 - Major histocompatibility complex region stretching from the HLA-B to HLA-DR genes (rs9279411) 26 rs2241880 polymorphism of ATG16L1 94 - MMP3 95 - Increased amount of rick alleles for IBD5, DLG5, ATG16L1 and IL23R96–98 |
- A risk scoring system (based on the combination of 46 SNPs), identified by GWAS analyses and provided suggestive association at the TNFSF15 (TL1A) locus
25
- HLA-DRB1*0103 allele 27 |
| Transcriptomic (from intestinal biopsies) | - Gene expression from rectal biopsies with following clusters: RGS14, MRPL20, PTK2B, TNFRSF4, TNFRSF18, CDC42SE2 upregulation and CISD1, EDN3, RORC and PLA2R1 downregulation 99 | |
| Transcriptomic blood (from whole blood) | - CD8+ T-cell transcriptional profiles: elevated expression of genes involved in antigen-dependent T-cell responses, including signalling initiated by both IL-7 and TCR ligation pathways [associated with the need for treatment escalation or surgery (or both) over time in both CD and UC] 53 | |
| Metabolomics | - Serum N-Glycomic Biomarkers
33
- The decrease of IgG-related galactosylation 32 - Serum N-glycan biomarkers 33 |
- Serum N-glycomic biomarkers
33
- The decrease in IgG-related galactosylation 32 - Serum N-glycan biomarkers 33 |
| Radiomics | Using MRE:
- Lémann index at diagnosis37,40 - Longer bowel involvement41,42 - Increased bowel wall thickness41,42 - Restricted diffusion 41 - Greater degree of upstream dilation from stricture 41 - The presence of complex fistula 41 - A perienteric oedema 41 - Fibrofatty proliferation 41 Using US: - Bowel US score greater than 3.52 44 - Presence of at least 1 disease complication (stricture, fistula, abscess) at baseline bowel US 44 - Patients classified in class E and D using sonographic lesion index for CD 45 - Bowel wall thickness >7 mm 46 |
CT scan:
- Mural stratification 100 - Number of positive findings using bowel wall thickening, stranding and hyperenhancement as well as mural stratification, mesenteric hyperaemia and proximal dilation 100 |
bFGF, basic fibroblast growth factor; CD, Crohn’s disease; GWAS, genome-wide association study; IL, interleukin; SNP, single nucleotide polymorphism; TCR, T-cell receptor; TNF, tumour necrosis factor; UC, ulcerative colitis; US, ultrasound; YKL-40, chitinase 3-like 1.
Finally, the disease course can also be characterized by the occurrence of EIMs which can also influence the therapeutic strategy. Both in UC and CD, elevated pANCA levels have been identified as predictor of the occurrence of uveitis and erythema nodosum. 101 Other molecular arguments have also been incriminated. HLA-B27-positive IBD patients may have a greater risk of developing an ankylosing spondylitis. 101 Carriers of the mutant allele for IL23R SNP had a significantly higher probability of developing EIMs (p < 0.05) 102 and in UC, the HLA-DRB1*0103 allele is associated with the development of EIMs. 27 These elements could be important to take into consideration, as they could guide the clinician to institute, for example, directly a treatment potentially acting on these EIMs.
Choosing the appropriate treatment
Predictors of treatment response
In recent years, our better understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying IBD has contributed to expand the therapeutic armamentarium. 103 Current therapies include 5-aminosalicylic acids (5-ASA), corticosteroids, immunomodulators (such as azathioprine, 6-mercaptopurine, methotrexate and cyclosporine), anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) agents (including infliximab, adalimumab, certolizumab pegol for CD, golimumab for UC), an anti-integrin α4β7 inhibiting lymphocytes trafficking from the blood into the gut (vedolizumab), an anti-interleukin (IL)–12/23 p40-subunit (ustekinumab) and small molecule Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors (such as tofacitinib and recently filgotinib in UC). Identifying, prior to treatment initiation, which patients are likely to respond to a specific drug (or even the optimal therapeutic sequence or combination) would improve the disease management and clinical outcomes. 23 Beside clinical and biological factors already used in current practice, there is a whole series of biomarkers (including genetic, transcriptomic, proteomic, metabolomic, radiomic and from microbiota) previously explored that could predict response or non-response to these therapies. Predictive factors of treatment response in UC and CD are summarized in Figure 2(a) and (b), respectively (and detailed in Tables 2 and 3).
Figure 2.
Predictive factors of response to anti-TNF, vedolizumab and ustekinumab in UC (a) and CD (b) patients.
ANCA, anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody; BMI, body mass index; CRP, C-reactive protein; EIM, extraintestinal manifestation; IL, interleukin; IS, immunosuppressor; NK, natural killer; SNP, single nucleotide polymorphism; TLR, toll-like receptor; TNF, tumour necrosis factor; TREM, triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1.
Table 2.
Predictors of response to biologic and small molecule drugs at baseline in adult UC patients (except for severe acute UC).104–107
| Predict | Predict the absence of | Predict | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factors | Clinical response | Clinical remission | Biologic | Endoscopic | Histologic | Treatment persistence | Survival without colectomy | Factors | Clinical response | Clinical remission | Mucosal healing | Treatment discontinuation | Colectomy | ||
| Corticosteroids | C/B/E/H | Disease severity 108 | W12 CSF | Extensive UC 109 | Yes | ||||||||||
| Normal stool frequency at baseline 108 | M6 | Weight loss 110 | M3 | ||||||||||||
| Lower UC activity index 111 | Yes | Yes | Serum PR3-ANCA positivity 112 | M3 | |||||||||||
| History of 5-ASA topical product use 108 | M6 | Anaemia at diagnosis 113 | Yes | ||||||||||||
| Initial requirement of total parenteral nutrition 113 | |||||||||||||||
| Colonic mucosal hypereosinophilia 114 | M1 | ||||||||||||||
| Proteo | Higher MMP-7 expression 115 | M3 | |||||||||||||
| 5-ASA | C/B/E/H | Older age 116 | M12 | Male gender 117 | 1 year | ||||||||||
| Lower UC activity index 111 | Yes | Yes | Short disease duration 117 | 1 year | |||||||||||
| Glucocorticoid use before prescription 116 | M3 | Left-sided or extensive colitis at diagnosis 118 | Yes | ||||||||||||
| Number of co-morbid illnesses 116 | |||||||||||||||
| Hospitalization for a gastrointestinal condition 116 | |||||||||||||||
| Initial haemoglobin level <10.5 g/dL 118 | Yes | ||||||||||||||
| Higher C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio 119 | M3 | ||||||||||||||
| Higher C-reactive protein-to-lymphocyte ratio 119 | M3 | ||||||||||||||
| Thiopurines | C/B/E/H | Older age 120 | LT | Younger age at IBD diagnosis 121 | W16 | ||||||||||
| Lower WBC or neutrophils count 120 ; WBC was less than 5 × 109 292 | Yes | Male gender 121 | W16 | ||||||||||||
| Higher mean Cell volume 120 | Concomitant systemic steroid administration 122 | Yes | |||||||||||||
| TPMT activity level <15.3 U/mL blood 123 | M4 | TPMT activity >35 pmol/h/mgHb 124 | M6 | ||||||||||||
| Genetics | c.94C > A variant on ITPA 125 | M12 | SNP AOX1 (the product of which activates the essential cofactor for aldehyde oxidase and xanthine oxidase/dehydrogenase) c.3404A > G (Asn1135Ser, rs55754655) 124 | M3 | |||||||||||
| GSTM1 deletion 126 | M3 | ||||||||||||||
| MTX | C/B/E/H | Younger age at diagnosis 127 | Yes | ||||||||||||
| Longer duration between diagnosis and methotrexate initiation 127 | Yes | ||||||||||||||
| Other | Nomogram developed by Wang et al. with age at diagnosis and sex as predictors 127 | Yes | |||||||||||||
| ANTI-TNF | C/B/E/H | Female gender 128 | 1 year | Yes | Ex-smoker status 129 | M6 | |||||||||
| Lichtiger clinical activity index score ≥ 9 128 ; higher colitis activity index before anti-TNF therapy 130 | W14 | W6 | History of CMV colitis within 3 months prior to anti-TNF treatment 131 | Induction | |||||||||||
| Extend disease 132 | LT-FU | Prior calcineurin inhibitors use 128 | W61y | ||||||||||||
| Concomitant immunomodulator 128 | W6
1 year |
Absence of concomitant immunosuppressant therapy | Yes | ||||||||||||
| Higher serum albumin level 133 | W8 | pANCA+/ASCA- 134 | W10 | ||||||||||||
| Lower albumin 135 | LT | Severe disease (Mayo score ≥ 11 points) at the initiation of anti-TNF 131 ; Severe Mayo score 129 | Induction
M6 |
||||||||||||
| Lower neutrophil-to-albumin ratio 136 | W12 | Haemoglobin ≤9.4 g/dL at initiation 137 | M18 | ||||||||||||
| pANCA sero-negativity 130 | W14 | ||||||||||||||
| Non-severe endoscopic finding at baseline 133 | W8 | ||||||||||||||
| Lower UCEIS bleeding 138 | W8 | ||||||||||||||
| Genetics | Patients homozygous for high-risk IL-23R variants 130 | W14 | In a dominant model, the homozygous variant genotype of TLR2 > (rs4696480) and both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of TLR2 C > A (rs11938228), LY96 (MD-2) – 1625 C>G (rs11465996), CD14 – 159G > A (rs2569190), TNFAIP3 (A20) C > G (rs6927172), IL1RN T > C (rs4251961) and IL17A 197G > A (rs2275913)139,140 | W22 | |||||||||||
| In a dominant model, both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotype of TLR4 G>A (rs5030728)139,140 | W22 | In a dominant model, the heterozygous genotype of TNFA – 238G > A (rs361525) and both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of TLR4 T > C (rs1554973)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of IL1B – 3737G>A (rs4848306)139,140 | W22 | In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of TLR2 C > A (rs11938228) and the homozygous variant genotype of TLR2 A > T (rs4696480)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of IL6 – 6331T > C (rs10499563)139,140 | W22 | In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of TLR9 1174G > A (rs352139) and the homozygous variant genotype of IL17A 197G > A (rs2275913)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, homozygous variant genotype of TNFRSF1A – 609G > T (rs4149570)139,140 | W22 | The combined homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of IL12B −10993 G > C (rs3212217) 141 | W22 | ||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, the heterozygous genotypes of TLR9 – 1486T > C (rs187084)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, the heterozygous genotypes of MAP3K14 T > C (rs7222094)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of TLR2 597T > C (rs3804099), LY96 (MD-2) −1625 C > G (rs11465996), IL1B – 3737G > A (rs4848306) and IFNG 874T > A (rs2430561)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of TLR2 597T > C (rs3804099)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of TLR4 G > A (rs5030728)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of TNFRSF1A – 609G > T (rs4149570)139,140 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| The combined homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of IL18-607 C4A (rs1946518) 141 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| The homozygous variant genotype of IL12B-10993 G > C (rs3212217) and the combined homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of NLRP3 29940 C > G (rs10754558) 141 | W22 | ||||||||||||||
| Transcriptomics | A downregulation of a combination of 5 genes (and proteins encoded): TNFRSF11B (osteoprotegerin), STC1 (stanniocalcin-(1), PTGS2 (prostaglandin-endoperoxide synthase (2), IL13Ralpha2 (interleukin 13 receptor alpha 2) and IL11 (interleukin 11) in intestinal biopsies 142 | W8 | W8 | High pre-treatment level of oncostatin M in the gut 143 ; A higher expression of OSM and OSMR in the intestine 144 | M2; M4 | ||||||||||
| LPHN2 and FGF7 expression levels were significantly lower at baseline in intestinal biopsies 145 | W52 | W52 | Higher mucosal mRNA expression of IL-1β, IL-17A, IL-6 and IFN-γ 146 | W14 | |||||||||||
| A 13-gene signature (CMTM2, C5AR1, FGF2, GK, HGF, IL1RN, LILRA2, NAMPT, PAPPA, SNCA, SOD2, STEAP4, ZBED3) 147 | W6 | Lower pre-treatment mucosal expression of Th1 transcription factor – Tbet and higher expression of Th17-Rorc 148 | W12
W54 |
||||||||||||
| Downregulation of mucosal TREM1 mRNA expression levels at baseline 149 | W10 | Upregulation of blood gene expression of the triggering receptor expressed on myeloid Cells 1 (TREM-1) and chemokine receptor type 2 (CCR2) – chemokine ligand 7 (CCL7) – axes 150 | W14 | W14 | |||||||||||
| Downregulation of T-Cell activation RhoGTPase activating protein on colon biopsies 151 | W30 (response) | ||||||||||||||
| Lower mucosal mRNA expression of IL-1β, IL-17A, IL-6 and IFN-γ146,152 | W14 | ||||||||||||||
| Downregulation of whole blood TREM1 mRNA expression levels at baseline 149 | W10 | ||||||||||||||
| Panel including ACTN1, CXCL6, LAMA4, EMILIN1, CRIP2, CXCL13 and MAPKAPK2 153 | Resp
W12 |
||||||||||||||
| Proteomics | Higher levels of defensine 5 (DEF5, gene name = DEFA5), eosinophil cationic protein (ECP, gene name = RNASE3) 154 | W12 or W14 | Higher levels of cathelicidin antimicrobial peptide (CATH, gene name = CAMP), IL-12, IL-17A and TNF before treatment start 154 | W12
W14 |
|||||||||||
| Higher transmembrane TNF-α in circulating lymphocytes and monocytes 155 | W14 | W14 | Elevated innate but not adaptive immune responses 156 | M3 | |||||||||||
| Stronger suppression of T-Cell surface receptor expression and cytokine secretion from blood Cells cultured in vitro 157 | W12or 14 | Higher frequency of pre-treatment plasma Cells abundance (assessed by CD138+ immunochemistry staining) in colon biopsies 150 | W14 | ||||||||||||
| Serum elevated level of TNF-α and IL-12158 | W6 | Serum elevated level of IL-8, IL-2, IL-5, IL-1β and IFN-γ 158 | W6 | ||||||||||||
| Low oncostatin M levels in serum (proposed threshold <168.7 pg/mL)34,68 | W54 | Higher IL-13 and lower IL-15 level 159 | W10 | ||||||||||||
| ACTBL2 (Q562R1), MBL2 (P11226), BPI (P17213), EIF3D (O15371) and CR1 (P17927) 160 | W14 | ||||||||||||||
| Radiomics | Visceral adipose tissue volume ≥3000cm3,161 | M12 | CT: visceral adipose tissue volume ≥3000 cm3,161 | M12 | |||||||||||
| CT: visceral fat index ≥ 0.67161 | M6
M12 |
||||||||||||||
| Microb. | Lower dysbiosis indexes and a higher level of F. prausnitzii 154 | W12
W14 |
|||||||||||||
| VEDOLIZUMAB | C/B/E/H | Mild disease activity (partial Mayo score < 5, Simple Clinical Colitis Activity Index < 6 or mild disease as defined by PGA) on treatment onset162,163 | W14 | Articular EIM 164 | W54 | ||||||||||
| Active or previous smoking 165 | W14 | Mayo score > 9 at baseline166,167 | W14 CSF | ||||||||||||
| No prior anti-TNF use165,168,169 | W14
W54 |
High baseline UC-PRO2 164 | W54 | ||||||||||||
| Prior steroids less than 25% of the time in the last 6 months 169 | W54 | Concomitant steroid use at the time of induction318322 | W54 CSF | Yes | |||||||||||
| Elevated baseline CRP > 0.8 mg/L at induction 170 ; higher CRP at baseline 163 | W14 | W14 | Corticosteroid-refractory disease 164 | W54 | |||||||||||
| Baseline IL-8 values >8.6 pg/mL 171 | M12 | Anti-TNF refractory disease 164 | W54 | ||||||||||||
| Previous anti-TNF exposure172,173 | W6 | W26 | |||||||||||||
| Elevated CRP at induction 163 ; CRP greater than 20 mg/L 166 | W14 | Yes | |||||||||||||
| Leucocyte count > 9000 × 109/L at baseline 167 | W54 CSF | ||||||||||||||
| Low serum 25(OH)D 174 | Yes | ||||||||||||||
| Genetics | Using a diffusion-based signalling model which is mainly focused on the T-Cell receptor signalling network − 48 receptor-TF pairs identified, among which FFAR2-NRF1, FFAR2-RELB, FFAR2-EGR1 and FFAR2-NFKB1 are the top best predictors 175 | W6
W12 W52 |
|||||||||||||
| Transc. | Expression of RGS13, DCHS2, MAATS1 and PIWIL1 in colon tissue predicts endoscopic remission in VDZ treated patients 176 | W14 | |||||||||||||
| Proteo. | Higher than α4β7 expression on T, B and natural killer Cells 177 | 180 days | Higher circulating levels of IL-6 178 | W14 | |||||||||||
| Higher baseline CD8 α4β7 + memory T Cells 179 | W14 | W14 | W14 | ||||||||||||
| Microb. | Higher α-diversity and lower β-diversity; R. inulinivorans and Burkholderiales were more Abundant 180 | W14 | |||||||||||||
| Other | Score ≤ 26 at clinical decision support tool 181 | W26
CSF |
|||||||||||||
| USTEKINUMAB | C/B/E/H | Male gender 182 | W16 | Partial mayo score > 6 183 | W12
W16 |
||||||||||
| History of both exposure to anti-TNF and vedolizumab therapies 183 | W12
W16 |
||||||||||||||
| High CRP at baseline 184 | W16 | ||||||||||||||
| Transc. | Lower mucosal expression of IL-23A (IL-23p19) 144 | M2
M4 |
|||||||||||||
| Microb. | The presence of an abundance of two operational taxonomic units affiliated with Faecalibacterium and Bacteroides at baseline (using 16S rRNA gene sequencing) 185 | W16 | |||||||||||||
| TOFACITINIB | C/B/E/H | Older age 186 | W52 | Oral corticosteroid use 186 | W52 | ||||||||||
| Partial Mayo score < 2 186 | W52 | Higher CRP at baseline 186 | W52 | ||||||||||||
| Endoscopic subscore at baseline < 2 186 | W52 | ||||||||||||||
Factors and biomarkers, present at baseline (before initiation of treatment), that have been shown (in multivariate analysis) their ability to predict the achievement or non-achievement of the end point (and the associated timing).
Ab, antibody; ASCA, anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibody; ANCA, anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies; C/B/E/H, clinical, biological, endoscopic and histological predictive factors; CMV, cytomegalovirus; CRP, C-reactive protein; CSA, Cyclosporin-A; CSF, corticosteroids-free; EIMs, extraintestinal manifestation; IFN, interferon γ; IFX, infliximab; IL, interleukin; Is, immunosuppressant; MTX, methotrexate; NF-κβ, nuclear factor-kappa B; PRO, patient-reported outcome; RNA, ribonucleic acid; TLR, toll-like receptor; TNF, tumour necrosis factor; Transc., transcriptomics; UC, ulcerative colitis; UCEIS, Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity; VDZ, vedolizumab; WBC, white blood Cell.
Clinical, biological, endoscopic and histological predictive factors are in purple, genetic factors are in the light orange colour, transcriptomic factors are in blue, proteomic factors in green, radiomic factors in grey, factors from the microbiota in yellow and the other factors are in dark orange.
Table 3.
Predictors of response or non-response to biologics and small molecule drugs at baseline in adult CD patients (for luminal disease).104–107
| Predict | Predict the absence of | Predict | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factors | Clinical response | Clinical remission | Biological end point | Endoscopic remission | Histologic | Treatment persistence | Survival without surgery | Factors | Clinical response | Clinical remission | Biological end point | Endoscopic remission | Treatment discontinuation | Surgery | ||
| Thiopurine | C/B/E/H | Colonic disease 120 | M6 | Male gender 121 | W16 | |||||||||||
| Concomitant oral 5-ASA therapy 122 | LT | Younger age at IBD diagnosis 121 | W16 | |||||||||||||
| Non-fistulizing, non-stricturing disease 122 | LT | TPMT activity > 35 pmol/h/mgHb 124 | M6 | |||||||||||||
| WBC was less than 5 × 109120 | Yes | Concomitant systemic steroid administration 122 | Yes | |||||||||||||
| Stricturing disease 187 | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Ileal and ileocolonic location 187 | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Genetics | c.94C > A variant on ITPA 125 | SNP AOX1 (the product of which activates the essential cofactor for aldehyde oxidase and xanthine oxidase/dehydrogenase) c.3404A > G (Asn1135Ser, rs55754655) 124 | M3 | |||||||||||||
| MTX | Clinical | Younger age at diagnosis 127 | Yes | |||||||||||||
| Exclusive upper gastrointestinal tract disease 127 | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| ANTI-TNF | C/B/E/H | Male gender188,189 | W14 | More advanced age at anti-TNF initiation (age ≥65 years for some)190,191 | M3 | |||||||||||
| No smoking 192 | M6 | Smoking193–196 | W4
M3 |
M3 | Yes | |||||||||||
| Shorter disease duration (less than 3 years for somes)196–201 | W12
W26 |
W26
W52 W56 |
Yes | Longer disease duration202,203 | M3 | |||||||||||
| Non-stricturing non-penetrating behaviour 192 | M6 | Isolated ileal disease 191 | M3 | Yes | ||||||||||||
| Colonic disease188,191,195,204 | W4 | W14 | Previous surgery190,191,205 | M3 | ||||||||||||
| Younger age at anti-TNF initiation201,204 | W4 | W26 | BMI < 18.5190 | M3 | ||||||||||||
| EIMs 206 | W26 | W26 | W26 | Severe disease activity at induction, baseline HBI score 196 | Yes | |||||||||||
| Hospitalization within 12 months before baseline 206 | W26 | W26 | W26 | Stricturing disease behaviour187,203 | M3 | Yes | ||||||||||
| Concomitant steroids 206 | W26 | W26 | W26 | Penetrating disease behaviour 187 | Yes | |||||||||||
| Use of immunosuppressive drug191,194,197,203,204,206–208 | W4
W10 M3 |
W24
W26 W52 |
W26 | W26 | Yes | Faecal calprotectin level (>863 μg/g for some) at initiation196,209 | M3 | Yes | ||||||||
| Absence of prior anti-TNF therapy 201 | W4 | Higher CRP level, >15 mg/dL 210 | M3 | |||||||||||||
| Previous surgical resection196,197 | W24
W52 |
Yes | Low albumin 196 | Yes | ||||||||||||
| No previous CD-related surgical resection201,206 | W4
W26 |
W26 | Yes | Low haematocrit 196 | Yes | |||||||||||
| Elevated CRP level (greater than twice the upper limit of the normal range for somes)203,208 | W4
W10 M3 |
|||||||||||||||
| Low serum albumin concentration at baseline 196 | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Haematocrit (every 10% increase in haematocrit increases the probability that a patient will maintain remission) 196 | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Low vitamin D level 211 | W14 | |||||||||||||||
| Neutrophil-to-albumin ratio and neutrophil-to-bilirubin ratio (NBR) 212 | Induction | M12 | ||||||||||||||
| Baseline IL-8 values >8.6 pg/mL and baseline IL-6 values >1.6 pg/mL 171 | M12 | |||||||||||||||
| Genetics | In a dominant model, homozygous variant genotype of TNFRSF1A –609G > T (rs4149570)139,140 | W22 | 16 SNPs predicts durable response (including ATG16L1 polymorphism) 202 | M3 | ||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, homozygous and heterozygous genotype of TLR4 G > A (rs5030728)139,140 | W22 | In a dominant model, the heterozygous genotype of TNFA –238G > A (rs361525) and both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of TLR2 C > A (rs11938228), TLR4 T > C (rs1554973) and TNFAIP3 (A20) C > G (rs6927172)139,140 | W22 | |||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of TLR2 597T > C (rs3804099), TLR2 C > T (rs1816702), LY96 (MD-2) – 1625 C > G (rs11465996), IFNG 874T > A (rs2430561)139,140 | W22 | In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotypes of TLR4 G > A (rs5030728)139,140 | W22 | |||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, the heterozygous genotypes of TLR9 –1486T > C (rs187084)139,140 | W22 | In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotypes of TLR9 1174G > A (rs352139)139,140 | W22 | |||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, the heterozygous genotypes of MAP3K14T > C (rs7222094)139,140 | W22 | In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of IL17A 197G > A (rs2275913)139,140 | W22 | |||||||||||||
| In a dominant model, both the homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of IL1B –3737G > A (rs4848306) and IL6 –6331T > C (rs10499563)139,140 | W22 | Haplotype rs1061624_A-rs3397_T of TNFRSF1B gene 213 | W10 | |||||||||||||
| In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of TNFRSF1A –609G > T (rs4149570)139,140 | W22 | CD patients with one or two rare TNFR1 alleles 214 | W4
W8 |
|||||||||||||
| In a recessive model, the homozygous variant genotype of TLR2 597T > C (rs3804099)139,140 | W22 | Fas ligand 843 TT genotype 204 | W4 | |||||||||||||
| ATG16L1 (rs10210302) CT or TT genotype139,140 | W12
W20 W30 |
IBD5 locus homozygous mutant genotype 215 | W4 | |||||||||||||
| PTGER4 (rs10512734) GG genotype139,216 | W12
W30 |
Several other SNPs including CARD11, IL1R1, IL1R2, IL18 receptor complex 202 | M3 | |||||||||||||
| CASP9 (rs4645983) TT genotype or T allele139,216 | W12 | High activity of TLR5141 | W22 | |||||||||||||
| IL27 (rs8049439) CT or TT genotype139,216 | W4 | W4 | Expansion of IL-23 receptor bearing TNFR2+ T Cells is associated with molecular resistance to anti-TNF 217 | W12 | ||||||||||||
| C11orf30 (rs7927894) CC genotype139,216 | W12 | W12
W20 |
SNP of TNF receptor superfamily 1A (rs767455) 218 | W4 | ||||||||||||
| CCNY (rs12777960) CC genotype139,216 | W4 | W20 | ||||||||||||||
| NR1I2 (rs3814057) CC genotype or C allele139,216 | W30 | |||||||||||||||
| IL13 (rs1295686) AA genotype139,216 | W20
W30 |
|||||||||||||||
| FCGR3A-158V/V genotype208,219,220 | W10 | W2
W6 W8 W10 |
||||||||||||||
| Fas ligand −843 CC or CT genotype (compared to Fas ligand 843 TT genotype) 204 | W4 | |||||||||||||||
| Caspase-9 93 TT genotype in luminal CD (compared to CC and CT genotype) 204 | W4 | |||||||||||||||
| The homozygous variant genotype of IL12B − 10993 G > C (rs3212217) and the combined homozygous and the heterozygous variant genotypes of NLRP3 29940 C > G (rs10754558) 141 | W22 | |||||||||||||||
| S100A8-S100A9, G0S2, TNFAIP6 and IL11 gene expression profile 221 | W10 | |||||||||||||||
| TNFRSF1B polymorphism (rs1061622) 222 | W10 | |||||||||||||||
| SNPs rs9373839 and rs510432 in ATG5 gene 223 | W30 | |||||||||||||||
| Allele C and genotypes CC and CT of the rs1130864 in the CRP gene 223 | W30 | |||||||||||||||
| TNF-α polymorphisms (rs1568885 and rs1813443) 224 | W12
W20 |
|||||||||||||||
| Transcr. | TNFAIP6, S100A8, IL11, G0S2 and S100A9 genes 225 | M3 | High pre-treatment level of oncostatin M in the gut 143 ; A higher expression of OSM and OSMR in the intestine 144 | M2
M4 |
||||||||||||
| Downregulation of mucosal or whole blood TREM1 mRNA expression levels at baseline 149 | W24 | Upregulation of blood gene expression of the triggering receptor expressed on myeloid Cells 1 (TREM-1) and chemokine receptor type 2 (CCR2)- chemokine ligand 7 (CCL7)–axes 150 | W14 | W14 | ||||||||||||
| Panel including ACTN1, CXCL6, LAMA4, EMILIN1, CRIP2, CXCL13 and MAPKAPK2 153 | Resp
W12 |
|||||||||||||||
| Proteomics | Low oncostatin M levels in serum (proposed threshold <168.7 pg/mL)226,227 | W54 | Treg frequency and serum TGF-β1 levels were significantly higher 228 | M3 | ||||||||||||
| High percentage of CD19+ Cells in the inflamed intestinal mucosa predict response to infliximab 229 | M3 | Higher level of serum TNF-α 230 | M3 | |||||||||||||
| Higher transmembrane TNF-α in circulating lymphocytes and monocytes 155 | W14 | W14 | Higher platelet aggregation factor 4 (PF4) expression 231 | W4 | W4 | |||||||||||
| Higher frequency of pre-treatment plasma Cells abundance (assessed by CD138 + IHC staining) in colon biopsies 150 | W14 | |||||||||||||||
| Increased expression of IL-13R 232 | Y1 | |||||||||||||||
| Radiomics | Visceral adipose tissue volume 1500–2999 cm3,161 | M12 | Visceral adipose tissue volume ≥3000 cm3,161 | M12 | ||||||||||||
| A small bowel stricture length of <12 cm 233 | W24 | Visceral fat index ≥ 0.67 161 | M6 | |||||||||||||
| A maximal small bowel diameter proximal to stricture(s) of 18–29 mm 233 | W24 | DW-MRE: apparent diffusion coefficient < 1 × 10−3 mm2/s 234 | M12 | |||||||||||||
| A marked enhancement on delayed phase 233 | W24 | MRE : presence of creeping fat 235 | LT | |||||||||||||
| The absence of a fistula 233 | W24 | Nomogram based on a MRI-based radiomic index able to detect change in iron metabolism developed by Feng et al. 236 | SLR
W24 |
|||||||||||||
| Clinical radiomics nomogram (combining disease duration and a CTE-based radiomics signature) developed by Zhu et al.237 | W26 | Radiomic nomogram with 8 radiographic features developed by Chen et al.238 | ||||||||||||||
| Microb. | Increase in Clostridiales relative abundance 239 | W30 | ||||||||||||||
| Others | High number of mTNF-positive Cells in the colon after spread of fluorescent anti-TNF Ab topically onto the diseased mucosa and used of endoscopic confocal laser endomicroscopy to detect and quantify mTNF-bearing mucosal Cells 240 | W12 | ||||||||||||||
| Presence of GIMAT module 241 | M6
CSF |
Absence of GIMAT module 241 | M6 | |||||||||||||
| IL-6-based nomogram 242 | W14 | |||||||||||||||
| Bioelectrical impedance analysis-based nomogram construction 238 | SLR
W54 |
|||||||||||||||
| VEDOLIZUMAB | C/B/E/H | No history of EIMs 165 | W14 | Smoking history 243 | Y1 | |||||||||||
| No previous surgery 163 | W14 | Higher disease activity at baseline (HBI score > 10 for some)163,166,167,243 | W14
Y1 |
Y1 | ||||||||||||
| No hospitalization in the past 12 months 165 | W14 | Active perianal disease 243 | Y1 | |||||||||||||
| Elevated baseline CRP163,166,170 | W14 | Concomitant steroid use at time of induction163,166,167 | W14
W54 |
Yes | ||||||||||||
| Mild disease activity at baseline, 163 low HBI score162,165,168 | W14 | Previous surgery 163 | Yes | |||||||||||||
| Prior anti-TNF use 243 | Y1 | Y1 | ||||||||||||||
| Elevated baseline CRP 170 | W14 | W14 | ||||||||||||||
| The presence of anaemia at induction 163 | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Low serum 25(OH)D 174 | Yes | |||||||||||||||
| Epigen. | Novel 25- and 23-feature panels of epigenetic biomarkers. CpGs of interest implicated genes involved in endothelial Cell–Cell adhesion and integrin-dependent T-Cell homing 244 | LT | LT | LT | ||||||||||||
| Proteo. | Higher soluble CD40 ligand (sCD40 L) level 178 | W14 | ||||||||||||||
| Higher circulating levels of IL-6178 | W14 | |||||||||||||||
| Microb. | Higher α-diversity and lower β-diversity; R. inulinivorans and Burkholderiales were more abundant 180 | W14 | ||||||||||||||
| Other | High number of α4β7-positive Cells in the colon after spread of fluorescent Ab topically onto the diseased mucosa and used endoscopic confocal laser endomicroscopy to detect and quantify α4β7-positive Cells 245 | LT | LT | Yes | ||||||||||||
| USTEKINUMAB | C/B/E/H | History of 2 or more different immunosuppressive drugs 246 | LT | Younger age 247 | W8 | |||||||||||
| Prior anti-TNF primary failure (versus secondary failure or intolerance) 248 | Short-term | Smoking 247 | W56 | |||||||||||||
| Lower body weight 249 | W8 | History of intestinal resection 246 | Yes | |||||||||||||
| Higher baseline CDAI 249 | W8 | Proximal disease location or L4247 | W8 | |||||||||||||
| Perianal involvement 247 | W8 | |||||||||||||||
| Age <17 years at diagnosis 247 | W56 | |||||||||||||||
| Corticosteroid dependency 247 | W16 | |||||||||||||||
| Stricturing/penetrating phenotype 247 | W16 | |||||||||||||||
| Trans. | Lower mucosal expression of IL-23A (IL-23p19) 144 | M2
M4 |
||||||||||||||
| Microb. | Significantly higher α-diversity; more abundance of Faecalibacterium and Bacteroides 185 | W6 | Higher levels of Faecalibacterium and Escherichia/Shigella 185 | W6 | ||||||||||||
| Lower abundance of Escherichia and Shigella 185 | W6 | |||||||||||||||
Factors and biomarkers, present at baseline (before initiation of treatment), that have been shown (in multivariate analysis) their ability to predict the achievement or non-achievement of the end point (and the associated timing).
Ab, antibody; ANCA, anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies; BMI, body mass index; C/B/E/H, clinical, biological, endoscopical and histological predictive factors; CDAI, Crohn disease activity index; CRP, C-reactive protein; CTE, computed-tomography enterography; EIMs, extraintestinal manifestation; Epigen., epigenetic; HBI, Harvey–Bradshaw index; IFN, interferon γ; IFX, infliximab; IL, interleukin; LT, long term; Microb., microbiote; M, month; MRE, magnetic resonance enterography; NF-κβ, nuclear factor-kappa B; Proteo., proteomic; RNA, ribonucleic acid; SLR, secondary loss of response; TLR, toll-like receptor; TNF, tumour necrosis factor; Trans., transcriptomics; VDZ, vedolizumab; Y, year; W, week.
Clinical, biological, endoscopic and histological predictive factors are in purple, genetic factors are in the light orange colour, transcriptomic factors are in blue, proteomic factors in green, radiomic factors in grey, factors from the microbiota in yellow and the other factors are in dark orange.
Genomics
Genetic polymorphism could influence the response to treatment by a series of mechanisms including drug clearance or immunogenicity and have the advantage of not changing over time. There are therefore several reasons to believe that SNP could be potential biomarkers to predict response to treatment, maybe to identify slow responders from early complete responders and to help selecting the best therapy for each individual patient.139,202 In a systematic review including 15 studies, Bek et al. 139 attempted to identify potential genetic markers to predict anti-TNF response in UC and CD patients. They highlighted that genes involved in the innate immune response such as recognition of bacterial components and cytokine pathways could be important for the response to anti-TNF. 139 Indeed, toll-like receptor (TLR) 4 (rs55030728), FC fragments of IgG receptor IIIa (FCGR3A, rs396991), tumour necrosis factor receptor superfamily 1A (TNFRS1A, rs4149570), interferon-gamma (IFNγ, rs2439561), IL-6 (IL-6, rs10499563) and interleukin-1B (IL-1B, rs4848306) polymorphism were associated with improved anti-TNF response in IBD. 139 TLR2 (rs3804099) and TLR9 (rs352139) SNPs were, on the contrary, associated with a poorer response. 139 A number of genes among the 200 susceptibility genes identified in IBD population were also studied to see whether it could predict the response to biological.104,250–252 Although being the strongest susceptibility gene identified for CD, 89 NOD2/CARD15 polymorphism was not found to be a good predictor of response to infliximab or adalimumab in CD patients.104,253 In contrast, variants in IL-23R, another IBD susceptibility gene, seem to be associated with the response to anti-TNF. 130 Homozygous carriers of IBD risk-increasing IL23R variants (rs1004819, rs2201841, rs10889677, rs11209032 and rs1495965) were more likely to respond to infliximab therapy than homozygous carriers of IBD risk-decreasing IL23R variants (rs7517847, rs10489629, rs11465804 and rs1343151). 130 IL-23 receptors are highly expressed on the surface of Th17 cells and are important for the differentiation of these cells producing TNF-α, which could explain links between IL23R genotype and response to anti-TNF. 130 However, only a minority of IBD patients are homozygous for these IL23R variants, making the use of IL23R genotyping for predicting response to infliximab limited in clinical practice. 130 Hlavaty et al. 204 have also reported that polymorphisms in apoptosis genes (Fas ligand and caspase-9 gene) could influence response to infliximab in luminal and fistulizing CD. Patients with a Fas ligand −843 CC/CT genotype and caspase-9 93 TT genotype have a higher rate of clinical response to infliximab than those with Fas ligand −843 TT genotype and caspase-9 93 CC and CT genotype, respectively. 204 Unfortunately, these findings are not systematically found from one study to another. It was indeed demonstrated on a prospective cohort of 121 CD patients that patients with a Fas ligand CC genotype being a non-responder were fourfold higher as compared to a TC or TT genotype 254
While some studies have shown that models combining genetic and clinical variables were superior to a model including only clinical variables to predict PNR to anti-TNF,21,202 other studies found that the addition of genetic markers did not provide any benefit to these predictive models. 190 To date, few and weak genetic biomarkers were identified to predict response to treatment. These are sometimes not reproducible and are associated with polymorphisms rarely present in the population, which makes their use in clinical practice limited. 139 Furthermore, the expression of these potential genes could be influenced by environmental factors (or the exposome). These can act by modulating the epigenome, which are poorly considered in studies looking for genes associated with treatment response, and deserved to be taken into consideration. 255 The genome sequencing for SNP identification in IBD patients is not currently considered to bring sufficient benefit to justify the associated costs. 256
Transcriptomics
If the study of genomics has not allowed to find sufficiently robust genetic markers to predict response to anti-TNF to date, transcriptomics is another science that could bring complementary data. Transcriptomic studies can be performed on intestinal mucosa biopsies or on blood samples. By analysing the mRNA expression profiles of colonic mucosal biopsies from UC patients enrolled in the Active Ulcerative Colitis Trial 1 (ACT1), Toedter et al. found an expression difference of genes involved in the Th1, Th2 and Th17 pathways between responders and non-responders to infliximab. 151 Similarly, Arijs et al. 142 compared the pre-treatment colonic mucosal biopsy-derived mRNA expression between responders and non-responders to provide a predictive response signature for infliximab treatment in UC. They found that the downregulation of a combination of five genes (TNFRSF11B, STC1, PTGS2, IL13Ralpha2 and IL11) predicted the response to infliximab at weeks 4–8 with 89% of accuracy. 142 A few years later, still in UC patients, but for golimumab this time, baseline gene expression signature was studied to see whether it could be used to predict patients which would achieve mucosal healing, clinical response and clinical remission at weeks 6 and 30 of this anti-TNF. 147 A 13-gene signature (CMTM2, C5AR1, FGF2, GK, HGF, IL1RN, LILRA2, NAMPT, PAPPA, SNCA, SOD2, STEAP4, ZBED3) was also highlighted to predict mucosal healing at week 6 (note that this was not significant in predicting clinical remission or response). 147 For CD patients, the same group (Arijs et al. and colleagues) therefore investigated whether they could identify a mucosal gene panel allowing reliable prediction of response to infliximab. The top five differentially expressed genes at baseline (TNFAIP6, S100A8, IL11, G0S2 and S100A9) allowed to distinguish responders from non-responders to anti-TNF with an overall accuracy of 100% in patients with colonic involvement. 225 Although these studies demonstrated that transcriptional profiles could be useful to predict anti-TNF response, no overlap was found between the identified genes. 23 Finally, a study performed on 48 UC patients showed that non-responders have a more severe proinflammatory cytokine profile with higher IL-1β, IL-17A, IL-6 and IFN-γ mucosal mRNA expression, 146 but these results were not unanimous and other studies reported that higher gene expression levels of IL-17A and IFN-γ were significantly associated with remission after infliximab. 152
Because of their identified role in the IBD pathophysiology, the role of more specific biomarkers has been investigated. The oncostatin M (OSM), a cytokine belonging to the IL-6 cytokine family, whose expression is increased in inflammatory intestinal tissues, would seem to be an inflammatory amplifier and driver of disease chronicity by promoting chemokines, cytokines and adhesion-factor production by intestinal stromal cells. 143 It was demonstrated on an analysis including two cohorts from phase III clinical trials of infliximab and golimumab (more than 200 UC and CD patients), that high baseline expression of OSM was strongly associated with anti-TNF failure. 143 Other mucosal biomarkers have also been suggested but with less robust data. The downregulation of the T-cell activation RhoGTPase activating protein or of the triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 1 (TREM1) mRNA expression levels at baseline was indeed associated with better chance of responding to anti-TNF.149,151 The upregulation of this latter marker (TREM1) in whole blood was also found to be rather predictive of non-response to anti-TNF, as well as the upregulation of chemokine receptor type 2 (CCR2)-chemokine ligand 7 (CCL7).149,150 Peripheral blood markers have the advantage of being more easily accessible and associated with less patient discomfort, making them very attractive targets for the future. 23
Although less widely studied than to predict response to anti-TNF, mucosal gene expression has also been used to attempt to predict response to anti-integrins or to anti-IL12/IL-23. Similar to what they did to try to identify genes that predict response to infliximab in patients with UC and CD, Arijs et al. analysed mucosal gene expression in UC patients treated by vedolizumab. However, no gene has been identified as predictive of vedolizumab response by comparing the pre-treatment array profiles of responders with non-responders. 145 In contrast, Verstock et al. identified, in a cohort of 31 IBD patients, four genes (RGS13, DCHS2, MAATS1 and PIWIL1) whose baseline expression levels in colon tissues could predict endoscopic remission with vedolizumab. 176 Preliminary data were also available for etrolizumab, another anti-integrin targeting the β7 subunit of the heterodimeric integrins α4β7 and αEβ7, before the development was stopped. 257 The presence of increase levels of granzyme a (GZMA) and integrin αE gene mRNAs in colon tissues of UC patients could have allowed IBD specialists to identify patients who are more likely to respond to this treatment.258,259 Finally, for ustekinumab, Nishioka et al. 144 have recently demonstrated that higher mucosal IL23A expression predicts the response to ustekinumab in both UC and CD patients.
History has unfortunately shown that biomarkers found in one cohort were not necessarily found in another. 147 They must also be interpreted with caution because some are simply associated with response to treatment but are not necessarily predictive of it (a remark also applicable to other types of markers). 56 To date, all these highlighted biomarkers need therefore to be validated on independent cohorts before being implemented in clinical practice.
Proteomics and proteins expression
Transcriptomics does not take into account post-translational modifications and does not always allow to have information on the functional repercussions of the mRNA observed changes. 23 To this end, the proteomic or other tools of protein quantification, including immunohistochemistry and flow cytometry, could give more precise indications on how cell function could be impacted and with it, the response to different IBD treatments. 23
A proteomic analysis performed on mucosal biopsies of 56 biologic-naïve UC patients showed that anti-TNF responders and non-responders had differential pattern expressions of anti-microbial peptide AMP and cytokines. 154 Patients responders have higher levels of defensin-5α, eosinophil cationic protein in mucosa, whereas non-responders have higher levels of cathelicidin antimicrobial peptide, IL-12, IL-17A at baseline. 154 Proteomic analyses can also be carried on the blood. A study performed in 47 infliximab-naïve IBD patients showed that patients with a response to infliximab at week 14 had higher transmembrane TNF-α (tmTNF-α) in their circulating lymphocytes and monocytes. 155 Studies are not unanimous regarding the role of TNF-α serum levels in predicting response to anti-TNF. While some have suggested that a higher basal level of TNF-α may be predictive of response to infliximab in UC patients, 158 another study demonstrated that a higher level of serum TNF-α before treatment initiation was associated with lack of response to anti-TNF. 230 Locally in the mucosa, high mucosal TNF-α levels before treatment might instead be associated with a better response to anti-TNF in CD patients. 260 This discrepancy can be explained by the fact that, in humans, the abundance of proteins (such as cytokines) is subject to large genetic variations and that individual differences in abundance do not always reflect individual differences in biological activity. 158 Indeed, for the same level of cytokines, the activity of these may be different and the underlying cytokines composition may also differ. 158 It may therefore be more interesting to study a coordinated (matrix-evaluated) cytokine response rather than the level of a single cytokine to predict response to treatment. 158 Using seven cytokines (TNF-α, IL-12, IL-8, IL-2, IL-5, IL1-β and IFN-γ), Obraztsov et al. 158 proposed a model allowing to classify patients into responders and non-responders with a sensitivity of 84.2% and a specificity of 93.3%. Increases in other cytokines were also associated with a lack of response, but with the same limitation. It was thus demonstrated in 20 CD patients that those not responding to anti-TNF had a higher frequency of Treg (assessed by flow cytometry) in pre-treatment and transforming growth factor (TGF)−β1 level [assessed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA)]. 228
Some teams have also tried to use proteomic or proteins expression data to try to predict the response to IBD therapies other than anti-TNFs. By analysing immunophenotyping of peripheral blood mononuclear cells and expression of α4β7 integrin on lymphocytes from 26 IBD patients, Boden et al. 177 sought to identify biomarkers associated with response to vedolizumab. They found that α4β7 expression on multiple subsets of T, B and natural killer (NK) cells was higher in responders than in non-responders prior to treatment administration. 177 Another study using multiplex ELISA to quantified 47 preselected plasma proteins in blood samples of 28 anti-TNF refractory IBD patients prior to initiation of vedolizumab demonstrated that higher IL-6 and soluble CD-40 ligand circulating level could predict non-response to vedolizumab (only in UC patients for CD-40 ligand) while higher levels of osteocalcin could predict response. 178 Osteocalcin (a marker of bone formation), although increased in responders compared to non-responders, appears to be of limited value in predicting response to vedolizumab and guiding treatment choice. Indeed, the high level of bone formation may only reflect relative bone sparing in patients with less severe disease or less long-standing inflammation. 178 In contrast, IL-6 levels may be more informative. As previously mentioned, high levels of IL-6 have also been described in patients refractory to anti-TNF drugs, suggesting that IL-6 may play a role in non-TNF mediated inflammation.146,178,261 These data suggest that patients with higher IL-6 signalling would benefit from therapy other than anti-TNF or vedolizumab.145,178 For ustekinumab, Creyns et al. 262 demonstrated, in 46 anti-TNF and vedolizumab refractory CD patients, that responders had lower baseline level of innate lymphoid cells expressing transcription factors/cytokines present in Th1 cells (also known as ILC1s cells) while non-responders had higher rates. Finally, a series of anti-IL23 drugs will probably reach the market in the near future. 103 For these therapies, baseline serum concentration of IL-22 (an upstream regulator of IL-23) could be used to predict response to treatment at week 8. Indeed, patients with an IL-22 concentration greater than or equal to 15.6 pg/mL were more likely to respond to anti-IL23p19. 263
Similar to what was observed with transcriptomics, these studies describing potential biomarkers are encouraging but have generally been observed in small cohorts and need to be validated in larger cohorts before being applied in clinical practice. 23
Metabolomics
Metabolomics could also help in predicting the response to biotherapies. 36 In a prospective longitudinal cohort study enrolling 76 CD patients, Ding et al. 264 demonstrated that a range of metabolic biomarkers may contribute to prediction of response to anti-TNF therapy in CD patients. Primary non-responders tended to have modification of serum lipids (higher level of ceramide and sphingomyelin) as well as serum and faecal bile acids changes (higher levels of circulating primary unconjugated bile acids as well as higher levels of bile acids conjugated to sulphate, taurine and glycine in faeces). 264 In contrast, anti-TNF responders had a higher histidine levels in faeces and serum as well as a higher urinary cysteine level and the ROC analysis demonstrated a good model for predicting anti-TNF response for this latter. 264 Faecal metabolites’ profiles could also provide some answers. For example, butyrate and substrates involved in butyrate synthesis (e.g. acetaldehyde) have been identified as predictive metabolites of clinical remission following biologic therapy.36,265 The presence of these metabolites in the stool is influenced by the microbiota, which can, of course, also be used in precision medicine.
Radiomics
A few studies have evaluated the ability of imaging-based biomarkers to predict, at diagnosis, the response to specific treatments. Rimola et al. 235 showed that CD patients with creeping fat or ileal lesions at pre-treatment MRE were unlikely to heal severe inflammation on a long term under anti-TNFα treatment. Some criteria assessed in MRE could also help predict which CD patients with symptomatic ileal stenosis are likely to respond to anti-TNF therapy. 233 In the CREOLE study, CD patients with four criteria or more (including MRE ones) among the following (the use of an immunomodulator, the presence of obstructive symptoms for <5 weeks, a Crohn disease obstructive score >4, a small bowel stricture length of <12 cm, a maximal small bowel diameter proximal to stricture(s) of 18–29 mm, a marked enhancement on delayed phase and absence of a fistula) were considered to be likely to respond to adalimumab. 233 The presence of an apparent diffusion coefficient < 1 × 10−3 mm2/s assessed by diffusion-weighted MRE could also predict response to anti-TNF in CD patients with stricture. 234 A team also looked at the ability of visceral adipose tissue volume and visceral fat index (visceral: subcutaneous adipose tissue ratio; VFI), assessed by computed tomography scans, to predict clinical response and C-reactive protein (CRP) reduction in response to anti-TNFα initiation. 161 IBD patients with visceral adipose tissue volume of 1500–2999 cm3 were most likely to response and to have a mean CRP reduction at 12 months (compared with those with a volume ⩾3000 cm3). 161 In contrast, patients with VFI ⩾ 0.67 were significantly more likely to undergo surgery at 6 and 12 months compared with those with VFI < 0.33. 161 Finally, nomograms based on radiomics were established to predict mucosal healing or SLR with infliximab in CD patients.236–238 Zhu et al. 237 indeed attempted to predict mucosal healing in biologic-naïve CD patients treated with infliximab using clinical factors and radiomics features. Their clinical radiomics nomogram combined disease duration and a computed tomography enterography (CTE)-based radiomics signature at baseline and performed well to predict mucosal healing in CD patients after 26 weeks of infliximab treatment. 237 Feng et al. 236 also established and validated a nomogram based on an MRI-based radiomic index able to detect change in iron metabolism to identify CD patients at risk of SLR to infliximab. Chen et al. 238 also developed a radiomic nomogram with eight radiographic features to predict loss of response to infliximab in CD patients.
Microbiome
Playing a key role in the initiation and propagation of intestinal inflammation in IBD, and modifying in response to IBD treatments, the gut microbiome could also be used to predict attenuation of inflammation in response to biologic treatments.266–270 While for anti-TNF, the presence of a more diverse microbiome at baseline was not predictive of treatment response,269,271 it was, however, associated with clinical remission with vedolizumab (and even predictive for this treatment) and ustekinumab.180,185 More specifically, it has been shown by several studies that disturbances in the taxa that typically produce short-chain fatty acids (SCFA) were associated with conventional and biologics treatment failures.272,273 Indeed, studies have shown that patients more likely to achieve clinical remission with anti-TNF seem to have greater abundance of species producing butyrate prior treatment initiation such as Clostridium citroneae or Agathobaculum butyricproduces.266,274 Consistent with these data, it has been demonstrated that the abundance of another SCFAs producers, F. prausnitzii, tended to be higher in anti-TNF responders than in non-responders at baseline, 154 but this association was not found in all studies. 266 The same is true for patients treated by vedolizumab, for whom, a greater abundance of other SCFAs producers species at baseline, Roseburia inulinivorans and Burkholderiales, was also predictive of remission at week 14. 180 The same authors highlighted the importance of predictive models incorporating both clinical and microbiome data (such as vedoNet, a network algorithm) in predicting clinical remission. 180 Finally, a study investigated the association between faecal microbiota composition and response to ustekinumab in 232 anti-TNF refractory CD patients (from phase 2 CERTIFI study). 185 Faecalibacterium and Bacteroides species were significantly more abundant at baseline in subjects who were in remission 6 weeks after ustekinumab treatment than those who were not, 185 while Escherichia or Shigella were lower. 185
The use of microbiota as predictors of response is made difficult by the fact that the identified disturbance in microbiota may be the reflect of the inflammatory burden or any other confounding factors, including environmental ones. 21 For some, microbiota may be a better biomarker for predicting response to gut-specific therapies, such as vedolizumab, than systemic therapies such as anti-TNF. 180 Lee et al. 266 pointed that the association between microbiome and clinical or endoscopic outcomes was stronger for week 14 than for week 52, suggesting that microbiome may have a greater impact on short-term outcomes. Studies systematically comparing the evolution of microbial profiling with the clinical course in response to a specific treatment would help identify the optimal prediction window of the microbiome for individual clinical outcomes. 266
Others and visualization tools
The use of confocal laser endomicroscopy with the topically application of fluorescent antibodies (targeting anti-TNF or α4β7 integrin) directly onto the disease mucosae allows the detection and quantification of mTNF-bearing or α4β7-positive mucosal cells and to predict response to anti-TNF and to vedolizumab, respectively.240,245 These findings need to be validated in independent larger multicentre cohorts but the use of these fluorescent antibodies in relapsing patients for whom an endoscopy is performed prior to a treatment change would allow us to measure the amount of molecules that is targeted by a particular therapy and could guide the therapeutic strategy. 21 In 2019, Martin et al. 241 showed, using single-cell analysis of ileal inflamed tissues from CD patients, that the presence of GIMAT module at diagnosis was correlated with failure to achieve durable CS-free remission upon anti-TNF therapy. The GIMAT organization refers to a unique cellular module with IgG plasma cells, inflammatory mononuclear phagocytes, activated T cells and stromal cells and is driven by a unique MNP-dependent cytokine/chemokine network. 241
Some have created clinical decision support tools (CDST) to predict outcomes of treatment with vedolizumab in UC and CD patients. 181 In UC patients, using the absence of exposure to an anti-TNF (+3 points), disease duration of 2 years or more (+3 points), baseline endoscopic activity (moderate versus severe) (+2 points) and baseline albumin concentration (+0.65 points per 1 g/L), they could determine, on a validation cohort, with a high sensitivity (93%), that patients with a score of 26 points or less did not respond to vedolizumab. 181 Patients with a score of 27–32 points or 33 points or more had intermediate and high probability of vedolizumab response (corticosteroid-free remission at week 26), respectively. 181 Similarly, a scoring system has been developed and validated to identify CD patients most likely to respond to 26 weeks of vedolizumab treatment. 173 The following factors were used: previous anti-TNF treatment (+3 points), absence of prior bowel surgery (+2 points), absence of prior fistulizing disease (+2 points), baseline level of albumin (+0.4 points per g/L) and baseline concentration of CRP (reduction of 0.5 points for values between 3.0 and 10.0 mg/L and 3.0 points for values >10.0 mg/L). 173 The cut-off value of ⩽13 points allowed us to identify, with a good sensitivity, CD patients most likely to respond. 173
Other visualization tools, such as nomogram, or machine learning related to artificial intelligence, have also been applied to guide drug use in IBD. Nomogram is a graphical representation of a mathematical formula (or of an algorithm) in which are incorporated several predictors models as continuous variables to predict an end point and facilitates patient management-related decisions by providing superior individualized disease-related risk estimations. 275 These are based on traditional statistical methods, such as multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analysis. 275 Nomograms based on radiomics have been presented above. Nomograms were developed, from IBD Bioresourse (United Kingdom), to predict surgery for IBD patients initially treated with methotrexate in monotherapy. 127 For UC, sex and age at diagnosis were predictors in the nomogram. 127 For CD, gender, treatment era, tolerance, lesion site, perianal involvement, disease behaviour and biologics requirements were in the nomogram. 127 Using multiple logistic regression, Chen et al. 242 found that disease behaviour, body mass index (BMI), CRP and IL-6 levels before infliximab initiation were predictive factors of PNR to infliximab at week 14 in CD patients and developed and validated an IL-6 nomogram. Finally, a nomogram based on bioelectrical impedance analysis indexes (based on body composition parameters) and laboratory markers (haemoglobin, albumin, serum iron) could predict SLR to infliximab in bio-naïve CD patients at 54 weeks. 238 Other nomograms have been proposed to predict response to treatment but were based on factors other than those present at baseline. 276
Machine learning belongs to the field of artificial intelligence and refers to the ability of computers to learn to make decisions or detect patterns from data, without explicitly being programmed. 277 Several machine learning predictive models have already been suggested such as (1) a machine learning algorithm to predict clinical remission with thiopurines 278 ; (2) a machine learning to predict non-durable response to anti-TNF therapy in CD patients using transcriptome imputed from genotypes 279 ; (3) a machine learning to identify, in CD patients, predictive factors of remission and drug durability with ustekinumab 280 ; or (4) a machine learning gene expression to predict response to ustekinumab in CD patients. 281
Prediction of side effects
If in precision medicine, biomarkers can be used to predict response to treatment, they can also predict the occurrence of side effects. Some IBD patients (more frequently UC patients) can develop fever and a worsening of diarrhoea under mesalamine. 282 After conducting GWASs followed by a meta-analysis on two independent pharmacogenetic Japanese IBD cohorts (MENDEL and Tohoku), Suzuki et al. identified a significant association between rs144384547 (upstream of RGS17) and these adverse reactions called ‘mesalamine allergies’. 282 In addition, using the GWAS results, they suggest a polygenic risk score and established a combined genetic/clinical prediction model, which yielded a higher area under the curve than polygenic risk score or clinical factors alone (area under the curve, 0.89; sensitivity, 71.4%; specificity, 90.8%). 282 Patients with N-acetyltranferase 2 (NAT2) gene polymorphism (in particular slow metabolizer allele) have a higher risk to develop salazosulfapyridine (a 5-ASA metabolized to sulfapyridine and mesalamine) dose-related adverse effects (NAT2 playing a role in sulfapyridine metabolism).283,284 The prediction of the risk of life-threatening myelosuppression induced by thiopurine medications using thiopurine methyltransferase (TPMT) measurement is used for several years. 285 The measurement of TPMT activity allows us to adjust the thiopurine dose to avoid this type of side effects and could be superior to genotype to predict the risk of their occurence.285,286 More recently, Yang et al. found that nudix hydrolase 15 NUDT15 polymorphisms (SNP: rs116855232) were also associated with the onset of myelosuppression induced by thiopurine in a cohort of South Korean patients. 287 A few years later, the achievement of an exome-wide association study in European patients affected and unaffected by thiopurine-induced myelosuppression allowed us to confirm that carriage of any three coding NUDT15 variants was associated with an increased risk of myelosuppression. 288 Similarly, HLA-DQA1-HLA-DRB1 (rs2647087) polymorphism has been associated with the risk of thiopurine-induced pancreatitis289,290, HLA-DRB1*03:01 with the risk 5-ASA-induced nephrotoxicity 291 and HLA-DQA1*05 variant with the risk of development of antibodies to both infliximab and adalimumab.292,293 Still regarding thiopurine, tobacco and GSTM1-null genotype were risk factors for thiopurines-induced adverse events such as myelosuppression, hepatotoxicity and pancreatitis. 294 Regarding methotrexate, the presence of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) 1298C mutation could be associated with a risk of the occurrence of side effects with methotrexate in IBD patients.295,296 Another team reported that the presence of HLA-DQ2 risk haplotypes more than doubled the risk of anti-drug antibody (ADA) formation in patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases. 297 Finally, Steenholdt et al. 222 have also shown that the carriage of the minor allele of FASLG, rs76110 increased the risk of severe infusion reactions. The realization of a panel of SNP-based genetic tests before the administration of a treatment could possibly identify patients at risk of side effects and guide the treatment, but would nevertheless require a cost–benefit analysis. 21
The appropriate dose and drug optimization
Once the treatment is chosen, it is usually initiated by the IBD specialist at the standard dose with the goal of achieving the therapeutic objective individually defined for each patient (including clinical response/remission, endoscopic response/remission, biomedical remission, mucosal healing, transmural healing or even histological remission).298–300 However, patients’ blood drug levels can be influenced by a variety of factors, differing from one patient to another, including genetic, gender, patient’s age and BMI, inflammatory burden (extent and severity of disease), serum albumin, the presence or absence of a concomitant immunomodulator and the presence of ADAs.301–305 The therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) is therefore an integral part of precision medicine.306–308
Drug dose of immunosuppressors such as azathioprine and 6-mercaptopurine can be monitored and adjusted for different patients, stratified into distinct subgroups. Thiopurines are prodrugs which need to be activated to form 6-thioguanine nucleotide (6-TGNs) which are the major active metabolites (incorporated into the DNA in place of guanine nucleotides to exert its effect). However, all thiopurines are not converted into 6-TGN and TPMT acts as a shield against toxic effects of these drugs by converting part of these into inactive metabolites. Patients with reduced TPMT activity are exposed to a higher level of 6-TGNs and thus a higher risk of toxic adverse events. As there is an important interindividual variation in TPMT activity, TPMT genotype/phenotype is generally determined when thiopurines are initiated. 309 Approximately 0.3% of patients have two loss-of-function alleles of the TPMT gene and have low or undetectable TPMT activity (homozygous deficient or poor metabolizers) while approximately 10% of patients have one loss-of-function TPMT allele leading to intermediate TPMT activity (heterozygous deficient or intermediate metabolizers). 309 Individuals with homozygous deficiency required 10% or less of the standard thiopurine dose while it is generally recommended to adjust the dose on tolerability in intermediate metabolizers patients. 309 In the absence of clinical response, metabolites (6-TGN and 6-MMP) can be measured to assess whether this is due to a pharmacogenetic resistance (low level of 6-TGN and high level of 6-MMP), to a refractory disease (high level of active metabolite 6-TGN and of 6-MMP) or due to a poor adherence or insufficient dosage (low level of 6-TGN and 6-MMP). 295 In the latter case, the dose of thiopurine may be increased to obtain a level of 6-TGN > 230–260 pmol/8 × 108 red blood cells, which has been shown to be associated with a significant therapeutic response.310,311 Pharmacodynamic markers such as Rac1/pSTAT3 expression in leukocytes could have an added clinical value for prediction of therapeutic effectiveness in combination with TDM and could be integrated into clinical practice in the future. 312 Levels of methotrexate and 7-hydroxymethotrexate (its metabolite) have a short half-time (5–8 h) and are not widely used to monitor methotrexate efficacy and toxicity.295,313,314 Red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamates’ (RBC MTXGlu1–5) levels, which correlate with disease activity in rheumatoid arthritis, were not correlated with efficacy in CD, but the concentration of red blood cells MTXGlu4&5 was higher in patients experiencing adverse effects. 315 It is not currently used in clinical practice in IBD. Finally, some authors recommend a reduced methotrexate dose in case of elevated liver tests at baseline, but there are no societal recommendations for monitoring and prevent hepatotoxicity with methotrexate. 316
The measure of biologic serum concentration and the level of ADAs, allows to adjust drug dose on an individual basis, to optimize the concentration of the drug in the patient’s blood and maximize therapeutic benefits.301,304 Indeed, numerous studies have shown that lower drug concentration was associated with higher rates of biologic failure.105,193,299,317–319 For example, among many others, the PANTS study or Personalized anti-TNF therapy in Crohn’s disease study, including bio-naïve CD patients with active luminal disease (955 infliximab-treated and 655 adalimumab-treated), demonstrated that PNR was associated with low biologics trough levels at week 14. 293 Based on the studies available in the literature, according to the biologic and the disease (UC and CD separately), Table 4 resumes, for the different objective therapeutic outcomes already studied, the biologic concentration thresholds (at different time points) associated with its achievement.298–300 In addition to serum anti-TNF levels, more recent studies show that mucosal and stool anti-TNF levels might also be good indicators of future treatment outcomes.320–323 In a single-centre prospective study enrolling 25 CD patients, Yoshihara et al. reported that patients with low-drug levels in the noninflamed tissues had a significantly lower sustained response rate than patients with high-drug levels and that tissue anti-TNF concentration could be useful for the therapeutic monitoring of these patients. 320 Brandse et al. showed that high faecal concentrations of infliximab after the first day of treatment (median concentration, 5.01 μg/mL) in severe UC patients was associated with the absence of a clinical response at week 2. 321 Judit Szántó et al. suggested that the anti-TNF faecal loss might be associated with a decreased drug mucosal accumulation and that this faecal dosage could be a good indicator of tissue concentrations of anti-TNF agents. 322 The usefulness of these tissue and faecal anti-TNF levels to predict treatment response deserves to be further investigated and may provide additional support for precision medicine in IBD.
Table 4.
Therapeutic outcomes and associated biologic trough level, suggested trough concentration and predictive factors of the response to drug optimization for biologics and small molecules.298,306,324
| Therapeutic outcomes and associated biologic trough level | Suggested trough concentration for adults (µg/mL) | Predictive factors of the response to drug optimization | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiopurines |
Clinical response 6-TGN > 230–260 pmol/8 × 108 RBC 310 |
Maintenance phase: 6-TGN > 230–260 pmol/8 × 108 RBC 310 | – | |
| Methotrexate | Not recommended due to the lack of valid data 295 | Not recommended due to the lack of valid data 295 | – | |
| Infliximab | UC |
W8 – Mayo endoscopic subscore ≤1 Week 2: ≥18.6 μg/mL; week 6: ≥10.6 μg/mL and week 8: ≥34.9 µg/mL 300 W30 – Clinical response Week 14: >5.1 μg/mL 319 W30 – Mayo endoscopic subscore ≤1 Week 14: ≥5.1 μg/mL and week 30: ≥2.3 μg/mL 300 W30 – Mayo endoscopic = 0 Week 14: ≥6.7 μg/mL and week 30: ≥3.8 μg/mL 300 |
Induction phase (week 2): ≥25
325
Induction phase (week 6): ≥15 325 (≥25 for mucosal healing) Post-induction phase (week 14) ≥ 5 325 or ≥7 307 Maintenance phase: ≥3 307 or ≥5306,326 (>7 for mucosal healing) |
For dose doubling to 10 mg/kg every 8 weeks: - Immunomodulator concomitantly to optimization 327 |
| CD |
W12 – Endoscopic remission Week 2: >23.1 μg/mL and week 6: >10.0 μg/mL 328 W14 – Complete perianal fistula response Week 6: >13.9 μg/mL and week 14: >4.8 μg/mL 329 W54 – Clinical response Week 14: ≥3.5 μg/mL 299 W54 – Clinical remission Week 14: >7 μg/mL 293 Mucosal healing >5 μg/mL 330 |
For interval shortening to 5 mg/kg every 4 weeks: - Changes in serum trough levels of infliximab during treatment intensification 331 For dose doubling to 10 mg/kg every 8 weeks: - Infliximab trough level ≥1 µg/mL before optimization 332 - Interleukin 6 level ≤2.41 pg/mL before optimization 332 - Albumin level ≥3.8 g/dL before optimization 332 |
||
| Adalimumab | UC |
Mucosal healing >4.9 μg/mL 330 |
Induction phase (week 4): ≥7
307
or ≥7.5
325
Maintenance phase: ≥5 307 or ≥7.5306,325,326 (>7 for mucosal healing) |
For interval shortening to weekly injection: - Short-term clinical benefit to adalimumab initiation could predicts successful dose escalation 333 |
| CD |
W54 – Clinical remission Week 14: >12 μg/mL 293 Mucosal healing >4.9 μg/mL 334 >7.1 μg/mL 330 |
For interval shortening to weekly injection: - Normal CRP at dose intensification 335 |
||
| Certolizumab pegol | CD |
W6 – Clinical response Week 6: >31.8 μg/mL 336 W26 – CDAI ≤ 150 and faecal calprotectin <250 µg/g Week 6: >36.1 μg/mL 336 W26 – Clinical response Week 12: >14.8 μg/mL 336 |
Induction phase (week 6) ≥ 32
307
Maintenance phase: between ≥15 and ≥20306,307,326 |
No data |
| Golimumab | UC |
W6 – Clinical response Week 2: >8.9 μg/mL and week 6: >2.5 μg/mL 337 |
Induction phase (week 6) ≥ 2.5
307
Maintenance phase ≥ 1 307 |
No data |
| Vedolizumab | UC |
W6 – Clinical remission Week 6: >37.5 μg/mL 338 W14 – Clinical response Week 2: >28.9 μg/mL; week 6: >20.8 μg/mL and week 14: >12.6 μg/mL 339 W14 – Mucosal healing Week 14: >17 μg/mL 339 Vedolizumab persistence (1 year) Week 6:>16.55 μg/mL 340 |
Induction phase (week 2) ≥ 28
307
Induction phase (week 6) > 20 308 (≥18.5–35.2) 338 Maintenance phase (week 14 and beyond) > 12 308 (≥12–13.6) • Clinical response > 12.6 339 • Mucosal healing > 17 339 |
For interval shortening to every 4 weeks: - Low CRP at the time of intensification 341 - Response at week 12 341 - Early changes in the pharmacokinetic profile of vedolizumab-treated patients (from baseline and month 3 after dose optimization) 342 |
| CD |
W6 – Clinical remission Week 6: >33.3 μg/mL 168 W6 – Biomedical remission Week 2: >35.2 μg/mL 339 |
For interval shortening to every 4 weeks: - Low CRP at the time of intensification 341 - Response at week 12341 - Early changes in the pharmacokinetic profile of vedolizumab-treated patients (from baseline and month 3 after dose optimization) 342 |
||
| Ustekinumab | UC | No data | Induction phase (week 8): >4
308
Post-induction ≥ 3.5 307 Maintenance phase (week 16 and beyond): >2 308 |
No data |
| CD |
W8 – Clinical remission Week 8: >3.3 μg/mL 343 W8 – Biological remission Week 8: >7.2 µg/mL 325 |
For interval shortening to every 4 weeks: - Older age at time of dose escalation was significantly associated with biological remission 344 - Loss of response to ustekinumab (versus incomplete response) 345 - Duration of ustekinumab therapy before dose intensification 345 For interval shortening to every 4 or 6 weeks: - Absence of perianal disease, opioid use at the time of intensification 346 |
||
| Tofacitinib | No data | |||
CD, Crohn’s disease; CDAI, Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; CRP, C-reactive protein; HBI, Harvey–Bradshaw Index; UC, ulcerative colitis; w, week.
Two TDM strategies have been proposed in IBD: the proactive monitoring and the reactive one (which is supported by most guidelines and statements up to date). 324 Routine proactive monitoring is used in patients with quiescent disease in two situations. First, it allows the proactive optimization of the drug level, through dose titration, to achieve a target threshold concentration and prevent the occurrence of SLR or the development of ADAs due to too low drug level. 324 Second, proactive monitoring can be used in patients in clinical remission before anti-TNF de-escalation or discontinuation (see below). 347 In contrast, reactive TDM is used in patients with active disease who do not respond to treatment to clarify the cause of the PNR or SLR. 306 PNR or SLR can be explained by various mechanisms including a pharmacodynamic failure or a pharmacokinetic failure, and this latter can be immune mediated or not. 306 In pharmacodynamic failure, IBD patients did not respond despite optimal drug trough concentrations. In this case, inflammatory mediators driving the disease are not blocked by the particular drug and these patients are unlikely to response to other drugs of the same class and a shift to another drug class should be considered. 306 In the case of immune-mediated pharmacokinetic failure, patients have low or undetectable trough concentration and the presence of ADAs. In case of low neutralizing ADAs (<8 µg/mL or <10 U/mL for infliximab), anti-TNF can be optimized, being administered at short intervals and/or increase dose and the use of a concomitant immunosuppressive medication. 307 In the case of high levels of ADAs (>8 µg/mL or >10 U/mL for infliximab), either a switch within drug class using combination therapy with an immunomodulator or a monotherapy with proactive TDM or a change of drug class should be considered.307,348 Finally, in non-immune-mediated pharmacokinetic failure, IBD patients do not respond adequately to treatment in a context of subtherapeutic trough concentrations and absence of antidrug antibodies. 306 This situation is usually due to rapid clearance of the drug (often due to a high inflammatory burden) and these patients may benefit from a dose increase. 306
While these drug optimizations generally recapture the control of inflammation, a certain percentage of patients does not respond to these dose escalations. Identifying the predictive factors of non-response to these dose escalations would save time for the patient, avoiding a double dose for no therapeutic benefit and would also reduce the related costs for society. Predictive factors of a response to drug optimization for each molecule and disease are shown in Table 4.
Predictors of response or lack of response to anti-TNF dose escalation appear to be poorly studied. The increase in anti-TNF levels following treatment intensification was reasonably associated with improved clinical outcomes. 331 The place of trough levels of anti-TNF at the time of intensification as a prognostic factor for success is not unanimous. For some, the response to optimization does not depend on the trough level at the time of optimization, 349 while others have found that a certain threshold could influence the response. 332 The presence of an immunomodulator concomitantly to dose doubling, 327 a short-term clinical benefit to anti-TNF at initiation, 333 a normal CRP, 335 an albumin level ⩾3.8 g/dL 332 and IL-6 level ⩽2.41 pg/mL at dose intensification 332 seemed to be predictive of the response to it. In a retrospective multi-centric study, the predictors of infliximab dose doubling failure in UC patients were the absence of the introduction of an immunomodulator concomitantly to dose doubling, a partial Ulcerative Colitis Disease Activity Index (UCDAI) >6, a CRP level >10 mg/L, a leucocyte count >8000/mm³ and a haemoglobin level <12.5 g/dL. 327
For vedolizumab (for both UC and CD), a low CRP at the time of intensification, an early change in the pharmacokinetic profile of vedolizumab-treated patients (from baseline and month three after dose optimization) and a response at week 12 (which predict long-term response) were the predictive factors of a response to drug optimization.341,342 In addition to these individual factors, CDST described above also allowed us to identify patients who may benefit from interval shortening.181,350 For UC patients, they reported that only the low (CDST score, 26 points or less) and intermediate (CDST score, 27–32 points) probability groups benefitted from interval shortening of vedolizumab administration, in case of lack of response. 181 For CD, using the different variables such as no prior bowel surgery (+2 points), no prior TNF-antagonist therapy (+3 points), no prior fistulizing disease (+2 points), baseline albumin (+0.4 points per g/L), baseline CRP (−0.5 points if 3.0–10.0 mg/L; −3 points if >10 mg/L), they found that patients with >19 points did not benefit from shortening of infusion intervals. 350 For ustekinumab, older age at time of dose escalation, 344 duration of ustekinumab therapy prior dose intensification 345 and loss of response to ustekinumab (versus incomplete response) 345 were predictive of a response to dose escalation in CD patients. The presence of perianal disease, Harvey–Bradshaw Index (HBI), corticosteroid and opioid use were, however, associated with ustekinumab failure after dose intensification. 346 Factors that predict which UC patients will benefit from dose escalation with ustekinumab, tofacitinib or filgotinib have not been studied to our knowledge at this time.
However, there are still a number of barriers to the use of TDM in daily clinical practice such as the time between samplings and results, the lack of consensus on the optimal drug concentration, and the interpretation of ADAs titres among different assays. 351 Despite several negative prospective randomized trials on proactive TDM,352,353 it is not certain that proactive TDM should be abandoned and its place deserves to be further studied. Clarification of the usefulness of TDM with biologics other than anti-TNFs is needed, and pharmacogenetic and pharmacokinetic modelling dashboards should be used for specifying the dose to be administered to each patient. 351
Strategy in the context of precision medicine
IBD patients can have a markedly variable disease course and the stratification of these patients into low-risk and high-risk patients as well as response to previous treatment allow the IBD specialist to choose between a step-up or a top-down type therapeutic strategy, respectively (Figure 1).23,207,354,355 In the step-up approach, medication is reactively escalated in response to disease flares, while in the top-down one, the most potent therapies (included biologics) are used from the outset.23,207,354,355 Correct stratification of patients into low risk and high risk allows us to reduce exposure to unnecessary costly biologics in the low-risk population and to improve disease outcome in the high-risk population, respectively.23,207,354,355
Timing for treatment de-escalation or discontinuation and identification of patients for whom this is feasible
If precision medicine can provide guidance for dose escalation, it can also provide guidance for de-escalation. Indeed, in certain circumstances, patients can be spared (at least temporarily) from biological treatment, such as in the case of a deep remission or after a surgery that has cleared the disease. Identifying patients at very low risk of relapse in either situation could save patients from unnecessary biological therapies (at least for a period of time). Certain factors, present before thiopurines withdrawal in patients in remission, have been identified as being associated with increased risk of relapse, such as male sex and short duration of therapy with thiopurines. 356 The STORI study aimed to identify predictive factors of clinical relapse in 115 CD patients who discontinued the anti-TNFα while they were in sustain remission (clinical, biologic and endoscopic) and were followed prospectively. 347 Male sex, the absence of surgical resection, leukocyte counts >6.0 × 109/L, and levels of haemoglobin ⩽14.5 g/L, CRP ⩾ 5.0 mg/L, and faecal calprotectin ⩾300 μg/g were the factors that exposed to the risk of relapse. 347 Patients with no more than two of these risk factors (approximately 29% of the study population) had a 15% risk of relapse within 1 year. 347 Pharmacokinetic parameters could also be used to make the decision to stop treatment or not. Indeed, patients with a detectable level of anti-TNF at the time of discontinuation, relapsed more frequently than those with low or undetectable levels. 357 This is due to the fact that in these patients, stable deep remission for some time was not dependent on anti-TNF treatment, which may then be stopped. 357 Consistent with these data, in STORI, infliximab trough level above 4.5 µg/mL was predictive of relapse, suggesting that, in contrast, in these patients, remission is maintained by a certain level of anti-TNF, which needs to be maintained. 347 In addition to these factors and markers that are more accessible in clinical practice, other more specific biomarkers could be identified. Using STORI cohort, a proteomic study allowed us to identify distinct biomarker candidates associated with the risk of short-term (15 proteins) and mid/long-term (17 proteins) relapse. 358 On another proteomic study (performed on the same cohort), studying 92 immune-related proteins by proximity extension assay in serum of CD patients stopping infliximab, it has been demonstrated that patients with short-term and mid/long-term clinical relapse have distinct blood protein profiles. 359 Patients with mid/long-term clinical relapse had a high serum level of proteins mainly expressed in lymphocytes, a low serum level of anti-inflammatory effectors and cellular junction proteins. 359 Patients with short-term clinical relapse had rather a high serum level of pro-inflammatory effectors and a low or high serum level of proteins mainly expressed in antigen presenting cells. 359 The SPARE study, a multicentre, open-label, randomized controlled trial performed in 64 hospitals in 7 countries in Europe and Australia also studied the factors associated with time to relapse. 360 Adult CD patients in steroid-free clinical remission for more than 6 months, on combination therapy of infliximab and immunosuppressant therapy for at least 8 months were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to continue combination therapy (combination group), discontinue infliximab (infliximab withdrawal group) or discontinue immunosuppressant therapy (immunosuppressant withdrawal group). 360 Factors associated with time to relapse were as follows: infliximab withdrawal group (versus the combination group and versus the immunosuppressant withdrawal group), young age at diagnosis (<17 years), hsCRP at baseline (1.0 mg/l of hsCRP inducing a 0.1 increment of HR), faecal calprotectin higher than 300 μg/g at baseline, Crohn’s Disease Endoscopic Index of Severity (CDEIS) at baseline (1.0 point of CDEIS inducing a 0.1 increment of hazard ratio or HR). In patients who discontinued infliximab, only a 6-TGN at baseline higher than 300 pmol per 8 × 108 red blood cells was associated with relapse. 360 In a 10-year follow-up study including UC patients with moderate to severe disease, it has been demonstrated that mucosal TNF copies/µg mRNA < 10,000 at anti-TNF discontinuation predicted long-term remission, biological free remission and lower risk of colectomy. 361 Another study showed that it was possible to identify IBD patients who appeared quiescent but were not in histological remission and who were, consequently, at risk of relapse using serum samples multiomics approach.34,36 By using a model combining three proteins (IL-10, glial cell line-derived neurotrophic factor, and the T-cell surface CD8 alpha chain) and 4 metabolites (propionyl-l-carnitine, carnitine, sarcosine and sorbitol), the authors were able to predict the risk of relapse at 2 years.36,362 Still using metabolomics, Hisamatsu et al. demonstrated, in a cohort of 369 patients with quiescent UC, that a decreased histidine plasma level predicts the risk of relapse within a 1-year period. 34 The gut microbiota composition of patients prospectively included in the STORI study (33 CD patients) was investigated to determine the impact of dysbiosis in CD relapse. Lower levels of firmicutes, Faecalibacterium prausnitzii, C. coccoides and bacteroides in the faecal samples predicted relapse. 363
Some biomarkers may also help predict the risk of relapse following surgery and could help to more accurately identify those patients who require postoperative IBD treatment versus those who could be spared at least temporarily.364–374 However, these are numerous and could be the subject of a separate review.
Challenges to overcome and future directions
Although many biomarkers and factors have been identified, the number of cases of such data being applicable or having been applied in clinical practice remains very small and key challenges remain. 277 First, to identify prognosis and predictive factors or biomarkers, large well-characterized longitudinal prospective cohorts are needed (to capture small but important clinical subgroups). 18 Ideally, they should include patients at inception, and age-specific cohort (adult, paediatric, very early-onset IBD) but also ethnic-minority specific cohorts should be built. 18 Some cohorts are being set up and should provide interesting data in the next few years (such as PANTS and IBD Bioresource for genomics, PROFILE trial for transcriptomics, Collaborative IBD Biomarker Research Initiative or COLLIBRI for proteomics, PRoteomic Evaluation and Discovery in an IBD Cohort of Tri-service Subjects or PREdICCt for proteomics and metabolomics, IBD response for metabolomic and microbiome as well as multi-omics projects such as RISK cohort and IBD Multiomics database).56,375 Once a large cohort is available, it is necessary to determine which tissue is most likely to provide information in terms of medicine precision (because, in IBD, there is no equivalent of the tumour for oncology). Do they have to come from whole blood or from intestinal biopsies? Should they involve all the cells present in the selected tissue or only one cell type? These are questions to which we do not have any precise answer yet. Once the matrix from which these biomarkers are to be collected is chosen, it would then be necessary to see how to standardize and harmonize the sample collection, the measurement of the data, and to define reference thresholds for each identified factor.18,21,376 The next step is to find the ideal prognostic and predictive biomarker, which must meet several characteristics to be implemented in clinical practice. 21 They should ideally be available at diagnosis to allow greater flexibility in preventive and therapeutic intervention, should be obtained in a minimally invasive way, rapid and reproducible, simple to interpret, accurate for what they aim to predict.17,21,377 Then, improvement in patient outcome and cost-effectiveness should be evaluated. 18 Some technological improvements are also needed to advance in precision medicine. New advanced technologies such as single-cell multimodal omics in epithelial or immunes cells are also being developed. 378 Indeed, there is a growing need for a ‘multi-omic’ approach, with the collection of diverse data type from different sources and to integrate them, rather than continuing to search on single factors at a single moment. 277 Therefore, tools are needed to integrate and interpret these data, such as machine learning-based algorithms or systems biology-based tools and it remains to be seen how these complex data can be translated into clinical practice.277,379
Acknowledgments
None.
Footnotes
ORCID iD: Sophie Vieujean
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1859-7146
Contributor Information
Sophie Vieujean, Hepato-Gastroenterology and Digestive Oncology, University Hospital CHU of Liège, Liège, Belgium.
Edouard Louis, Hepato-Gastroenterology and Digestive Oncology, University Hospital CHU of Liège, Avenue de l’Hôpital 1, 4000 Liège, Belgium.
Declarations
Ethics approval and consent to participate: Not applicable.
Consent for publication: Not applicable.
Author contribution(s): Sophie Vieujean: Writing – original draft; Writing – review & editing.
Edouard Louis: Supervision; Writing – review & editing.
Funding: The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
S Vieujean received speaker’s fees from Janssen, Takeda, Ferring and Abbvie.
E Louis received research grant: Janssen, Pfizer, Ferring, Falk, Abbvie and Takeda; educational grant: AbbVie, Janssen, Fresenius-Kabi and Takeda; speaker fees: Abbvie, Falk, Ferring, Janssen, Pfizer, Galapagos and Takeda; advisory board: Abbvie, Celgene, Ferring, Janssen, BMS, Pfizer, and Takeda, Galapagos, Gilead, Arena, Elli Lilly; consultant: Abbvie
Availability of data and materials: The data underlying this article are available in the article.
References
- 1.Abraham C, Cho JH. Inflammatory bowel disease. New Engl J Med 2009; 361: 2066–2078. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Podolsky DK. Inflammatory bowel disease. New Engl J Med 2002; 347: 417–429. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Danese S, Fiocchi C. Etiopathogenesis of inflammatory bowel diseases. World J Gastroenterol 2006; 12: 4807–4812. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4.Sartor RB. Mechanisms of disease: pathogenesis of Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis. Nat Clin Pract Gastroenterol Hepatol 2006; 3: 390–407. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Fiocchi C, Dragoni G, Iliopoulos D, et al. Results of the Seventh Scientific Workshop of ECCO: Precision Medicine in IBD—What, why, and How. J Crohns Colitis 2021; 15: 1410–1430. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6.Torres J, Mehandru S, Colombel JF, et al. Crohn’s disease. Lancet 2017; 389: 1741–1755. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.Ungaro R, Mehandru S, Allen PB, et al. Ulcerative colitis. Lancet 2017; 389: 1756–1770. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Silverberg MS, Satsangi J, Ahmad T, et al. Toward an integrated clinical, molecular and serological classification of inflammatory bowel disease: report of a Working Party of the 2005 Montreal World Congress of Gastroenterology. J Gastroenterol 2005; 19Suppl A: 5A–36A. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.Khoury T, Ilan Y. Introducing patterns of variability for overcoming compensatory adaptation of the immune system to immunomodulatory agents: A Novel Method for improving clinical response to Anti-TNF Therapies. Front Immunol 2019; 10: 2726. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10.Stidham RW, Lee TC, Higgins PD, et al. Systematic review with network meta-analysis: the efficacy of anti-TNF agents for the treatment of Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2014; 39: 1349–1362. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.Nielsen OH, Ainsworth MA. Tumor necrosis factor inhibitors for inflammatory bowel disease. New Engl J Med 2013; 369: 754–762. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.Gisbert JP, Panés J. Loss of response and requirement of infliximab dose intensification in Crohn’s disease: A review. Am J Gastroenterol 2009; 104: 760–767. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Engel T, Ungar B, Yung DE, et al. Vedolizumab in IBD-Lessons from real-world experience; A systematic review and pooled analysis. J Crohns Colitis 2018; 12: 245–257. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.Kaplan GG. The global burden of IBD: from 2015 to 2025. Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2015; 12: 720–727. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15.Cohen RD, Yu AP, Wu EQ, et al. Systematic review: the costs of ulcerative colitis in Western countries. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2010; 31: 693–707. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16.Click B, Binion DG, Anderson AM. Predicting costs of care for patients with inflammatory bowel diseases. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017; 15: 393–395. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17.Borg-Bartolo SP, Boyapati RK, Satsangi J, et al. Precision medicine in inflammatory bowel disease: concept, progress and challenges. F1000Res 2020; 9: 54. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.Denson LA, Curran M, McGovern DPB, et al. Challenges in IBD Research: Precision Medicine. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2019; 25: S31–S39. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.National Research Council (US) Committee on A Framework for Developing a New Taxonomy of Disease. Toward precision medicine: Building a knowledge network for biomedical research and a new taxonomy of disease. National Academies Press, 2011. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.Cameron D, Piccart-Gebhart MJ, Gelber RD, et al. 11 years’ follow-up of trastuzumab after adjuvant chemotherapy in HER2-positive early breast cancer: final analysis of the HERceptin adjuvant (HERA) trial. Lancet 2017; 389: 1195–1205. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21.Noor NM, Verstockt B, Parkes M, et al. Personalised medicine in Crohn’s disease. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2020; 5: 80–92. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22.Spencer EA, Dubinsky MC. Precision Medicine in pediatric inflammatory bowel disease. Pediatr Clin North Am 2021; 68: 1171–1190. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23.Wang C, Baer HM, Gaya DR, et al. Can molecular stratification improve the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease? Pharmacol Res 2019; 148: 104442. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24.Verstockt B, Noor NM, Marigorta UM, et al. Results of the Seventh Scientific Workshop of ECCO: Precision Medicine in IBD-Disease Outcome and Response to Therapy. Journal of Crohn’s and Colitis, vol. 15. Oxford Academic; 2021. p. 1431–42. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25.Haritunians T, Taylor KD, Targan SR, et al. Genetic predictors of medically refractory ulcerative colitis. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2010; 16: 1830–1840. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 26.Lee JC, Biasci D, Roberts R, et al. Genome-wide association study identifies distinct genetic contributions to prognosis and susceptibility in Crohn’s disease. Nat Genet 2017; 49: 262–268. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27.Satsangi J, Welsh KI, Bunce M, et al. Contribution of genes of the major histocompatibility complex to susceptibility and disease phenotype in inflammatory bowel disease. Lancet 1996; 347: 1212–1217. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 28.Annese V, Lombardi G, Perri F, et al. Variants of CARD15 are associated with an aggressive clinical course of Crohn’s disease–an IG-IBD study. Am J Gastroenterol 2005; 100: 84–92. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 29.Adler J, Rangwalla SC, Dwamena BA, et al. The prognostic power of the nod2 genotype for complicated crohn’s disease: A meta-analysis. Am J Gastroenterol 2011; 106: 699–712. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 30.Zhao M, Lo BZS, Vester-Andersen MK, et al. A 10-year follow-up study of the natural history of perianal Crohn’s disease in a danish population-based inception cohort. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2019; 25: 1227–1236. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31.Kugathasan S, Denson LA, Walters TD, et al. Prediction of complicated disease course for children newly diagnosed with Crohn’s disease: a multicentre inception cohort study. Lancet 2017; 389: 1710–1718. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 32.Clerc F, Novokmet M, Dotz V, et al. Plasma N-glycan signatures are associated with features of inflammatory bowel diseases. Gastroenterology 2018; 155: 829–843. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 33.Shubhakar A, Jansen BC, Adams AT, et al. Serum N-glycomic biomarkers predict treatment escalation in inflammatory bowel disease. J Crohns Colitis 2023. DOI: 10.1093/ecco-jcc/jjad012 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 34.Hisamatsu T, Ono N, Imaizumi A, et al. Decreased plasma histidine level predicts risk of relapse in patients with ulcerative colitis in remission. PLoS One 2015; 10: e0140716. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 35.Probert F, Walsh A, Jagielowicz M, et al. Plasma nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics discriminates between high and low endoscopic activity and predicts progression in a prospective cohort of patients with ulcerative colitis. J Crohns Colitis 2018; 12: 1326–1337. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 36.Bjerrum JT, Wang YL, Seidelin JB, et al. IBD metabonomics predicts phenotype, disease course, and treatment response. EBioMedicine 2021; 71: 103551. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 37.Liu W, Zhou W, Xiang J, et al. Lémann index at diagnosis predicts the risk of early surgery in Crohn’s disease. Dis Colon Rectum 2018; 61: 207–213. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 38.Pariente B, Mary JY, Danese S, et al. Development of the Lémann index to assess digestive tract damage in patients with Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2015; 148: 52–63.e3. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 39.Pariente B, Torres J, Burisch J, et al. Validation and update of the Lémann Index to measure cumulative structural bowel damage in Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2021; 161: 853–864.e13. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 40.Fiorino G, Morin M, Bonovas S, et al. Prevalence of bowel damage assessed by cross-sectional imaging in early Crohn’s disease and its impact on disease outcome. J Crohns Colitis 2017; 11: 274–280. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 41.Dane B, Qian K, Krieger R, et al. Correlation between imaging findings on outpatient MR enterography (MRE) in adult patients with Crohn disease and progression to surgery within 5 years. Abdom Radiol 2022; 47: 3424–3435. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 42.Jones GR, Fascì-Spurio F, Kennedy NA, et al. Faecal calprotectin and magnetic resonance enterography in Ileal Crohn’s disease: correlations between disease activity and long-term Follow-Up. J Crohns Colitis 2019; 13: 442–450. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 43.Kumar S, Plumb A, Mallett S, et al. METRIC-EF: magnetic resonance enterography to predict disabling disease in newly diagnosed Crohn’s disease-protocol for a multicentre, non-randomised, single-arm, prospective study. BMJ Open 2022; 12: e067265. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 44.Allocca M, Craviotto V, Bonovas S, et al. Predictive value of bowel ultrasound in Crohn’s Disease: A 12-Month prospective study. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 20: e723–e740. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 45.Calabrese E, Zorzi F, Zuzzi S, et al. Development of a numerical index quantitating small bowel damage as detected by ultrasonography in Crohn’s disease. J Crohns Colitis 2012; 6: 852–860. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 46.Castiglione F, de Sio I, Cozzolino A, et al. Bowel wall thickness at abdominal ultrasound and the one-year-risk of surgery in patients with Crohn’s disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2004; 99: 1977–1983. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 47.Hart AL, Lomer M, Verjee A, et al. What are the top 10 research questions in the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease? A Priority Setting Partnership with the James lind Alliance. J Crohns Colitis 2017; 11: 204–211. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 48.Torres J, Caprioli F, Katsanos KH, et al. Predicting outcomes to optimize disease management in inflammatory bowel diseases. J Crohns Colitis 2016; 10: 1385–1394. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 49.Dubinsky MC, Kugathasan S, Mei L, et al. Increased immune reactivity predicts aggressive complicating Crohn’s disease in children. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2008; 6: 1105–1111. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 50.Solberg IC, Høivik ML, Cvancarova M, et al. Risk matrix model for prediction of colectomy in a population-based study of ulcerative colitis patients (the IBSEN study). Scand J Gastroenterol 2015; 50: 1456–1462. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 51.Siegel CA, Horton H, Siegel LS, et al. A validated web-based tool to display individualised Crohn’s disease predicted outcomes based on clinical, serologic and genetic variables. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2016; 43: 262–271. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 52.McKinney EF, Lyons PA, Carr EJ, et al. A CD8+ T cell transcription signature predicts prognosis in autoimmune disease. Nat Med 2010; 16: 586–NaN91, 1 following 591. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 53.Lee JC, Lyons PA, McKinney EF, et al. Gene expression profiling of CD8+ T cells predicts prognosis in patients with Crohn disease and ulcerative colitis. J Clin Investig 2011; 121: 4170–4179. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 54.Biasci D, Lee JC, Noor NM, et al. A blood-based prognostic biomarker in IBD. Gut 2019; 68: 1386–1395. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 55.Noor N, Brezina B, Negro JR, et al. Predicting outcomes for Crohn’s disease using a molecular biomarker: profile trial. Clin Med 2022; 22: 22–23. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 56.Verstockt B, Parkes M, Lee JC. How do we predict a patient’s disease course and whether they will respond to specific treatments? Gastroenterology 2022; 162: 1383–1395. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 57.Lakatos PL, Czegledi Z, Szamosi T, et al. Perianal disease, small bowel disease, smoking, prior steroid or early azathioprine/biological therapy are predictors of disease behavior change in patients with Crohn’s disease. World J Gastroenterol 2009; 15: 3504–3510. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 58.Aldhous MC, Drummond HE, Anderson N, et al. Does cigarette smoking influence the phenotype of Crohn’s disease? Analysis using the Montreal classification. Am J Gastroenterol 2007; 102: 577–588. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 59.Louis E, Michel V, Hugot JP, et al. Early development of stricturing or penetrating pattern in Crohn’s disease is influenced by disease location, number of flares, and smoking but not by NOD2/CARD15 genotype. Gut 2003; 52: 552–557. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 60.Sands BE, Arsenault JE, Rosen MJ, et al. Risk of early surgery for Crohn’s Disease: Implications for Early Treatment Strategies. Am J Gastroenterol 2003; 98: 2712–2718. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 61.Mazor Y, Maza I, Kaufman E, et al. Prediction of disease complication occurrence in Crohn’s disease using phenotype and genotype parameters at diagnosis. J Crohns Colitis 2011; 5: 592–597. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 62.Beaugerie L, Seksik P, Nion-Larmurier I, et al. Predictors of crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2006; 130: 650–656. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 63.Loly C, Belaiche J, Louis E. Predictors of severe Crohn’s disease. Scand J Gastroenterol 2008; 43: 948–954. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 64.Lichtenstein GR, Olson A, Travers S, et al. Factors associated with the development of intestinal strictures or obstructions in patients with Crohn’s disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2006; 101: 1030–1038. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 65.Abou Khalil M, Boutros M, Nedjar H, et al. Incidence rates and predictors of colectomy for ulcerative colitis in the era of Biologics: Results from a Provincial Database. J Gastrointest Surg 2018; 22: 124–132. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 66.Macaluso FS, Cavallaro F, Felice C, et al. Risk factors and timing for colectomy in chronically active refractory ulcerative colitis: A systematic review. Dig Liver Dis 2019; 51: 613–620. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 67.Mosli M, Alfaer S, Almalaki T, et al. Baseline risk assessment of patients with ulcerative colitis: does initial treatment selection influence outcomes? Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2019; 31: 80–85. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 68.Beaugerie L, Sokol H. Clinical, serological and genetic predictors of inflammatory bowel disease course. World J Gastroenterol 2012; 18: 3806–3813. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 69.Cha JM, Park SH, Rhee KH, et al. Long-term prognosis of ulcerative colitis and its temporal changes between 1986 and 2015 in a population-based cohort in the Songpa-Kangdong district of Seoul, Korea. Gut 2020; 69: 1432–1440. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 70.Romberg-Camps MJ, Dagnelie PC, Kester AD, et al. Influence of phenotype at diagnosis and of other potential prognostic factors on the course of inflammatory bowel disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2009; 104: 371–383. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 71.Angelison L, Almer S, Eriksson A, et al. Long-term outcome of infliximab treatment in chronic active ulcerative colitis: a Swedish multicentre study of 250 patients. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2017; 45: 519–532. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 72.Rieder F, Paul G, Schnoy E, et al. Hemoglobin and hematocrit levels in the prediction of complicated Crohn’s disease behavior—a cohort study. PLoS One 2014; 9: e104706. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 73.Choung RS, Princen F, Stockfisch TP, et al. Serologic microbial associated markers can predict Crohn’s disease behaviour years before disease diagnosis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2016; 43: 1300–1310. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 74.Zhang Z, Li C, Zhao X, et al. Anti-saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies associate with phenotypes and higher risk for surgery in Crohn’s disease: a meta-analysis. Dig Dis Sci 2012; 57: 2944–2954. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 75.Lakatos PL, Papp M, Rieder F. Serologic antiglycan antibodies in inflammatory bowel disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2011; 106: 406–412. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 76.Schaffer T, Müller S, Flogerzi B, et al. Anti-saccharomyces cerevisiae mannan antibodies (Asca) of Crohn’s patients crossreact with mannan from other yeast strains, and murine Asca IgM can be experimentally induced with Candida albicans. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2007; 13: 1339–1346. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 77.Ferrante M, Henckaerts L, Joossens M, et al. New serological markers in inflammatory bowel disease are associated with complicated disease behaviour. Gut 2007; 56: 1394–1403. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 78.Rieder F, Schleder S, Wolf A, et al. Serum anti-glycan antibodies predict complicated crohn’s disease behavior: A cohort study. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2010; 16: 1367–1375. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 79.Allan A, Wyke J, Allan RN, et al. Plasma fibronectin in Crohn’s disease. Gut 1989; 30: 627–633. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 80.Koutroubakis IE, Petinaki E, Dimoulios P, et al. Serum laminin and collagen IV in inflammatory bowel disease. J Clin Pathol 2003; 56: 817–820. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 81.Di Sabatino A, Ciccocioppo R, Armellini E, et al. Serum bFGF and VEGF correlate respectively with bowel wall thickness and intramural blood flow in Crohn’s disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2004; 10: 573–577. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 82.Kennedy NA, Jones GR, Plevris N, et al. Association between level of fecal calprotectin and progression of Crohn’s disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2019; 17: 2269–2276.e4. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 83.Niewiadomski O, Studd C, Hair C, et al. Prospective population-based cohort of inflammatory bowel disease in the biologics era: Disease course and predictors of severity. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2015; 30: 1346–1353. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 84.Tanaka M, Takagi T, Naito Y, et al. Low serum albumin at admission is a predictor of early colectomy in patients with moderate to severe ulcerative colitis. JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology 2021; 5: 377–381. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 85.Livanos AE, Dunn A, Fischer J, et al. Anti-integrin avb6 autoantibodies are a novel predictive biomarker in ulcerative colitis n.d. Doi: 10.1101/2022.11.21.517399. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- 86.Allez M, Lémann M. Role of endoscopy in predicting the disease course in inflammatory bowel disease. World J Gastroenterol 2010; 16: 2626–2632. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 87.de Frias Gomes CG, de Almeida ASR, Mendes CCL, et al. Histological inflammation in the endoscopically uninflamed mucosa is associated with worse outcomes in limited ulcerative colitis. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2022; 28: 350–357. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 88.Heliö T, Halme L, Lappalainen M, et al. CARD15/NOD2 gene variants are associated with familially occurring and complicated forms of Crohn’s disease. Gut 2003; 52: 558–562. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 89.Cuthbert AP, Fisher SA, Mirza MM, et al. The contribution of NOD2 gene mutations to the risk and site of disease in inflammatory bowel disease. Gastroenterology 2002; 122: 867–874. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 90.Abreu MT, Taylor KD, Lin YC, et al. Mutations in NOD2 are associated with fibrostenosing disease in patients with Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2002; 123: 679–688. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 91.Cleynen I, González JR, Figueroa C, et al. Genetic factors conferring an increased susceptibility to develop Crohn’s disease also influence disease phenotype: Results from the IBDchip European project. Gut 2013; 62: 1556–1565. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 92.Latiano A, Palmieri O, Cucchiara S, et al. Polymorphism of the IRGM gene might predispose to fistulizing behavior in crohn’s disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2009; 104: 110–116. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 93.Cleynen I, Boucher G, Jostins L, et al. Inherited determinants of Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis phenotypes: A genetic association study. Lancet 2016; 387: 156–167. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 94.Weersma RK, Stokkers PCF, van Bodegraven AA, et al. Molecular prediction of disease risk and severity in a large Dutch Crohn’s disease cohort. Gut 2009; 58: 388–395. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 95.Meijer MJ, Mieremet-Ooms MA, van der Zon AM, et al. Increased mucosal matrix metalloproteinase-1, -2, -3 and -9 activity in patients with inflammatory bowel disease and the relation with Crohn’s disease phenotype. Dig Liver Dis 2007; 39: 733–739. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 96.Glas J, Seiderer J, Wetzke M, et al. Rs1004819 is the main disease-associated IL23R variant in German Crohn’s disease patients: combined analysis of IL23R, CARD15, and OCTN1/2 variants. PLoS One 2007; 2: e819. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 97.Fowler EV, Doecke J, Simms LA, et al. ATG16L1 T300A shows strong associations with disease subgroups in a large Australian IBD population: further support for significant disease heterogeneity. Am J Gastroenterol 2008; 103: 2519–2526. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 98.Rieder F, de Bruyn JR, Pham BT, et al. Results of the 4th Scientific Workshop of the ECCO (Group II): Markers of intestinal fibrosis in inflammatory bowel disease. J Crohns Colitis 2014; 8: 1166–1178. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 99.Mo A, Nagpal S, Gettler K, et al. Stratification of risk of progression to colectomy in ulcerative colitis via measured and predicted gene expression. Am J Hum Genet 2021; 108: 1765–1779. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 100.Cushing KC, Kordbacheh H, Gee MS, et al. CT-Visualized colonic mural stratification independently predicts the need for medical or surgical rescue therapy in hospitalized ulcerative colitis patients. Dig Dis Sci 2019; 64: 2265–2272. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 101.Turkcapar N, Toruner M, Soykan I, et al. The prevalence of extraintestinal manifestations and HLA association in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Rheumatol Int 2006; 26: 663–668. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 102.Cravo ML, Ferreira PA, Sousa P, et al. IL23R polymorphisms influence phenotype and response to therapy in patients with ulcerative colitis. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2014; 26: 26–32. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 103.Vieujean S, D’Amico F, Netter P, et al. Landscape of new drugs and targets in inflammatory bowel disease. United Eur Gastroenterol J 2022; 10: 1129–1166. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 104.Marafini I, Monteleone G. Precision Medicine in inflammatory bowel diseases. Front Pharmacol 2021; 12: 653924. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 105.Barré A, Colombel JF, Ungaro R. Review article: predictors of response to vedolizumab and ustekinumab in inflammatory bowel disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2018; 47: 896–905. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 106.Gisbert JP, Chaparro M. Predictors of primary response to biologic treatment [Anti-TNF, vedolizumab, and ustekinumab] in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: from basic science to Clinical Practice. J Crohns Colitis 2020; 14: 694–709. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 107.Estevinho MM, Rocha C, Correia L, et al. Features of fecal and colon microbiomes associate with responses to biologic therapies for inflammatory bowel diseases: A systematic review. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2020; 18: 1054–1069. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 108.Hibi T, Naganuma M, Oda E, et al. Predictive factors for achievement of mucosal healing by budesonide 2-mg foam in ulcerative colitis: A pooled analysis of data from two clinical trials. Intest Res 2020; 18: 56–68. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 109.Ho GT, Chiam P, Drummond H, et al. The efficacy of corticosteroid therapy in inflammatory bowel disease: analysis of a 5-year UK inception cohort. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2006; 24: 319–330. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 110.Li J, Wang F, Zhang HJ, et al. Corticosteroid therapy in ulcerative colitis: Clinical response and predictors. World J Gastroenterol 2015; 21: 3005–3015. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 111.Gürel S, Kiyici M. Ulcerative colitis activity index: A useful prognostic factor for predicting ulcerative colitis outcome. J Int Med Res 2005; 33: 103–110. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 112.Aoyama Y, Inaba T, Takahashi S, et al. Anti-proteinase 3 antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody reflects disease activity and predicts the response to steroid therapy in ulcerative colitis. BMC Gastroenterol 2021; 21: 325. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 113.Chow DK, Sung JJ, Tsoi KK, et al. Predictors of corticosteroid-dependent and corticosteroid-refractory inflammatory bowel disease: analysis of a Chinese cohort study. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2009; 29: 843–854. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 114.Leoncini G, Villanacci V, Marin MG, et al. Colonic hypereosinophilia in ulcerative colitis may help to predict the failure of steroid therapy. Tech Coloproctol 2018; 22: 941–946. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 115.Eiro N, Barreiro-Alonso E, Fraile M, et al. Expression of MMP-2, MMP-7, MMP-9, and TIMP-1 by inflamed mucosa in the initial diagnosis of ulcerative colitis as a response marker for conventional medical treatment. Pathobiology 2023; 90: 81–93. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 116.Kane SV, Accortt NA, Magowan S, et al. Predictors of persistence with 5-aminosalicylic acid therapy for ulcerative colitis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2009; 29: 855–862. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 117.Bello C, Belaiche J, Louis E, et al. Evolution and predictive factors of relapse in ulcerative colitis patients treated with mesalazine after a first course of corticosteroids. J Crohns Colitis 2011; 5: 196–202. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 118.Lee HJ, Jung ES, Lee JH, et al. Long-term clinical outcomes and factors predictive of relapse after 5-aminosalicylate or sulfasalazine therapy in patients with mild-to-moderate ulcerative colitis. Hepatogastroenterology 2012; 59: 1415–1420. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 119.Lin H, Bai Z, Wu Q, et al. Inflammatory indexes for assessing the severity and disease progression of ulcerative colitis: a single-center Retrospective Study. Front Public Health 2022; 10: 851295. DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.851295 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 120.Fraser AG, Orchard TR, Jewell DP. The efficacy of azathioprine for the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease: A 30 year review. Gut 2002; 50: 485–489. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 121.Basaranoglu M, Ertan A. Rate and predictors of endoscopic mucosal healing in biologic naive patients with inflammatory bowel disease by azathioprine treatment: A Real World, 10 years’ experience from a single centre in Turkey. J Gastrointest Dig Syst 2016; 6:467. DOI: 10.4172/2161-069x.1000467 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 122.Barber GE, Hendler S, Choe M, et al. Thiopurine monotherapy is effective in maintenance of mild-moderate inflammatory bowel disease. Dig Dis Sci 2022; 67: 1287–1294. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 123.Cuffari C, Dassopoulos T, Turnbough L, et al. Thiopurine methyltransferase activity influences clinical response to azathioprine in inflammatory bowel disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2004; 2: 410–417. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 124.Smith MA, Marinaki AM, Arenas M, et al. Novel pharmacogenetic markers for treatment outcome in azathioprine-treated inflammatory bowel disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2009; 30: 375–384. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 125.Zabala-Fernández W, Barreiro-de Acosta M, Echarri A, et al. A pharmacogenetics study of TPMT and ITPA genes detects a relationship with side effects and clinical response in patients with inflammatory bowel disease receiving azathioprine. J Gastrointest Liver Dis 2011; 20: 247–253. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 126.Al-Judaibi B, Schwarz UI, Huda N, et al. Genetic predictors of azathioprine toxicity and clinical response in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. J Popul Ther Clin Pharmacol 2016; 23: e26–e36. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 127.Wang M, Zhao J, Wang H, et al. Methotrexate showed efficacy both in Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis, predictors of surgery were identified in patients initially treated with methotrexate monotherapy. Front Pharmacol 2022; 13: 996065. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 128.Nasuno M, Miyakawa M, Tanaka H, et al. Short- and long-term outcomes of infliximab treatment for steroid-refractory ulcerative colitis and related prognostic factors: a single-center retrospective study. Digestion 2017; 95: 67–71. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 129.Ribaldone DG, Dileo I, Pellicano R, et al. Severe ulcerative colitis: predictors of response and algorithm proposal for rescue therapy. Ir J Med Sci 2018; 187: 385–392. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 130.Jürgens M, Laubender RP, Hartl F, et al. Disease activity, ANCA, and IL23R genotype status determine early response to infliximab in patients with ulcerative colitis. Am J Gastroenterol 2010; 105: 1811–1819. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 131.Park SH, Yang SK, Hong SM, et al. Severe disease activity and cytomegalovirus colitis are predictive of a nonresponse to infliximab in patients with ulcerative colitis. Dig Dis Sci 2013; 58: 3592–3599. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 132.Gonzalez-Lama Y, Fernandez-Blanco I, Lopez-SanRoman A, et al. Open-label infliximab therapy in ulcerative colitis: a multicenter survey of results and predictors of response. Hepatogastroenterology 2008; 55: 1609–1614. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 133.Shin SY, Park SJ, Kim Y, et al. Clinical outcomes and predictors of response for adalimumab in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis: A KASID prospective multicenter cohort study. Intest Res 2022; 20: 350–360. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 134.Ferrante M, Vermeire S, Katsanos KH, et al. Predictors of early response to infliximab in patients with ulcerative colitis. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2007; 13: 123–128. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 135.Fasanmade AA, Adedokun OJ, Olson A, et al. Serum albumin concentration: A predictive factor of infliximab pharmacokinetics and clinical response in patients with ulcerative colitis. Int J Clin Pharmacol Ther 2010; 48: 297–308. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 136.Zhou Z, Zhang Y, Pan Y, et al. A novel neutrophil-based biomarker to monitor disease activity and predict response to infliximab therapy in patients with ulcerative colitis. Front Med 2022; 9: 872831. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 137.Oussalah A, Evesque L, Laharie D, et al. A multicenter experience with infliximab for ulcerative colitis: Outcomes and predictors of response, optimization, colectomy, and hospitalization. Am J Gastroenterol 2010; 105: 2617–2625. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 138.Morita Y, Bamba S, Takahashi K, et al. Prediction of clinical and endoscopic responses to anti-tumor necrosis factor-α antibodies in ulcerative colitis. Scand J Gastroenterol 2016; 51: 934–941. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 139.Bek S, Nielsen JV, Bojesen AB, et al. Systematic review: genetic biomarkers associated with anti-TNF treatment response in inflammatory bowel diseases. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2016; 44: 554–567. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 140.Bank S, Andersen PS, Burisch J, et al. Associations between functional polymorphisms in the NFκB signaling pathway and response to anti-TNF treatment in Danish patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Pharmacogenomics J 2014; 14: 526–534. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 141.Bank S, Andersen PS, Burisch J, et al. Genetically determined high activity of IL-12 and IL-18 in ulcerative colitis and TLR5 in Crohns disease were associated with non-response to anti-TNF therapy. Pharmacogenomics J 2018; 18: 87–97. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 142.Arijs I, Li K, Toedter G, et al. Mucosal gene signatures to predict response to infliximab in patients with ulcerative colitis. Gut 2009; 58: 1612–1619. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 143.West NR, Hegazy AN, Owens BMJ, et al. Oncostatin M drives intestinal inflammation and predicts response to tumor necrosis factor-neutralizing therapy in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Nat Med 2017; 23: 579–589. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 144.Nishioka K, Ogino H, Chinen T, et al. Mucosal IL23A expression predicts the response to ustekinumab in inflammatory bowel disease. J Gastroenterol 2021; 56: 976–987. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 145.Arijs I, De Hertogh G, Lemmens B, et al. Effect of vedolizumab (anti-α4β7-integrin) therapy on histological healing and mucosal gene expression in patients with UC. Gut 2018; 67: 43–52. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 146.Dahlén R, Magnusson MK, Bajor A, et al. Global mucosal and serum cytokine profile in patients with ulcerative colitis undergoing anti-TNF therapy. Scand J Gastroenterol 2015; 50: 1118–1126. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 147.Telesco SE, Brodmerkel C, Zhang H, et al. Gene expression signature for prediction of golimumab response in a Phase 2a open-label trial of patients with ulcerative colitis. Gastroenterology 2018; 155: 1008–1011.e8. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 148.Viazis N, Giakoumis M, Bamias G, et al. Predictors of tissue healing in ulcerative colitis patients treated with anti-TNF. Dig Liver Dis 2017; 49: 29–33. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 149.Verstockt B, Verstockt S, Dehairs J, et al. Low TREM1 expression in whole blood predicts anti-TNF response in inflammatory bowel disease. EBioMedicine 2019; 40: 733–742. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 150.Gaujoux R, Starosvetsky E, Maimon N, et al. Cell-centred meta-Analysis reveals baseline predictors of anti-TNFα non-response in biopsy and blood of patients with IBD. Gut 2019; 68: 604–614. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 151.Toedter G, Li K, Marano C, et al. Gene expression profiling and response signatures associated with differential responses to infliximab treatment in ulcerative colitis. Am J Gastroenterol 2011; 106: 1272–1280. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 152.Rismo R, Olsen T, Cui G, et al. Mucosal cytokine gene expression profiles as biomarkers of response to infliximab in ulcerative colitis. Scand J Gastroenterol 2012; 47: 538–547. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 153.Iacucci M, Jeffery L, Acharjee A, et al. Computer-aided imaging analysis of probe-based confocal laser endomicroscopy with molecular labeling and gene expression identifies markers of response to biological therapy in IBD patients: the endo-omics study. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2022: izac233. DOI: 10.1093/ibd/izac233 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 154.Magnusson MK, Strid H, Sapnara M, et al. Anti-TNF therapy response in patients with ulcerative colitis is associated with colonic antimicrobial peptide expression and microbiota composition. J Crohns Colitis 2016; 10: 943–952. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 155.Kadijani AA, Aghdaei HA, Sorrentino D, et al. Transmembrane TNF-α density, but not soluble TNF-α level, is associated with primary response to infliximab in inflammatory bowel disease. Clin Transl Gastroenterol 2017; 8: e117. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 156.Baird AC, Mallon D, Radford-Smith G, et al. Dysregulation of innate immunity in ulcerative colitis patients who fail anti-Tumor necrosis factor therapy. World J Gastroenterol 2016; 22: 9104–9116. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 157.Magnusson MK, Strid H, Isaksson S, et al. Cultured blood T-cell responses predict anti-TNF therapy response in patients with ulcerative colitis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2015; 41: 1149–1161. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 158.Obraztsov IV, Shirokikh KE, Obraztsova OI, et al. Multiple cytokine profiling: A new model to predict response to tumor necrosis factor antagonists in ulcerative colitis patients. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2019; 25: 524–531. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 159.Kinoshita N, Kakimoto K, Shimizu H, et al. Serum IL-13 predicts response to golimumab in Bio-Naïve ulcerative colitis. J Clin Med 2022; 11:4952. DOI: 10.3390/jcm11174952 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 160.Liu L, Pu D, Wang D, et al. Proteomic analysis of potential targets for Non-Response to infliximab in patients with ulcerative colitis. Front Pharmacol 2022; 13: 905133. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 161.Gu P, Chhabra A, Chittajallu P, et al. Visceral adipose tissue volumetrics inform odds of treatment response and risk of subsequent surgery in IBD patients starting antitumor necrosis factor therapy. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2022; 28: 657–666. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 162.Kopylov U, Ron Y, Avni-Biron I, et al. Efficacy and safety of vedolizumab for induction of remission in inflammatory bowel disease-the Israeli real-world experience. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2017; 23: 404–408. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 163.Chaparro M, Garre A, Ricart E, et al. Short and long-term effectiveness and safety of vedolizumab in inflammatory bowel disease: results from the ENEIDA registry. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2018; 48: 839–851. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 164.Bamias G, Kokkotis G, Gizis M, et al. Predictors of response to vedolizumab in patients with ulcerative colitis: results from the Greek VEDO-IBD cohort. Dig Dis Sci 2022; 67: 1007–1017. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 165.Baumgart DC, Bokemeyer B, Drabik A, et al. Vedolizumab induction therapy for inflammatory bowel disease in clinical practice–a nationwide consecutive German cohort study. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2016; 43: 1090–1102. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 166.Amiot A, Grimaud JC, Peyrin-Biroulet L, et al. Effectiveness and safety of vedolizumab induction therapy for patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016; 14: 1593–1601.e2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 167.Amiot A, Serrero M, Peyrin-Biroulet L, et al. One-year effectiveness and safety of vedolizumab therapy for inflammatory bowel disease: a prospective multicentre cohort study. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2017; 46: 310–321. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 168.Sandborn WJ, Feagan BG, Rutgeerts P, et al. Vedolizumab as induction and maintenance therapy for Crohn’s disease. New Engl J Med 2013; 369: 711–721. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 169.Stallmach A, Langbein C, Atreya R, et al. Vedolizumab provides clinical benefit over 1 year in patients with active inflammatory bowel disease - a prospective multicenter observational study. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2016; 44: 1199–1212. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 170.Shelton E, Allegretti JR, Stevens B, et al. Efficacy of vedolizumab as induction therapy in refractory IBD patients: A Multicenter Cohort. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2015; 21: 2879–2885. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 171.Bertani L, Caviglia GP, Antonioli L, et al. Serum interleukin-6 and -8 as predictors of response to vedolizumab in inflammatory bowel diseases. J Clin Med 2020; 9: 1323. DOI: 10.3390/jcm9051323 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 172.Feagan BG, Rubin DT, Danese S, et al. Efficacy of vedolizumab induction and maintenance therapy in patients with ulcerative colitis, regardless of prior exposure to tumor necrosis factor antagonists. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2017; 15: 229–239.e5. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 173.Dulai PS, Boland BS, Singh S, et al. Development and validation of a scoring system to predict outcomes of vedolizumab treatment in patients with Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2018; 155: 687–695.e10. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 174.Gubatan J, Rubin SJ, Bai L, et al. Vitamin D is associated with α4β7+ immunophenotypes and predicts vedolizumab therapy failure in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. J Crohns Colitis 2021; 15: 1980–1990. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 175.Singh A, Fenton CG, Anderssen E, et al. Identifying predictive signalling networks for vedolizumab response in ulcerative colitis. Int J Colorectal Dis 2022; 37: 1321–1333. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 176.Verstockt B, Verstockt S, Veny M, et al. Expression levels of 4 genes in colon tissue might Be used to predict which patients will enter endoscopic remission after vedolizumab therapy for inflammatory bowel diseases. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2020; 18: 1142–1151.e10. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 177.Boden EK, Shows DM, Chiorean MV, et al. Identification of candidate biomarkers associated with response to vedolizumab in inflammatory bowel disease. Dig Dis Sci 2018; 63: 2419–2429. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 178.Soendergaard C, Seidelin JB, Steenholdt C, et al. Putative biomarkers of vedolizumab resistance and underlying inflammatory pathways involved in IBD. BMJ Open Gastroenterol 2018; 5: e000208. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 179.Gonzalez-Vivo M, Lund Tiirikainen MK, Andreu M, et al. Memory T cell subpopulations as early predictors of remission to vedolizumab in ulcerative colitis. Front Med 2022; 9: 837294. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 180.Ananthakrishnan AN, Luo C, Yajnik V, et al. Gut microbiome function predicts response to anti-integrin biologic therapy in inflammatory bowel diseases. Cell Host Microbe 2017; 21: 603–610.e3. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 181.Dulai PS, Singh S, Vande Casteele N, et al. Development and validation of clinical scoring tool to predict outcomes of treatment with vedolizumab in patients with ulcerative colitis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2020; 18: 2952–2961.e8. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 182.Thunberg J, Björkqvist O, Hedin CRH, et al. Ustekinumab treatment in ulcerative colitis: Real-world data from the Swedish inflammatory bowel disease quality register. United Eur Gastroenterol J 2022; 10: 631–639. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 183.Amiot A, Filippi J, Abitbol V, et al. Effectiveness and safety of ustekinumab induction therapy for 103 patients with ulcerative colitis: a GETAID multicentre real-world cohort study. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2020; 51: 1039–1046. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 184.Chaparro M, Garre A, Iborra M, et al. P434 effectiveness and safety of ustekinumab in ulcerative colitis: Real-world evidence from Eneida Registry. J Crohns Colitis 2020; 14: S394–S395. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 185.Doherty MK, Ding T, Koumpouras C, et al. Fecal microbiota signatures are associated with response to ustekinumab therapy among crohn’s disease patients. mBio 2018; 9: e02120-17. DOI: 10.1128/mBio.02120-17 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 186.Sandborn WJ, Armuzzi A, Liguori G, et al. Predictors of sustained response with tofacitinib therapy in patients with ulcerative colitis. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2022; 28: 1338–1347. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 187.Moran GW, Dubeau MF, Kaplan GG, et al. Phenotypic features of crohn’s disease associated with failure of medical treatment. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2014; 12: 434–42.e1. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 188.Choi CH, Song ID, Kim YH, et al.; IBD Study Group of the Korean Association for the Study of the Intestinal Diseases. Efficacy and safety of infliximab therapy and predictors of response in korean patients with crohn’s disease: A nationwide, multicenter study. Yonsei Med J 2016; 57: 1376–1385. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 189.Sprakes MB, Ford AC, Warren L, et al. Efficacy, tolerability, and predictors of response to infliximab therapy for Crohn’s disease: A large single centre experience. J Crohns Colitis 2012; 6: 143–153. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 190.Billiet T, Papamichael K, de Bruyn M, et al. A matrix-based model predicts primary response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease. J Crohns Colitis 2015; 9: 1120–1126. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 191.Vermeire S, Louis E, Carbonez A, et al. Demographic and clinical parameters influencing the short-term outcome of anti-tumor necrosis factor (infliximab) treatment in Crohn’s disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2002; 97: 2357–2363. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 192.Zorzi F, Zuzzi S, Onali S, et al. Efficacy and safety of infliximab and adalimumab in Crohn’s disease: A single centre study. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2012; 35: 1397–1407. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 193.Papamichael K, Gils A, Rutgeerts P, et al. Role for therapeutic drug monitoring during induction therapy with TNF antagonists in IBD: Evolution in the definition and management of primary nonresponse. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2015; 21: 182–197. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 194.Parsi MA, Achkar JP, Richardson S, et al. Predictors of response to infliximab in patients with Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2002; 123: 707–713. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 195.Arnott IDR, McNeill G, Satsangi J. An analysis of factors influencing short-term and sustained response to infliximab treatment for Crohn’s disease 2003;17(12):1451–7. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 196.Sandborn WJ, Melmed GY, McGovern DP, et al. Clinical and demographic characteristics predictive of treatment outcomes for certolizumab pegol in moderate to severe Crohn’s disease: Analyses from the 7-year PRECiSE 3 study. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2015; 42: 330–342. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 197.Kiss LS, Szamosi T, Molnar T, et al. Early clinical remission and normalisation of CRP are the strongest predictors of efficacy, mucosal healing and dose escalation during the first year of adalimumab therapy in Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2011; 34: 911–922. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 198.Schreiber S, Colombel JF, Bloomfield R, et al. Increased response and remission rates in short-duration crohn’s disease with subcutaneous certolizumab pegol: an analysis of PRECiSE 2 randomized maintenance trial data. Am J Gastroenterol 2010; 105: 1574–1582. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 199.Schreiber S, Reinisch W, Colombel JF, et al. Subgroup analysis of the placebo-controlled CHARM trial: increased remission rates through 3years for adalimumab-treated patients with early Crohn’s disease. J Crohns Colitis 2013; 7: 213–221. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 200.Narula N, Kainz S, Petritsch W, et al. The efficacy and safety of either infliximab or adalimumab in 362 patients with anti-TNF-α naïve Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2016; 44: 170–180. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 201.Miyoshi J, Hisamatsu T, Matsuoka K, et al. Early intervention with adalimumab may contribute to favorable clinical efficacy in patients with Crohn’s disease. Digestion 2014; 90: 130–136. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 202.Barber GE, Yajnik V, Khalili H, et al. Genetic markers predict primary Non-Response and durable response to Anti-TNF biologic therapies in Crohn’s disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2016; 111: 1816–1822. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 203.Peters CP, Eshuis EJ, Toxopeüs FM, et al. Adalimumab for Crohn’s disease: Long-term sustained benefit in a population-based cohort of 438 patients. J Crohns Colitis 2014; 8: 866–875. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 204.Hlavaty T, Pierik M, Henckaerts L, et al. Polymorphisms in apoptosis genes predict response to infliximab therapy in luminal and fistulizing Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2005; 22: 613–626. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 205.Orlando A, Colombo E, Kohn A, et al. Infliximab in the treatment of Crohn’s disease: Predictors of response in an Italian multicentric open study. Dig Liver Dis 2005; 37: 577–583. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 206.Colombel JF, Reinisch W, Mantzaris GJ, et al. Randomised clinical trial: deep remission in biologic and immunomodulator naïve patients with Crohn’s disease - A SONIC post hoc analysis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2015; 41: 734–746. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 207.D’Haens G, Baert F, van Assche G, et al. Early combined immunosuppression or conventional management in patients with newly diagnosed Crohn’s disease: an open randomised trial. Lancet 2008; 371: 660–667. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 208.Louis E, El Ghoul Z, Vermeire S, et al. Association between polymorphism in IgG fc receptor IIIa coding gene and biological response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2004; 19: 511–519. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 209.Beltrán B, Iborra M, Sáez-González E, et al. Fecal calprotectin pretreatment and induction infliximab levels for prediction of primary nonresponse to infliximab therapy in Crohn’s disease. Dig Dis 2019; 37: 108–115. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 210.Magro F, Rodrigues-Pinto E, Santos-Antunes J, et al. High C-reactive protein in Crohn’s disease patients predicts nonresponse to infliximab treatment. J Crohns Colitis 2014; 8: 129–136. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 211.Reich KM, Fedorak RN, Madsen K, et al. Role of vitamin D in infliximab-induced remission in adult patients with Crohn’s disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2016; 22: 92–99. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 212.Zhou Z, Zhang Y, Yang X, et al. Clinical significance of novel neutrophil-based biomarkers in the diagnosis and prediction of response to infliximab therapy in Crohn’s disease. Front Immunol 2022; 13: 865968. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 213.Medrano LM, Taxonera C, Márquez A, et al. Role of TNFRSF1B polymorphisms in the response of Crohn’s disease patients to infliximab. Hum Immunol 2014; 75: 71–75. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 214.Pierik M, Vermeire S, Steen KV, et al. Tumour necrosis factor-alpha receptor 1 and 2 polymorphisms in inflammatory bowel disease and their association with response to infliximab. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2004; 20: 303–310. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 215.Urcelay E, Mendoza JL, Martinez A, et al. IBD5 polymorphisms in inflammatory bowel disease: Association with response to infliximab. World J Gastroenterol 2005; 11: 1187–1192. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 216.Koder S, Repnik K, Ferkolj I, et al. Genetic polymorphism in ATG16L1 gene influences the response to adalimumab in Crohn’s disease patients. Pharmacogenomics 2015; 16: 191–204. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 217.Schmitt H, Billmeier U, Dieterich W, et al. Expansion of IL-23 receptor bearing TNFR2+ T cells is associated with molecular resistance to anti-TNF therapy in Crohn’s disease. Gut 2019; 68: 814–828. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 218.Matsukura H, Ikeda S, Yoshimura N, et al. Genetic polymorphisms of tumour necrosis factor receptor superfamily 1A and 1B affect responses to infliximab in Japanese patients with Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2008; 27: 765–770. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 219.Louis EJ, Watier HE, Schreiber S, et al. Polymorphism in IgG fc receptor gene FCGR3A and response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease: A subanalysis of the ACCENT I study. Pharmacogenet Genomics 2006; 16: 911–914. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 220.Moroi R, Endo K, Kinouchi Y, et al. FCGR3A-158 polymorphism influences the biological response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease through affecting the ADCC activity. Immunogenetics 2013; 65: 265–271. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 221.Medrano LM, Taxonera C, González-Artacho C, et al. Response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease: Genetic analysis supporting expression profile. Mediators Inflamm 2015; 2015. DOI: 10.1155/2015/318207 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 222.Steenholdt C, Enevold C, Ainsworth MA, et al. Genetic polymorphisms of tumour necrosis factor receptor superfamily 1b and fas ligand are associated with clinical efficacy and/or acute severe infusion reactions to infliximab in Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2012; 36: 650–659. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 223.Deželak M, Repnik K, Koder S, et al. A prospective pharmacogenomic study of Crohn’s disease patients during routine therapy with Anti-TNF-α drug adalimumab: contribution of ATG5, NFKB1, and CRP genes to pharmacodynamic variability. Omi A J Integr Biol 2016; 20: 296–309. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 224.Thomas D, Gazouli M, Karantanos T, et al. Association of rs1568885, rs1813443 and rs4411591 polymorphisms with anti-TNF medication response in Greek patients with Crohn’s disease. World J Gastroenterol 2014; 20: 3609–3614. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 225.Arijs I, Quintens R, Van Lommel L, et al. Predictive value of epithelial gene expression profiles for response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2010; 16: 2090–2098. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 226.Bertani L, Barberio B, Fornili M, et al. Serum oncostatin M predicts mucosal healing in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases treated with anti-TNF, but not vedolizumab. Dig Liver Dis 2022; 54: 1367–1373. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 227.Guo A, Ross C, Chande N, et al. High oncostatin M predicts lack of clinical remission for patients with inflammatory bowel disease on tumor necrosis factor α antagonists. Sci Rep 2022; 12: 1185. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 228.Di Sabatino A, Biancheri P, Piconese S, et al. Peripheral regulatory T cells and serum transforming growth factor-β: relationship with clinical response to infliximab in crohns disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2010; 16: 1891–1897. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 229.Ferkolj I, Ihan A, Markovic S. CD19+ in intestinal mucosa predict the response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease. Hepatogastroenterology 2005; 52: 1128–1133. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 230.Martínez-Borra J, López-Larrea C, González S, et al. High serum tumor necrosis factor-alpha levels are associated with lack of response to infliximab in fistulizing Crohn’s disease. Am J Gastroenterol 2002; 97: 2350–2356. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 231.Meuwis MA, Fillet M, Lutteri L, et al. Proteomics for prediction and characterization of response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease: A pilot study. Clin Biochem 2008; 41: 960–967. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 232.Wong ECL, Yusuf A, Pokryszka J, et al. Increased expression of interleukin-13 receptor in ileum associated with nonresponse to adalimumab in Ileal Crohn’s disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2022: izac157. DOI: 10.1093/ibd/izac157 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 233.Bouhnik Y, Carbonnel F, Laharie D, et al. Efficacy of adalimumab in patients with Crohn’s disease and symptomatic small bowel stricture: A multicentre, prospective, observational cohort (CREOLE) study. Gut 2018; 67: 53–60. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 234.Amitai MM, Klang E, Levartovsky A, et al. Diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance enterography for prediction of response to tumor necrosis factor inhibitors in stricturing crohn’s disease. Abdom Radiol 2018; 43: 3207–3212. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 235.Rimola J, Fernàndez-Clotet A, Capozzi N, et al. Pre-treatment magnetic resonance enterography findings predict the response to TNF-alpha inhibitors in Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2020; 52: 1563–1573. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 236.Feng J, Feng Q, Chen Y, et al. MRI-Based radiomic signature identifying secondary loss of response to infliximab in Crohn’s disease. Front Nutr 2022; 8: 773040. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 237.Zhu C, Hu J, Wang X, et al. A novel clinical radiomics nomogram at baseline to predict mucosal healing in Crohn’s disease patients treated with infliximab. Eur Radiol 2022; 32: 6628–6636. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 238.Yueying C, Jing F, Tian Y, et al. Bioelectrical impedance analysis-based nomogram construction for predicting secondary loss of response to infliximab in bio-naïve Crohn’s disease patients. Biomed Pharmacother 2021; 142: 112076. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 239.Zhou Y, Xu ZZ, He Y, et al. Gut Microbiota offers universal biomarkers across ethnicity in inflammatory bowel disease diagnosis and infliximab response prediction. mSystems 2018; 3: e00188-17. DOI: 10.1128/msystems.00188-17 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 240.Atreya R, Neumann H, Neufert C, et al. In vivo imaging using fluorescent antibodies to tumor necrosis factor predicts therapeutic response in Crohn’s disease. Nat Med 2014; 20: 313–318. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 241.Martin JC, Chang C, Boschetti G, et al. Single-cell analysis of Crohn’s disease lesions identifies a pathogenic cellular module associated with resistance to Anti-TNF Therapy. Cell 2019; 178: 1493–1508.e20. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 242.Chen Y, Li H, Feng Q, et al. Development and validation of an interleukin-6 nomogram to predict primary non-response to infliximab in Crohn’s Disease Patients. Front Pharmacol 2021; 12: 654985. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 243.Dulai PS, Singh S, Jiang X, et al. The real-world effectiveness and safety of vedolizumab for moderate-severe Crohn’s disease: results from the US VICTORY consortium. Am J Gastroenterol 2016; 111: 1147–1155. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 244.Joustra V, Hageman I, Li Yim A, et al. OP29 peripheral blood DNA methylation biomarkers accurately predict clinical- and endoscopic response to vedolizumab in a real-life cohort of Crohn’s Disease patients. J Crohns Colitis 2022; 16: Supplement_1 i032–i033. [Google Scholar]
- 245.Rath T, Bojarski C, Neurath MF, et al. Molecular imaging of mucosal α4β7 integrin expression with the fluorescent anti-adhesion antibody vedolizumab in Crohn’s disease. Gastrointest Endosc 2017; 86: 406–408. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 246.Khorrami S, Ginard D, Marín-Jiménez I, et al. Ustekinumab for the treatment of refractory Crohn’s disease: the Spanish experience in a large multicentre open-label cohort. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2016; 22: 1662–1669. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 247.Parra RS, Chebli JMF, Queiroz NSF, et al. Long-term effectiveness and safety of ustekinumab in bio-naïve and bio-experienced anti-tumor necrosis factor patients with Crohn’s disease: a real-world multicenter Brazilian study. BMC Gastroenterol 2022; 22. DOI: 10.1186/s12876-022-02280-3 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 248.Greenup AJ, Rosenfeld G, Bressler B. Ustekinumab use in Crohn’s disease: a Canadian tertiary care centre experience. Scand J Gastroenterol 2017; 52: 1354–1359. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 249.Sandborn WJ, Feagan BG, Fedorak RN, et al. A randomized trial of ustekinumab, a human interleukin-12/23 monoclonal antibody, in patients with Moderate-to-Severe Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2008; 135: 1130–1141. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 250.Jostins L, Ripke S, Weersma RK, et al. Host-microbe interactions have shaped the genetic architecture of inflammatory bowel disease. Nature 2012; 491: 119–124. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 251.Liu JZ, van Sommeren S, Huang H, et al. Association analyses identify 38 susceptibility loci for inflammatory bowel disease and highlight shared genetic risk across populations. Nat Genet 2015; 47: 979–986. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 252.de Lange KM, Moutsianas L, Lee JC, et al. Genome-wide association study implicates immune activation of multiple integrin genes in inflammatory bowel disease. Nat Genet 2017; 49: 256–261. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 253.Wang X, Qin L, Cao J, et al. Impact of NOD2/CARD15 polymorphisms on response to monoclonal antibody therapy in Crohn’s disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Curr Med Res Opin 2016; 32: 2007–2012. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 254.Netz U, Carter JV, Eichenberger MR, et al. Genetic polymorphisms predict response to anti-tumor necrosis factor treatment in Crohn’s disease. World J Gastroenterol 2017; 23: 4958. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 255.Vieujean S, Caron B, Haghnejad V, et al. Impact of the exposome on the epigenome in inflammatory bowel disease patients and animal models. Int J Mol Sci 2022; 23: 7611. DOI: 10.3390/ijms23147611 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 256.Schwarze K, Buchanan J, Taylor JC, et al. Are whole-exome and whole-genome sequencing approaches cost-effective? A systematic review of the literature. Genet Med 2018; 20: 1122–1130. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 257.Sandborn WJ, Vermeire S, Tyrrell H, et al. Etrolizumab for the treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s Disease: an overview of the Phase 3 clinical program. Adv Ther 2020; 37: 3417–3431. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 258.Vermeire S, O’Byrne S, Keir M, et al. Etrolizumab as induction therapy for ulcerative colitis: A randomised, controlled, phase 2 trial. Lancet 2014; 384: 309–318. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 259.Tew GW, Hackney JA, Gibbons D, et al. Association between response to etrolizumab and expression of integrin αe and granzyme A in colon biopsies of patients with ulcerative colitis. Gastroenterology 2016; 150: 477–487.e9. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 260.Vatansever A, Çekiç C, Ekinci N, et al. Effects of mucosal TNF-alpha levels on treatment response in Crohn’s disease patients receiving Anti-TNF Treatment. Hepatogastroenterology 2014; 61: 2277–2282. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 261.Steenholdt C, Coskun M, Buhl S, et al. Circulating cytokines and cytokine receptors in infliximab treatment failure due to TNF-α independent Crohn disease. Medicine 2016; 95: e3417. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 262.Creyns B, Verstockt B, Cremer J, et al. DOP018 baseline ILC1 distribution in blood predicts response to ustekinumab in patients with refractory Crohn’s disease. J Crohns Colitis 2018; 12: S041–S042. [Google Scholar]
- 263.Sands BE, Chen J, Feagan BG, et al. Efficacy and safety of MEDI2070, an antibody against Interleukin 23, in patients with moderate to severe Crohn’s Disease: A Phase 2a study. Gastroenterology 2017; 153: 77–86.e6. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 264.Ding NS, McDonald JAK, Perdones-Montero A, et al. Metabonomics and the gut microbiome associated with primary response to anti-TNF therapy in Crohn’s disease. J Crohns Colitis 2020; 14: 1090–1102. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 265.Aden K, Rehman A, Waschina S, et al. Metabolic functions of gut microbes associate with efficacy of tumor necrosis factor antagonists in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases. Gastroenterology 2019; 157: 1279–1292.e11. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 266.Lee JWJ, Plichta D, Hogstrom L, et al. Multi-omics reveal microbial determinants impacting responses to biologic therapies in inflammatory bowel disease. Cell Host Microbe 2021; 29: 1294–1304.e4. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 267.Becker C, Neurath MF, Wirtz S. The intestinal microbiota in inflammatory bowel disease. ILAR J 2015; 56: 192–204. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 268.Knights D, Lassen KG, Xavier RJ. Advances in inflammatory bowel disease pathogenesis: linking host genetics and the microbiome. Gut 2013; 62: 1505–1510. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 269.Shaw KA, Bertha M, Hofmekler T, et al. Dysbiosis, inflammation, and response to treatment: A longitudinal study of pediatric subjects with newly diagnosed inflammatory bowel disease. Genome Med 2016; 8: 75. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 270.Kolho KL, Korpela K, Jaakkola T, et al. Fecal microbiota in pediatric inflammatory bowel disease and its relation to inflammation. Am J Gastroenterol 2015; 110: 921–930. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 271.Lewis JD, Chen EZ, Baldassano RN, et al. Inflammation, antibiotics, and diet as environmental stressors of the gut microbiome in Pediatric Crohn’s disease. Cell Host Microbe 2015; 18: 489–500. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 272.Yilmaz B, Juillerat P, Øyås O, et al. Publisher Correction: Microbial network disturbances in relapsing refractory Crohn’s disease. Nat Med 2019; 25: 701–736. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 273.Hyams JS, Davis Thomas S, Gotman N, et al. Clinical and biological predictors of response to standardised paediatric colitis therapy (PROTECT): a multicentre inception cohort study. Lancet 2019; 393: 1708–1720. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 274.Watanabe Y, Nagai F, Morotomi M. Characterization of Phascolarctobacterium succinatutens sp. Nov., an asaccharolytic, succinate-utilizing bacterium isolated from human feces. Appl Environ Microbiol 2012; 78: 511–518. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 275.Lionte C, Sorodoc V, Jaba E, et al. Development and validation of a risk-prediction nomogram for in-hospital mortality in adults poisoned with drugs and nonpharmaceutical agents: an observational study. Medicine 2017; 96: e6404. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 276.Ye XQ, Cai J, Yu Q, et al. Nomogram to predict primary non-response to infliximab in patients with Crohn’s disease: A multicenter study. Gastroenterol Rep 2021; 9: 329–338. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 277.Seyed Tabib NS, Madgwick M, Sudhakar P, et al. Big data in IBD: Big progress for clinical practice. Gut 2020; 69: 1520–1532. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 278.Waljee AK, Sauder K, Patel A, et al. Machine learning algorithms for objective remission and clinical outcomes with thiopurines. J Crohns Colitis 2017; 11: 801–810. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 279.Park SK, Kim YB, Kim S, et al. Development of a machine learning model to predict Non-Durable response to Anti-TNF therapy in Crohn’s disease using transcriptome imputed from genotypes. J Pers Med 2022; 12: 947. DOI: 10.3390/jpm12060947 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 280.Chaparro M, Baston-Rey I, Fernández Salgado E, et al. Using interpretable machine learning to identify baseline predictive factors of remission and drug durability in Crohn’s disease patients on ustekinumab. J Clin Med 2022; 11: 4518. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 281.He M, Li C, Tang W, et al. Machine learning gene expression predicting model for ustekinumab response in patients with Crohn’s disease. Immun Inflamm Dis 2021; 9: 1529–1540. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 282.Suzuki K, Kakuta Y, Naito T, et al. Genetic background of mesalamine-induced fever and diarrhea in Japanese patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2022; 28: 21–31. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 283.Chen M, Xia B, Chen B, et al. N-acetyltransferase 2 slow acetylator genotype associated with adverse effects of sulphasalazine in the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease. J Gastroenterol 2007; 21: 155–158. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 284.Wadelius M, Stjernberg E, Wiholm BE, et al. Polymorphisms of NAT2 in relation to sulphasalazine-induced agranulocytosis. Pharmacogenetics 2000; 10: 35–41. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 285.Relling MV, Schwab M, Whirl-Carrillo M, et al. Clinical Pharmacogenetics Implementation Consortium guideline for thiopurine dosing based on TPMT and NUDT15 genotypes: 2018 Update. Clin Pharmacol Ther 2019; 105: 1095–1105. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 286.Winter JW, Gaffney D, Shapiro D, et al. Assessment of thiopurine methyltransferase enzyme activity is superior to genotype in predicting myelosuppression following azathioprine therapy in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2007; 25: 1069–1077. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 287.Yang SK, Hong M, Baek J, et al. A common missense variant in NUDT15 confers susceptibility to thiopurine-induced leukopenia. Nat Genet 2014; 46: 1017–1020. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 288.Walker GJ, Harrison JW, Heap GA, et al. Association of genetic variants in NUDT15 with thiopurine-induced myelosuppression in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. JAMA 2019; 321: 773–861. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 289.Heap GA, Weedon MN, Bewshea CM, et al. HLA-DQA1–HLA-DRB1 variants confer susceptibility to pancreatitis induced by thiopurine immunosuppressants. Nat Genet 2014; 46: 1131–1134. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 290.Wilson A, Jansen LE, Rose RV, et al. HLA-DQA1-HLA-DRB1 polymorphism is a major predictor of azathioprine-induced pancreatitis in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2018; 47: 615–620. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 291.Heap GA, So K, Weedon M, et al. Clinical features and HLA association of 5-aminosalicylate (5-ASA)-induced nephrotoxicity in inflammatory bowel disease. J Crohns Colitis 2016; 10: 149–158. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 292.Sazonovs A, Kennedy NA, Moutsianas L, et al. HLA-DQA1*05 carriage associated with development of anti-drug antibodies to infliximab and adalimumab in patients with Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2020; 158: 189–199. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 293.Kennedy NA, Heap GA, Green HD, et al. Predictors of anti-TNF treatment failure in anti-TNF-naive patients with active luminal Crohn’s disease: a prospective, multicentre, cohort study. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2019; 4: 341–353. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 294.Mazor Y, Koifman E, Elkin H, et al. Risk factors for serious adverse effects of thiopurines in patients with Crohn’s disease. Curr Drug Saf 2013; 8: 181–185. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 295.Bruns T, Stallmach A. Drug monitoring in inflammatory bowel disease: Helpful or dispensable? Digestive Diseases, vol. 27. Dig Dis; 2009. p. 394–403. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 296.Herrlinger KR, Cummings JR, Barnardo MC, et al. The pharmacogenetics of methotrexate in inflammatory bowel disease. Pharmacogenet Genomics 2005; 15: 705–711. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 297.European Crohn’s and Colitis Organisation - ECCO - P696 Genetic predisposition to infliximab immunogenicity in patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases – secondary analyses from a randomised clinical trial. https://www.ecco-ibd.eu/publications/congress-abstracts/item/p696-genetic-predisposition-to-infliximab-immunogenicity-in-patients-with-immune-mediated-inflammatory-diseases-secondary-analyses-from-a-randomised-clinical-trial.html. (accessed 18 December 2022).
- 298.Wu JF. Therapeutic drug monitoring of biologics for patients with inflammatory bowel diseases: how, when, and for whom? Gut Liver 2022; 16: 515–524. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 299.Cornillie F, Hanauer SB, Diamond RH, et al. Postinduction serum infliximab trough level and decrease of C-reactive protein level are associated with durable sustained response to infliximab: A retrospective analysis of the ACCENT i trial. Gut 2014; 63: 1721–1727. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 300.Vande Casteele N, Jeyarajah J, Jairath V, et al. Infliximab exposure-response relationship and thresholds associated with endoscopic healing in patients with ulcerative colitis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2019; 17: 1814–1821.e1. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 301.Hoseyni H, Xu Y, Zhou H. Therapeutic drug monitoring of biologics for inflammatory bowel disease: an Answer to optimized treatment? J Clin Pharmacol 2018; 58: 864–876. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 302.Dirks NL, Meibohm B. Population pharmacokinetics of therapeutic monoclonal antibodies. Clin Pharmacokinet 2010; 49: 633–659. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 303.Ordás I, Mould DR, Feagan BG, et al. Anti-TNF monoclonal antibodies in inflammatory bowel disease: pharmacokinetics-based dosing paradigms. Clin Pharmacol Ther 2012; 91: 635–646. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 304.Gecse KB, Végh Z, Lakatos PL. Optimizing biological therapy in Crohn’s disease. Expert Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016; 10: 37–45. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 305.Rosen MJ, Minar P, Vinks AA. Review article: Applying pharmacokinetics to optimise dosing of anti-TNF biologics in acute severe ulcerative colitis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2015; 41: 1094–1103. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 306.Feuerstein JD, Nguyen GC, Kupfer SS, et al. American Gastroenterological Association Institute guideline on Therapeutic Drug Monitoring in inflammatory bowel disease. Gastroenterology 2017; 153: 827–834. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 307.Papamichael K, Cheifetz AS, Melmed GY, et al. Appropriate therapeutic drug monitoring of biologic agents for patients with inflammatory bowel diseases. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2019; 17: 1655–1668.e3. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 308.Shukla R, Ananthakrishnan A. Therapeutic drug monitoring of Non-Anti-Tumor necrosis factor biologics. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021; 19: 1108–1110. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 309.Dean L. Mercaptopurine Therapy and TPMT Genotype. 2012. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 310.Osterman MT, Kundu R, Lichtenstein GR, et al. Association of 6-thioguanine nucleotide levels and inflammatory bowel disease activity: a meta-analysis. Gastroenterology 2006; 130: 1047–1053. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 311.Cuffari C, Hunt S, Bayless T. Utilisation of erythrocyte 6-thioguanine metabolite levels to optimise azathioprine therapy in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Gut 2001; 48: 642–646. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 312.Deben DS, Adrichem AJ, Drent R, et al. Rac1/ pstat3 expression: A pharmacodynamic marker panel as a first step toward optimization of thiopurine therapy in inflammatory bowel disease patients. Cytometry A 2022; 101: 167–176. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 313.Bannwarth B, Péhourcq F, Schaeverbeke T, et al. Clinical pharmacokinetics of low-dose pulse methotrexate in rheumatoid arthritis. Clin Pharmacokinet 1996; 30: 194–210. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 314.Egan LJ, Sandborn WJ, Tremaine WJ, et al. A randomized dose-response and pharmacokinetic study of methotrexate for refractory inflammatory Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 1999; 13: 1597–1604. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 315.Brooks AJ, Begg EJ, Zhang M, et al. Red blood cell methotrexate polyglutamate concentrations in inflammatory bowel disease. Ther Drug Monit 2007; 29: 619–625. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 316.Tran-Minh ML, Sousa P, Maillet M, et al. Hepatic complications induced by immunosuppressants and biologics in inflammatory bowel disease. World J Hepatol 2017; 9: 613–626. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 317.Seow CH, Newman A, Irwin SP, et al. Trough serum infliximab: A predictive factor of clinical outcome for infliximab treatment in acute ulcerative colitis. Gut 2010; 59: 49–54. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 318.Maser EA, Villela R, Silverberg MS, et al. Association of Trough serum infliximab to clinical outcome after scheduled maintenance treatment for Crohn’s disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2006; 4: 1248–1254. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 319.Adedokun OJ, Sandborn WJ, Feagan BG, et al. Association between serum concentration of infliximab and efficacy in adult patients with ulcerative colitis. Gastroenterology 2014; 147: 1296–1307.e5. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 320.Yoshihara T, Shinzaki S, Kawai S, et al. Tissue drug concentrations of anti-tumor necrosis factor agents are associated with the long-term outcome of patients with Crohn’s disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2017; 23: 2172–2179. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 321.Brandse JF, van den Brink GR, Wildenberg ME, et al. Loss of infliximab into feces is associated with lack of response to therapy in patients with severe ulcerative colitis. Gastroenterology 2015; 149: 350–355.e2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 322.Judit Szántó K, Madácsy T, Kata D, et al. Advances in the optimization of therapeutic drug monitoring using serum, tissue and faecal anti-tumour necrosis factor concentration in patients with inflammatory bowel disease treated with TNF-α antagonists. Expert Opin Biol Ther 2021; 21: 539–548. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 323.Yarur AJ, Jain A, Sussman DA, et al. The association of tissue anti-TNF drug levels with serological and endoscopic disease activity in inflammatory bowel disease: the ATLAS study. Gut 2016; 65: 249–255. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 324.Papamichael K, Cheifetz AS. Therapeutic drug monitoring in patients on biologics: Lessons from gastroenterology. Curr Opin Rheumatol 2020; 32: 371–379. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 325.van Rheenen PF, Aloi M, Assa A, et al. The medical management of Paediatric Crohn’s Disease: an ECCO-ESPGHAN Guideline Update. J Crohns Colitis 2020; 15: 171–194. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 326.Vande Casteele N, Herfarth H, Katz J, et al. American Gastroenterological Association Institute Technical Review on the role of therapeutic drug monitoring in the management of inflammatory bowel diseases. Gastroenterology 2017; 153: 835–857.e6. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 327.Dumitrescu G, Amiot A, Seksik P, et al. The outcome of infliximab dose doubling in 157 patients with ulcerative colitis after loss of response to infliximab. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2015; 42: 1192–1199. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 328.Dreesen E, D’Haens G, Baert F, et al. DOP047 infliximab exposure predicts superior endoscopic outcomes in patients with active Crohn’s disease: pharmacokinetic–pharmacodynamic analysis of TAILORIX. J Crohns Colitis 2018; 12: S063–S064. [Google Scholar]
- 329.Vande Casteele N, Papamichael K, Jeyarajah J, et al. DOP45 adequate infliximab exposure during the induction phase is associated with early complete fistula response in patients with fistulizing Crohn’s disease: a post-hoc analysis of the ACCENT-2 trial. J Crohns Colitis 2019; 13: S053–S054. [Google Scholar]
- 330.Ungar B, Levy I, Yavne Y, et al. Optimizing Anti-TNF-α therapy: serum levels of infliximab and adalimumab are associated with mucosal healing in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016; 14: 550–557.e2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 331.Steenholdt C, Bendtzen K, Brynskov J, et al. Changes in serum trough levels of infliximab during treatment intensification but not in antiinfliximab antibody detection are associated with clinical outcomes after therapeutic failure in Crohn’s disease. J Crohns Colitis 2015; 9: 238–245. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 332.Suzuki Y, Matsui T, Ito H, et al. Circulating interleukin 6 and albumin, and infliximab levels are good predictors of recovering efficacy after dose escalation infliximab therapy in patients with loss of response to treatment for Crohn’s disease: A prospective clinical trial. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2015; 21: 2114–2122. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 333.Van De Vondel S, Baert F, Reenaers C, et al. Incidence and Predictors of Success of Adalimumab Dose Escalation and De-escalation in Ulcerative Colitis: A Real-World Belgian Cohort Study. Inflammatory Bowel Diseases, vol. 24. Inflamm Bowel Dis; 2018. p. 1099–105. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 334.Roblin X, Marotte H, Rinaudo M, et al. Association between pharmacokinetics of adalimumab and mucosal healing in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2014; 12: 80–84.e2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 335.Baert F, Glorieus E, Reenaers C, et al. Adalimumab dose escalation and dose de-escalation success rate and predictors in a large national cohort of Crohn’s patients. J Crohns Colitis 2013; 7: 154–160. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 336.Vande Casteele N, Feagan BG, Vermeire S, et al. Exposure-response relationship of certolizumab pegol induction and maintenance therapy in patients with Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2018; 47: 229–237. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 337.Adedokun OJ, Xu Z, Marano CW, et al. Pharmacokinetics and exposure-response relationship of golimumab in patients with moderately-to-severely active ulcerative colitis: results from phase 2/3 PURSUIT induction and maintenance studies. J Crohns Colitis 2017; 11: 35–46. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 338.Feagan BG, Rutgeerts P, Sands BE, et al. Vedolizumab as induction and maintenance therapy for ulcerative colitis. New Engl J Med 2013; 369: 699–710. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 339.Dreesen E, Verstockt B, Bian S, et al. Evidence to support monitoring of vedolizumab trough concentrations in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2018; 16: 1937–1946.e8. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 340.Guidi L, Pugliese D, Tonucci TP, et al. Early vedolizumab trough levels predict treatment persistence over the first year in inflammatory bowel disease. United Eur Gastroenterol J 2019; 7: 1189–1197. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 341.Samaan MA, Birdi S, Morales MS, et al. Effectiveness of vedolizumab dose intensification to achieve inflammatory bowel disease control in cases of suboptimal response. Front Gastroenterol 2020; 11: 188–193. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 342.Gouynou C, Pouillon L, Rousseau H, et al. Early changes in the pharmacokinetic profile of vedolizumab-treated patients with IBD may predict response after dose optimisation. Gut 2019; 68: 178–179. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 343.Verstockt B, Dreesen E, Noman M, et al. Ustekinumab exposure-outcome analysis in Crohn’s disease only in part explains limited endoscopic remission rates. J Crohns Colitis 2019; 13: 864–872. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 344.Ollech JE, Normatov I, Peleg N, et al. Effectiveness of ustekinumab dose escalation in patients with Crohn’s disease. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021; 19: 104–110. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 345.Fumery M, Peyrin-Biroulet L, Nancey S, et al. Effectiveness and safety of ustekinumab intensification at 90 mg every four weeks in Crohn’s Disease: A Multicenter Study. J Crohns Colitis 2020; 15: 222–227. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 346.Dalal RS, Esckilsen S, Barnes EL, et al. Predictors and outcomes of ustekinumab dose intensification in ulcerative colitis: A Multicenter Cohort Study. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 20: 2399–2401.e4. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 347.Louis E, Mary JY, Vernier-Massouille G, et al. Maintenance of remission among patients with Crohn’s disease on antimetabolite therapy after infliximab therapy is stopped. Gastroenterology 2012; 142: 63–70.e5; quiz e31. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 348.Dotan I, Ron Y, Yanai H, et al. Patient factors that increase infliximab clearance and shorten half-life in inflammatory bowel disease: A population pharmacokinetic study. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2014; 20: 2247–2259. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 349.Pariente B, de Chambrun GP, Krzysiek R, et al. Trough levels and antibodies to infliximab may not predict response to intensification of infliximab therapy in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2012; 18: 1199–1206. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 350.Dulai PS, Amiot A, Peyrin-Biroulet L, et al. A clinical decision support tool may help to optimise vedolizumab therapy in Crohn’s disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2020; 51: 553–564. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 351.Papamichael K, Afif W, Drobne D, et al. Therapeutic drug monitoring of biologics in inflammatory bowel disease: unmet needs and future perspectives. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 7: 171–185. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 352.D’Haens G, Vermeire S, Lambrecht G, et al. Increasing infliximab dose based on symptoms, biomarkers, and serum drug concentrations does not increase clinical, endoscopic, and corticosteroid-free remission in patients with active luminal Crohn’s disease. Gastroenterology 2018; 154: 1343–1351.e1. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 353.Bossuyt P, Pouillon L, Claeys S, et al. Ultra-proactive therapeutic drug monitoring of infliximab based on point of care testing in inflammatory bowel disease: results of a Pragmatic Trial. J Crohns Colitis 2022; 16: 199–206. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 354.Louis E, Collard A, Oger AF, et al. Behaviour of Crohn’s disease according to the Vienna classification: changing pattern over the course of the disease. Gut 2001; 49: 777–782. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 355.Solberg IC, Vatn MH, Høie O, et al. Clinical Course in Crohn’s Disease: Results of a Norwegian Population-Based Ten-Year Follow-Up Study. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2007; 5: 1430–1438. DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2007.09.002 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 356.Ranjan MK, Vuyyuru SK, Kante B, et al. Relapse rates after withdrawal of thiopurines in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Int J Colorectal Dis 2022; 37: 1817–1826. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 357.Ben-Horin S, Chowers Y, Ungar B, et al. Undetectable anti-TNF drug levels in patients with long-term remission predict successful drug withdrawal. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2015; 42: 356–364. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 358.Pierre N, Baiwir D, Huynh-Thu VA, et al. Discovery of biomarker candidates associated with the risk of short-term and mid/long-term relapse after infliximab withdrawal in Crohn’s patients: A proteomics-based study. Gut 2020; 70: 1450–1457. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 359.Pierre N, Huynh-Thu VA, Marichal T, et al. Distinct blood protein profiles associated with the risk of short-term and mid/long-term clinical relapse in patients with Crohn’s disease stopping infliximab: when the remission state hides different types of residual disease activity. Gut 2023; 72: 443–450. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 360.Louis E, Resche-Rigon M, Laharie D, et al. Withdrawal of infliximab or concomitant immunosuppressant therapy in patients with Crohn’s disease on combination therapy (SPARE): a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 8: 215–227. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 361.Johnsen KM, Florholmen J, Moe ØK, et al. Prediction of long-term remission in patients following discontinuation of anti-TNF therapy in ulcerative colitis: a 10 year follow up study. BMC Gastroenterol 2022; 22: 459. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 362.Borren NZ, Plichta D, Joshi AD, et al. “Multi-omics” profiling in patients with quiescent inflammatory bowel disease identifies biomarkers predicting relapse. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2020; 26: 1524–1532. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 363.Rajca S, Grondin V, Louis E, et al. Alterations in the intestinal microbiome (Dysbiosis) as a predictor of relapse after infliximab withdrawal in Crohn’s disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2014; 20: 978–986. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 364.Shen XD, Zhang RN, Huang SY, et al. Preoperative computed tomography enterography-based radiomics signature: A potential predictor of postoperative anastomotic recurrence in patients with Crohn’s disease. Eur J Radiol 2023; 162: 110766. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 365.Ngollo M, Perez K, Hammoudi N, et al. Identification of gene expression profiles associated with an increased risk of post-operative recurrence in Crohn’s disease. J Crohns Colitis 2022; 16: 1269–1280. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 366.Cerrillo E, Moret I, Iborra M, et al. A nomogram combining fecal calprotectin levels and plasma cytokine profiles for individual prediction of postoperative Crohn’s disease recurrence. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2019; 25: 1681–1691. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 367.Sendid B, Salvetat N, Sarter H, et al. A pilot clinical study on post-operative recurrence provides biological clues for a role of candida yeasts and fluconazole in crohn’s disease. J Fungi 2021; 7: 324. DOI: 10.3390/jof7050324 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 368.Schaefer M, Laurent V, Grandmougin A, et al. A magnetic resonance imaging index to predict Crohn’s disease postoperative recurrence: the MONITOR Index. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 20: e1040–e1049. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 369.Sokol H, Brot L, Stefanescu C, et al. Prominence of ileal mucosa-associated microbiota to predict postoperative endoscopic recurrence in Crohn’s disease. Gut 2020; 69: 462–472. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 370.Sokol H, Polin V, Lavergne-Slove A, et al. Plexitis as a predictive factor of early postoperative clinical recurrence in Crohn’s disease. Gut 2009; 58: 1218–1225. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 371.Li Y, Stocchi L, Liu X, et al. Presence of granulomas in mesenteric lymph nodes is associated with postoperative recurrence in Crohn’s disease. Inflamm Bowel Dis 2015; 21: 2613–2618. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 372.Decousus S, Boucher AL, Joubert J, et al. Myenteric plexitis is a risk factor for endoscopic and clinical postoperative recurrence after ileocolonic resection in Crohn’s disease. Dig Liver Dis 2016; 48: 753–758. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 373.Bobanga ID, Bai S, Swanson MA, et al. Factors influencing disease recurrence after ileocolic resection in adult and pediatric onset Crohn’s disease. Am J Surg 2014; 208: 591–596. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 374.Ikeda A, Miyoshi N, Fujino S, et al. A novel predictive nomogram for early endoscopic recurrence after intestinal resection for Crohn’s disease. Digestion 2019; 100: 269–276. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 375.Porter CK, Riddle MS, Gutierrez RL, et al. Cohort profile of the PRoteomic Evaluation and discovery in an IBD cohort of tri-service subjects (PREDICTS) study: Rationale, organization, design, and baseline characteristics. Contemp Clin Trials Commun 2019; 14: 100345. DOI: 10.1016/j.conctc.2019.100345 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 376.Chuong KH, Mack DR, Stintzi A, et al. Human microbiome and learning healthcare systems: Integrating research and precision medicine for inflammatory bowel disease. Omi A J Integr Biol 2018; 22: 119–126. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 377.Vermeire S, Van Assche G, Rutgeerts P. Laboratory markers in IBD: useful, magic, or unnecessary toys? Gut 2006; 55: 426–431. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 378.Parikh K, Antanaviciute A, Fawkner-Corbett D, et al. Colonic epithelial cell diversity in health and inflammatory bowel disease. Nature 2019; 567: 49–55. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]


